Yu Qi's Discussion on Gold:11.28黄金空头强势破位下跌今日还会涨吗，黄金今日走势操作附解套

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Yu Qi's Discussion on Gold:11.28gold空头强势破位下跌今日还会涨吗，黄金今日走势操作附解套




消息面：现货黄金周二再次加大跌幅，美市盘中最低已下探至1212.03dollar/盈司，金价短线出现大幅跳水，已跌破1220and1215美元的支撑位，进一步走弱。美元周二强势上涨，美元指数最高触及97.38, continue to run on97Above the gate.

On Tuesday, a news report about car tariffs caused a stir in the US market. According to the latest report from a German magazine, US President Trump may impose car tariffs as early as next week, after the news came. The US dollar index accelerated its rise, while spot gold and silver, major non US currencies, and European and American auto stocks plummeted. In addition, the Vice Chairman of the Federal Reserve stated that the US economy is performing strongly and the labor market remains healthy. The actual federal funds rate and2015year12Compared to the previous month, there are more areas close to neutral interest rates, but the actual level of neutral interest rates is "uncertain". If inflation exceeds the target, he will adjust the policy outlook. This statement relieved the bulls of the US dollar and was also the cause of the sharp decline in gold. And the focus of the market this week will mainly be on the upcomingG20The summit will be held in Argentina, and the heads of state of China and the United States will meet face-to-face. Although the deadlocked trade dispute between China and the United States shows no signs of cooling down, the market remains uncertainG20The summit still has high expectations, and the trade war has always been the key to whether the US index can continue to rise, which is also equivalent to restraining the lifeline of gold long and short positions.




玉琪论金认为，如果在贸易方面取得某种进展，那对黄金来说可能是非常积极的，因为这可能会对美元产生压力，美元在这场贸易争端中一直是避险货币，但任何形式的升级都可能对黄金产生负面影响。最重要的仍然是美联储将继续加息并支撑美元，这同样压制黄金。美联储今年已加息三次，预计12月将加息四次，使无收益的黄金吸引力降低。

黄金走势分析：黄金方面昨日完全由意外消息主导了行情走势，原本白盘在探底1220并未实破下，走出探底回升，最高触及到1225，随后美盘开始，先是美联储副主席鹰派的讲话，美指由跌转涨，而黄金则承压回调，回吐日内涨幅，之后更是在一则有关汽车关税的新闻掀起市场波澜，金价直接在跌破1220后大幅度跳水，美市盘中最低下探至1212.03dollar/盎司，金价短线出现大幅跳水，已跌破1220and1215dollar/盎司的支撑位，进一步走弱，从走势看，空方仍占据了近期的全面的技术优势，行情转空疑虑似乎有所增大，但此位置是之前下探回升的低点，所有下方1212/11一线将成为短期的关键点，如果跌破后续可能还会继续走跌看1208一线，反之金价仍会重拾上涨走势。




日线上，近几天金价虽然震荡，但是日内反抽的高点在逐渐下移，日K线高点刚好触及1243-1236的下行趋势线上，而结合下方低点的震荡走高，黄金日线上近期趋势走三角震荡走势，这样来说，金价近期在高位测试后，后市面临大幅回落，下方回撤目标关注下方1160-1182-1196的上行趋势支撑附近，也就是在1200-1204区域。从日线看，以大阴线收尾，并且收破20Rihe10日均线之下，同时短期均线拐头向下，以及macd绿色动能柱开始放量，日线走势偏弱，有进一步回撤的迹象，下方关注1211/12一线的支撑位置，此位不破空间难以打开。




from4小时图看，金价近期多次上攻1230一线，但皆以失败告终，目前黄金已经下破1220一线，一旦1210此处被攻破，则将在形态上形成头肩顶，后市或将进一步回调至1200一线。不过指标上kdjas well asrsi都有拐头向上的意思，也显示出行情在低位受到支撑有反弹的迹象，上方首先关注M5average1217一线的压力，其次是破位节点1220一线，金价要想重拾上涨走势，必须站稳1220之上，否则行情仍处于弱势下跌行情。黄金周二(11month27day)，价格创一周新低，因美元坚挺，围绕美中贸易摩擦的新担忧提振了避险情绪，但行情波幅有限，美元回吐涨幅，金价不久后转升，黄金处于小幅度震荡之间。综合来看，今日操作思路上玉琪论金个人建议反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方重点关注1218-1220One line of resistance, pay attention below1210-1212Frontline support. Add author Yuqi LunjinweixinNumber（zyq1970622）Daily market analysis, hedging strategies, and medium to long term guidance are all included. Welcome like-minded people to come and discuss!




gold11.27Operation suggestions:1#Lower callback to1210-1212Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1216-1218frontline;




2#Above not broken1216-1218Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1212-1211frontline;

crude oil走势分析：周二原油低开高走，尽管随后因美联储副主席克拉里达偏鹰的讲话一度使得INE原油跌去大部分涨幅，但随后刷新日内高点，暗示INE原油走势的分化。不过从长期趋势看，三大原油基准仍处于筑底的过程中，但是短时间跌幅有限，因市场静待OPEC会议关于减产的决定，在此之前，市场仍倾向于观望。不过随着冬季需求高峰来临，油价或获得支撑。




日线图方面，油价跌跌不休，自9月底油价触顶以来，美原油跌幅已经达到23%，原油在漫漫熊途中越走越远，油价面临诸多因素的打压。原油在失守2017year6month18日来上升趋势的61.8%回撤位之后持续下跌，上涨势头已经完全逆转。短期上行云已经完成收口，且大幅走低，下行云有进一步扩大开口的趋势。此外，MA均线处于看空排列趋势，这也进一步加剧了原油的跌势。4小时图方面，走出一波双金叉上涨的势头，加上底部形成的背离情况，如果今日价格能够继续上涨，触发底部背离，那么反弹力度将会继续加大，需要关注的地方，同样是布林带中轨52.3一线的阻力点。不过小周期上由于昨晚后半夜的走跌，有形成双死叉下跌的势头。




综合来看：目前的情况来看，市场抄底的还没有成功的，当然50短线的多单可能有一些利润，不过想要抄底赚上几百个点还是不可能；油价短线在50关口止跌回升了，很多朋友自然而然的认为行情到底了，准备继续抄底，原油短期的反弹属于修正行情，行情并没有反转；50大关作为作为重要的技术和心理支撑关口，行情在此位置的震荡是最正常不过的事情了！综合来看，今日操作思路上玉琪论金个人建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方重点关注52.8-53.0One line of resistance, pay attention below50.2-50.4Frontline support. For specific solutions and operational strategies, please refer to the author Gong Zhanghao: Yu Qi discusses gold.




Cooperation is only the starting point, service has no end. The tree of patience yields the fruit of gold. Mountains cannot stop geese from the south, walls cannot block winds from the north. Without experiencing wind and rain, one cannot grow into a big tree, without undergoing trials and tribulations, it is difficult to become steel. Without experiencing the cold of winter, without knowing the warmth of spring, knives will rust if not sharpened, and people will fall behind if they do not learn. We will create personalized wealth for you. If you are still on the brink of losses, have a portfolio in hand, or have poor overall returns, you can consult Yuqi Lunjin. Regarding the solution-TFriends who are trapped, because Yuqi Lunjin does not know the position and position of your trapped, as long as you find me, Yuqi Lunjin will formulate the most detailed solution for you based on your funds, position, position risk rate, and market trend-TPlan. Time flows like water, fleeting. Seize the moment and do not be blinded by greed.




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