Ma Huasheng:11.19Analysis of the Gold Crude Oil Market and Operational Suggestions for Late Review

　　
　　====Message surface analysis====
　　
Monday Beijing Time(11month19day)23:45The President of the Federal Reserve in New York, USAFOMCPermanent Voting Committee Williams(John Williams)Participate in discussions at the New York City Spanish Chamber of Commerce. Williams is a hawkish official who is10Yue mentioned that if the economy is on track, gradual interest rate hikes are appropriate. There is still some way to go before raising interest rates to near neutral levels. If he makes hawkish remarks, the US dollar index will be boosted,goldOr under pressure, or to1216dollar/ounce; If its attitude leans towards doves, gold is expected to rise again.   In addition, the Bank of Korea's report states that the prospect of rising US interest rates will pose a threat to the economic stability of emerging economies and will strengthen monitoring of such risks. Interest rate hikes and a strong US dollar have driven up volatility in emerging markets and triggered capital outflows, adding variables beyond uncertainty related to trade disputes. A stronger US dollar will increase the cost of repaying US dollar denominated debt.
　　
　　周初黄金走势分析附盈利策略：
　　
　　从日线上看，美联储12The expected decline in monthly interest rate hikes has intensified the downward trend of the US index, providing an opportunity for the rebound of gold. The gold price has currently risen above1220The downward pressure on the US dollar has significantly eased. In addition, the gold price has already risen above4month11A downward trend in recent days75%Percentage and60The resistance of the daily moving average further consolidates the bullish sentiment of gold prices. In terms of technical indicators,KDJas well asRSIIndicator average temperature and upward movement,MACDThe downward trend of the fast slow line is slowing down, and the downward momentum is decreasing,MA5There is a daily upward trend with a bullish candlestick, indicating that gold may continue to rebound in the short term.
　　
From4From an hourly perspective, gold is on an upward trend, but1226Nearby pressure, technically speaking, the gold price has broken through the suppression of the cloud below the cloud map, and the cloud below is in a continuous closing trend, with a significant slowdown in the downward trend,MAThe moving averages are moving upwards,MACDThe fast and slow lines continue to run upwards, and the energy column of the upward movement rises, butKDJandRSIThe indicators are all in the overbought area and have a downward trend, and the short-term gold price can only break through above1226Only with nearby resistance can there be further upward movement1230The possibility above is that if the gold price continues to be under pressure1226Below the resistance, there may still be a short-term pullback to accumulate strength before breaking through in one fell swoop.
　　
　　综合来看，操作上马老师建议回落做多为主，下方关注1216Support nearby, pay attention above1226A line of resistance.
　　
Suggestions for Gold Operations:
　　
　　1Falling back1216-1218Multiple orders entering nearby, stop loss3US dollars, look at the target1226Nearby;
　　
　　2Rebound without breaking1226Empty order entry, stop loss3US dollars, look at the target1218Nearby;
　　
　　crude oilMarket analysis:
　　
　　油价后面几天虽然反弹上升，但是反弹力度有限，而且反弹后基本都有回落调整，因此上周原油整体上仍然连续第六周收跌，大周期趋势上仍然是空头主导，只是上周油价连续三日收阳缓解了原油空头强势的局面，日线图上金价最终收于短周期5Although the daily decline in oil prices is gradually slowing down, andKDas well asRSIThe technical indicators tend to rebound moderately, but the technical downside risk of US crude oil is still relatively high. The overall trend of cloud flow under the cloud map is relatively weak, and there is no obvious sign of closing. In additionMAThe moving average continues to be in a bearish trend, therefore the overall downside risk of oil prices is relatively high. The space for rebound may be relatively limited. Above the moving average,KDJThe indicators are diverging upwards, and Mr. Ma expects the market to continue to fluctuate and rebound in the short term. but4On the hourly chart, there is a risk of a decline in oil prices that needs to be noted; The range of today's crude oil market can be initially locked between the upper and lower tracks of the hourly Bollinger Bands, that is56.4-58.0Region, currently the Bollinger Bands on the hourly chart have remained flat. In summary, crude oil is expected to continue to fluctuate and adjust today. Overall, it is recommended to focus on rebounding and short selling.
　　
Operation suggestions:
　　
　　1Suggestions57.3-57.5Nearby empty orders entering, stop loss57.9, look at the goal56.70-56.50, break through and continue to hold,
　　
　　2Suggestions56.10-56.20Multiple orders entering nearby, stop loss55.8, look at the goal56.8-57.20.
　　
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