Yu Qi's Discussion on Gold:11.19黄金原油走势分析及今日操作建议附解套，今日布局运筹帷幄

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Yu Qi's Discussion on Gold:11.19goldcrude oil走势分析及今日操作建议附解套，今日布局运筹帷幄




消息面：上周黄金在经历了前期的大跌之后，周一再度跌破1200关口，但自周二开始黄金从四周低位反弹，强势上涨，重返1200，1210and1220三关，金价四日上涨一日下跌，金价上周最高触及1225.38美元，最低下探至1195.90美元，金价振幅较上周有所增强。美元上周高位回落，由涨转跌，美元指数三日下跌两日上涨，整体运行在96关口上方，最高触及97.71Points.

上周黄金市场主要受到美元回落及脱欧进程的不确定性的影响。英国首相特雷莎梅竭力争取的脱欧协议内容，引发阁员不满相继辞职，英镑深陷脱欧乱局引发市场震荡，与此同时，意大利预算僵局继续拖累欧元，意大利重新提交欧盟的2019年预算草案维持明年经济增长和赤字预估不变，仅仅调降了公共债务预估，这给欧元前景带来隐忧。此外，多位美联储高官发表讲话，其中美联储主席鲍威尔周三意外发表谨慎言论，突出强调美国经济可能遭遇的阻力，为美联储在明年某一时候暂停加息埋下了伏笔，美元涨势恐见顶。




玉琪论金个人观点：玉琪论金认为，在目前股市波动及欧洲政治，尤其是英国脱欧存在很大变数的情况下，黄金将会受到支撑。市场心理正在转向预期美中贸易争端最终得到解决。这应有助于黄金，因为之前的对峙提振了美元并因此拖累了黄金。美国日益紧张的局势，和即将上任的众议院民主党人似乎打算花时间特朗普总统，以及所谓的脱欧协议日益不确定的未来，和对欧盟的潜在分歧，这些都将支持黄金，即使后者也提振美元。随着12月份的临近，美联储加息又提上了议事日程，尽管黄金多头在目前暂时获得光明，但在加息预期的前景下前途是暗淡的。

黄金走势分析：从日线图来看，国际黄金上周五收盘1221.20dollar/盎司，国际黄金连续四日的涨势触及1224.94美元的位置，日线图MA5AndMA10均线拐头有望形成金叉的迹象，国际黄金上方先看1225美元突破情况，日线附图指标MACD蓝色下跌动能逐渐衰减，DIFAndDEA粘合有望形成金叉暂时处于0Above the axis,RSI指标拐头向上发散运行趋势，暂时处于数值70Lower wave amplitude,Stoch指标拐头形成金叉向上发散运行趋势，暂时处于数值80下方波幅，玉琪论金个人觉得现货黄金短期回调力度有限，整体的趋势依然比较偏涨运行趋势。




从周线图来看，国际黄金连续两周的跌势承压MA200日均线的位置，国际黄金触及1195美元回升企稳MA20均线上方波幅，周线图MA5AndMA10均线拐头处于MA20均线上方波幅，周线图BOLL带有缩口的迹象，周线附图指标MACDThe upward momentum of the red trend is gradually becoming stronger,DIFAndDEA粘合形成金叉向上发散运行趋势，暂时处于0轴下方波幅，RSI指标反转上扬运行趋势，暂时徘徊数值60Position amplitude of,Stoch指标拐头交叉下行运行空头趋势，暂时处于数值80下方波幅。综合来看，今日操作思路上玉琪论金个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方重点关注1226-1228One line of resistance, pay attention below1216-1218Frontline support. Add author Yuqi LunjinweixinNumber（zyq1970622）Daily market analysis, hedging strategies, and medium to long term guidance are all included. Welcome like-minded people to come and discuss!




gold11.19Operation suggestions:1#Lower callback to1216-1218Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1223-1225First line, break through and continue to hold;




2#Above not broken1226-1224Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1220-1218frontline;

原油走势分析：原油上周一承压61.1美金破位下跌，周二延续破位下跌，最低下跌54.7美金，录的年度新低。随后三个交易日低位震荡修正，整体弱势走势格局未变。虽然短期油价有所反弹，但经过此前的连日暴跌之后，WTI原油价格跌至58.00关口下方，基本尽数回吐了年内涨幅。日图经过低位大阴放量之后，连续两个交易日转小阳线K线修正。处于超跌放缓修正当中，还会配合一定的空间反弹，周五围绕56一线震荡收线。但是反转起来也需要较长时间，短线暂时会拉锯震荡。




从四小时上来看，油价触及低点后震荡上行，指标上有反弹的迹象，但是由于大周期油价走势偏弱，导致短周期油价反弹较慢，动能略显薄弱，但是油价一旦于低点筑底蓄力，后市有望迎来不错的反弹，今日操作上首先观察55附近的得失，若二次下探不破，则油价短期的底部结构即可确认，重点关注4小时级别的反弹能否带动日线级别的反弹。综合来看，今日操作思路上玉琪论金个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方重点关注58.3-58.5One line of resistance, pay attention below55.6-55.8Frontline support. For specific solutions and operational strategies, please refer to the author Gong Zhanghao: Yu Qi discusses gold.




如果你空单被套严重，尽快找机会把套单解掉，行情变动损掉还是锁仓都会出现更严重的亏损，长期的持有套单，一方面资金得不到有效利用，不能创造获利，另一方面长期套单内心压抑得不到释放，整个人也会不在状态得不偿失，最后质疑投资身心疲惫。玉琪论金不在文中具体写出，什么点位的单子应该如何处理，这样盲目给建议没有意义，跟进反而适得其反。如果有诚意，带上你的套单，玉琪论金会尽最大帮助的帮你解套回本扭亏为赢!手上有套单的朋友，由于玉琪论金不知道你们进场点位和仓位的具体情况，需要解.套可单线转接玉琪论金获取实时策略。




Cooperation is only the starting point, service has no end. The tree of patience yields the fruit of gold. Mountains cannot stop geese from the south, walls cannot block winds from the north. Without experiencing wind and rain, one cannot grow into a big tree, without undergoing trials and tribulations, it is difficult to become steel. Without experiencing the cold of winter, without knowing the warmth of spring, knives will rust if not sharpened, and people will fall behind if they do not learn. We will create personalized wealth for you. If you are still on the brink of losses, have a portfolio in hand, or have poor overall returns, you can consult Yuqi Lunjin. Regarding the solution-TFriends who are trapped, because Yuqi Lunjin does not know the position and position of your trapped, as long as you find me, Yuqi Lunjin will formulate the most detailed solution for you based on your funds, position, position risk rate, and market trend-TPlan. Time flows like water, fleeting. Seize the moment and do not be blinded by greed.




Comprehensive guidance time:early7:00In the early morning of the next day2:00




Comprehensive guidance teacher:Yuqi's Gold Analysis Team



Wen/Yu Qi's Discussion on Gold(WeChat:zyq1970622,official account:Yu Qi's Discussion on Gold)