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据俄罗斯联邦安全局和克里米亚边防部门消息,乌克兰海军5艘船只25日未经俄方许可试图穿越刻赤海峡,俄方采取多种措施予以阻止,包括动用武器并扣留其中3艘船。乌克兰已经进入了为期60天的战时状态。乌克兰已经向盟友请求军事帮助,俄罗斯方面也已经增派武装力量。另外,这场冲突可能是英国乐于看到的,对于英国来说,如果危机扩大,那欧盟很可能分身乏术,而英国也能在脱欧问题上减轻压力。借欧洲大陆各国分裂和攻伐渔利一直是英国的拿手好戏,因此英国在乌克兰问题上保持着相当有存在感。
对于欧盟来说就头疼了,之前俄欧关系缓和,欧盟也能腾出手来,集中力量处理伊核问题、意大利预算案以及英国脱欧问题。而且好不容易同意了英国脱欧协议草案,意大利又开始松口,这时候乌克兰又给欧盟带来了新的麻烦。如果这场地缘冲突继续发酵,将支撑市场对gold的避险需求,周一亚盘时段金价1225dollar/盎司,不过随后有所回落。如果俄乌之间的冲突再次升级,双方兵戎相见,避险情绪的升温将刺激市场对黄金的需求,金价有望大涨。特别是在如今全球大部分风险资产都不被看好的情况下。
【11month27Analysis and Layout of the Nikkei Index Market
Hang Seng Index11号合约,恒生指数昨日开盘后持续走高至上方26500附近承压下行震荡,目前来看小时线MA5Wrap up below26430附近形成短期支撑位,再来看四小时布林带呈张口,今日走单边行情的可能性较大,今日上方需关注日线上轨26810Nearby suppression position, attention should be paid below26150附近支撑位,若强势下破则看至26000一线支撑位,日内操作看趋势看反弹,具体操作请根据实盘点位。
1Suggest to use26250Multiple entry nearby, target26750Nearby, stop loss80
2Suggest reverse sampling26800Unable to stabilize nearby with empty orders entering, target26500Nearby, stop loss40
【11month27Analysis and Layout of Japan US Gold Market
Beautiful Gold12号合约,美黄金昨日开盘后处于区间震荡行情,没能打破1220-1230的区间行情,目前来看四小时MA5Take-up at1224附近形成短期压制位,短线来看会有所反弹,大趋势依旧是空头占据主导,日内上方需关注1225Nearby suppression position, attention should be paid below1220一线支撑位情况,如若强势下破则顺势看至下方1214附近支撑位,日内操作思路反弹看空为主,具体操作请根据实盘点位。
1Suggest reverse sampling1225-1226Unable to stabilize nearby with empty orders entering, target1220Nearby, break down and take a look1214Stop loss4dollar
【11month27japan-us crude oilMarket Analysis Layout
US crude oil1号合约,美原油昨日开盘后震荡走高至上方52.25,由于上周的跌幅较大,本周会有技术性的回调,目前来看四小时MA5Wrap up below51.40附近形成短期支撑位,短期来看小时线会有所回落,大趋势依旧是多头占据主导,今日上方需关注52.20Nearby suppression position, follow below51.20附近支撑位,日内操作思路回落做多为主,具体操作请根据实盘点位。
1Suggest stepping back51.20Multiple entry nearby, target52First line, break through to see52.80Nearby, stop loss0.4
【11month27Analysis and Layout of Japanese and American Refined Copper Market
Meijing Copper12Contract number, Ling.13185709403志美铜昨日开盘后走高至上方2.7815附近承压下行至下方2.7370The area is shaking nearby, currently it's been four hoursMA5Wrap up above2.7550Short term suppression level formed nearby, let's take a look againKDJ上拐,行情上扬,今日上方需关注2.7720Nearby suppression position, attention should be paid below2.7390附近支撑位,日内操作看趋势看反弹,具体操作请根据实盘点位。
1Suggest to use2.7460Multiple entry nearby, target2.7720Nearby, stop loss0.01
Lingzhi Lunjin believes that the three most important points in investing are: first, to understand and analyze a market trend; The second is to know how to control risks. As an investor, one should have a good mentality and correct investment concepts,3: The light position operation strictly stops profits and losses, and the direction is reversed. Stop losses in a timely manner and do not resist orders because our funds cannot withstand market conditions even if they are large. Positive people see an opportunity in every crisis, while negative people see some kind of crisis in every opportunity; Faced with volatile market conditions, we must seize every opportunity. Seizing an opportunity is equivalent to seizing tomorrow!
contributor/Ling Zhi Lun Jin