Yu Qi's Discussion on Gold:11.25黄金原油走势分析及行情解析，黄金原油下周一开盘操作建议附解套

[paragraph]
Yu Qi's Discussion on Gold:11.25goldcrude oil走势分析及行情解析，黄金原油下周一开盘操作建议附解套




When making investments, reading articles is not just about analyzing market trends and providing operational advice. The market is constantly changing, and most articles have a lag and timeliness from analysis to completion and publication. Specific operations still need to be based on real-time market data, and the methods of making orders may vary depending on the amount of investment funds. Therefore, the key to reading an article is to learn, to understand why the market needs to be analyzed in this way at this time, and to have a clear operational approach. In order to integrate and learn from one's own practical experience to form one's own operating methods, so as not to rely on others and to be able to operate on one's own!

消息面：刚刚过去的一周，美联储官员的讲话并不如市场预期的鹰派，美耐用品订单数据创十五个月最差表现，都曾令美元受到拖累，而且本周美股市大幅下跌，也给金价提供了一些上涨动能；不过，市场对国际貿易局势的担忧重新升温，但市场避险资金却选择了美元避险，黄金的避险属性再次被美元盖过；美元的吸引力远超黄金，美元指数扭跌为涨，周五收盘报96.96，周线上涨0.55%，也对金价也形成了圧制；感恩节的假期令交投受到了一些限制，本周现货黄金价格整体波动不大。




盘中所公布的美国制造业与服务业PMI均不及预期，虽对黄金形成利好，但实际并未因此获得提振，足见金价在连涨后已无再涨动能。美元指数经历周三周四调整后，周五盘持稳大涨且刷新周内高点，最终也收于高位，短期内多方延续的势能具备，这对黄金构成直接性打压，因此下周初盘美元若是再涨，黄金定会下探且寻求更低位支撑。此外下周G20峰会与美联储主席鲍威尔的讲话将是关注重点。




本周金价呈现冲高回落走势，最高触及1230.20dollar/Ounces, closing1222.85dollar/盎司，周线涨幅0.12%；金价周初在1217一线获得支撑反弹，随后3天都在上攻1228一线，最后在周五久攻不下后还是败下阵来，退居到1220一线。到现在黄金走势看似从1196再次获得支撑反弹，但是随着美元的再次走强，黄金上行又连连受到打压。

下周黄金走势分析：黄金本周的走势，没有太多的亮点，整体上就是一个震荡调整的过程，前一周金价连续上升攻下1220关口后，本周金价基本持于1220上方高位震荡，最高逼近1229一线，但是行情在1230下方久久没有突破，高位横久必跌。从日线图上来看，黄金目前处于短期线上方运行，5Japan and Japan10日均线金叉但方向有分歧且间距不小，中期线开始走平，移动平均线向上运行，随机指标向上运行，指标看涨。但是，金价近几日在冲击下降趋势线压力始终受阻回落，这样看来还需要观察，是日线突破站稳下降趋势线还是逐步受阻回撤下方支撑。




接着从四小时图上来看，金价均线高位开始拐头向下，指标MACD顶背离呈现死叉向下发散，KDJ三线死叉延续，并且金价在1230附近遇阻回调，也是三角趋势线上方高点，证明行情有继续回调需求，如果黄金回调走势下破布林线下轨，有进一步加大空头延续的可能性。但是，目前金价依旧守住1220-1218支撑慢性整理上扬，节奏震荡偏强，每次上探新高回落后都能收复高点，所以，当前还是要重点关注下方1220-1218的支撑。最后从小时图上来看，黄金自1228一线承压下行连续收阴，在下破1225一线支撑位最低下探至1221一线附近后，已经减缓下跌力度进入调整阶段，KDJ指标死叉下行运行逐渐进入超卖区域，MCADFast slow line0轴下方运行，绿色动能呈放量形态，不过随着指标逐渐的低位后市可能会反弹修复一波，是否能结束下行的趋势要看后市反弹的力度。综合来看，下周一操作思路上玉琪论金个人建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方重点关注1226-1228One line of resistance, pay attention below1216-1218Frontline support. Add author Yuqi LunjinweixinNumber（zyq1970622）Daily market analysis, hedging strategies, and medium to long term guidance are all included. Welcome like-minded people to come and discuss!




Suggestions for Gold's next Monday operation:1#Lower callback to1216-1218Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1222-1224frontline;




2#Above not broken1225-1227Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1220-1221frontline;

下周原油走势分析：在全球经济增长放缓背景下，市场对未来需求预期的根本扭转。而在市场预期转过弯之后，OPEC减产也只不过是暂缓之计。回顾历史可以发现，减产协议只能对短期交易情绪有所提振，最终的市场走向还是受需求来决定。日线图中，原油在经历大跌后，短期空头再度占据主导，而且伴随着布林带中轨的不断下移，后期行情将继续面临压力。不过当下指标MACD绿柱低位不断形成底背离，后期行情反弹的概率不断加大。短期需要注意前低附近的争夺。


四小时方面，前几日反弹高点55.70下方运行。短线收复次高点才能先转震荡，再配合空间走反转。目前实在弱势。虽有停顿迹象，但空间不足以构成反转，形态上也没有完全止跌，只是轻微弱势修正。短线贴着5日线弱势承压。收复起来缺少力度，倾向弱势震荡或惯性的下探。综合来看，下周一操作思路上玉琪论金个人建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方重点关注51.6-51.8One line of resistance, pay attention below49.3-49.5一线支撑。具体的解套及操作策略可以关注笔者宫中浩：玉琪论金。




What to do if a gold short position is covered:1、1200-1205附近被套空单，在玉琪论金个人看来被套点位有点严重，黄金短线站稳1220一线，但是黄金多头试探1226一线压力位并未能成功的突破，建议后市等待回调下来后小损出局；或是高位空拉低均价！




2、目前在1205-1212附近被套的朋友，玉琪论金个人认为目前被套点位不严重，大多数朋友应该是周四黄金横盘震荡做的，就玉琪论金个人来看，黄金目前运行于1222一线，建议等待回调之后小损出局或是低位做多拉低均价以至于获利出局；




Cooperation is only the starting point, service has no end. The tree of patience yields the fruit of gold. Mountains cannot stop geese from the south, walls cannot block winds from the north. Without experiencing wind and rain, one cannot grow into a big tree, without undergoing trials and tribulations, it is difficult to become steel. Without experiencing the cold of winter, without knowing the warmth of spring, knives will rust if not sharpened, and people will fall behind if they do not learn. We will create personalized wealth for you. If you are still on the brink of losses, have a portfolio in hand, or have poor overall returns, you can consult Yuqi Lunjin. Regarding the solution-TFriends who are trapped, because Yuqi Lunjin does not know the position and position of your trapped, as long as you find me, Yuqi Lunjin will formulate the most detailed solution for you based on your funds, position, position risk rate, and market trend-TPlan. Time flows like water, fleeting. Seize the moment and do not be blinded by greed.




Comprehensive guidance time:early7:00In the early morning of the next day2:00




Comprehensive guidance teacher:Yuqi's Gold Analysis Team



Wen/Yu Qi's Discussion on Gold(WeChat:zyq1970622,official account:Yu Qi's Discussion on Gold)