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程慕语:12.04黄金日内行情分析

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  程慕语:12.04gold日内行情分析


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 Analysis of Gold Trends:
        美联储自2015year12月加息后,又在一年后加息,此后一直在稳步上调基准利率,并且市场普遍预计美联储12月再次加息。但在美联储主席鲍威尔上周四表示利率“略低于”中性水平的预估区间后,美联储加息的路径似乎并不明朗,市场表达的态度比此前的言论更为鸽派。技术面来看:日线图方面,黄金早盘持续震荡上行,因美元指数在中美贸-易关系取得进展之后回落。金价突破收敛三角区间的上轨趋势线阻力,并有效升破了这一道阻力,那么黄金将或完成看涨突破。不过,目前还不能确认牛市的到来。MA均线的走势依旧较为平坦,且MACD上行动能柱也没有明显拉升的迹象。四小时方面,4小时图中可以看到,从MA200均线走平的势头来看,目前金价上方的1238附近还有一些阻力,CCI指标超过上周五高点抵达70上方,似乎预示着今日行情有望重返上周五高点的1228,MACD金叉升至零轴下方不远处,多头能量柱的加速放量也意味着现货金将再度走高。万景恒综合来看,今日操作思路上万景恒个人建议以回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方重点关注1236-1238Line resistance, pay attention below1225-1227Frontline support.
     
     Suggestions for Gold Operations:
      1、建议:黄金下方回调至1225-1227Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1230-1232frontline;
      2、建议:黄金上方不破1236-1238Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target12280-1232frontline;




Disclaimer: The above analysis only represents the author's personal opinion and does not constitute specific operations. The article has a lag effect, and based on this, profit and loss are the responsibility of the author. Investment is risky, and caution should be exercised when entering the market.
         writing/Cheng Muyu
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