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Ma Huasheng:11.22Analysis of the Gold Crude Oil Market and Operational Suggestions for Late Review

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  ——————消息面
  
  美联储官员连续发表鸽派言论,支撑着近期gold反弹。其中特总统指责美联储是个问题,呼吁降低利率,导致美元承压,黄金顺势上升。援引匿名美联储资深人士称,美联储开始考虑至少暂停对货币政策的逐步紧缩,并可能最早在明年春季停止加息周期。今年12The monthly interest rate hike is already a certainty, starting from next year3Starting from the beginning of the month, discussions about the next interest rate hike will become more intense until6The month will be more specific. The US stock market has also experienced a significant correction recently, almost leading to2018The full year gains have been wiped out, which is an important cautious signal suggesting that the US stock market may continue to rise for a long time10The bull market of the year has ended, and if a bear market comes, it will inevitably stimulate gold to rise comprehensively, which is the core logic of the mid-term bullish outlook for gold in the future.
  
  ——————黄金走势分析
  
  技术面来看,昨日金价震荡走高,虽然有小幅的回落,但是日线依旧是阳线收尾,布林带三轨依旧是维持走平,5Daily moving average and10The daily moving average is gradually turning upwards, providing momentum for the volatile rise of gold. The bullish arrangement of other moving averages indicates that the short-term market trend is biased,stoAlthough the fast slow line crosses downwards in the overbought area, the magnitude of the downward trend is not significant, and it may collapse at any time, forming a second golden cross that extends upwards,macd快慢线零轴附近金叉继续发散,红能虽然开始放量,但是节奏并不快。整体来看,日线依旧是偏强的多头行情,但是由于短期行情没有延续性,因此操作尽量选择回撤后的低多布局。
  
  4From an hourly perspective, the Bollinger Bands have significantly narrowed and remained flat, with short-term gold prices consistently below the upper limit of the Bollinger Bands and fluctuating within a narrow range at high levels,5Daily moving average and10The daily moving average extends upwards, but from the current trend structure of gold prices, the overall operating space of gold prices is limited. In addition, the early closure of the US market on Thanksgiving will further limit the operating space of gold prices,stoThe fast slow line continues to extend downwards, but the magnitude of the downward extension is relatively small, and it is still50Running above the axis,macdAlthough the fast and slow lines are oscillating around the zero axis, the red energy still maintains a high volume, but the rhythm is relatively slow. Overall,4小时偏强运行,但是由于上方空间有限,因此耐心等待回撤下方支撑位附近后在介入多单,不过由于美盘提前休息老余建议多看少动。
  
Suggestions for Gold Operations:
  
  1Lower callback to1222-1223Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1228-1230frontline;
  
  2Above not broken1232-1233Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1225-1226frontline;
  
  ——————crude oilTrend analysis
  
  日图进入阴阳循环震荡当中。趋势看上去空头,但毕竟连续下挫。稍有停顿就不得不防止超跌反弹,所以这个阶段做起来就会比较难受。做空有追低嫌疑,做多又显逆势。不太好把握,暂时只能依托盘中形态转换做震荡,空间反弹大了,再去破低就加大了难度。而要反转没有消息面的助推,技术面也比较单薄吃力。亚盘的点位感觉不太理想,尽量放到美盘后,释放了一定的空间再去操作更显稳妥。震荡思路对待,进场点位决定持仓底气。综合来看,今日操作思路上个人建议以反弹高空为主,回调做多为辅,上方重点关注55.6-55.8One line of resistance, pay attention below53.0-53.2Frontline support.
  
Crude Oil Strategy:
  
  1Rebound55.6-55.8Short on the front line, stop loss0.4USD, target55.0-54.8First line, break through and continue to hold;
  
  2、回调到53.3-53.5Long on the front line, stop loss0.4USD, target54.0-54.2frontline;
  
Wen/Ma Huasheng    WeChat:mhs9895     QQ:3711351    Official account: Ma Huasheng analysis
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