Yu Qi's Discussion on Gold:11.16黄金多头回归强势，黄金今日走势分析及操作建议附空单解套

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Yu Qi's Discussion on Gold:11.16gold多头回归强势，黄金今日走势分析及操作建议附空单解套




消息面：美国季调后CPI月率符合预期，但录得1月以来最大涨幅，表明美国通胀正稳步上升，这或将进一步巩固美联储加息路径。此外，美联储主席鮑威尔表示，美国经济良好，未来每次会议后都将召开记者会，意味着每次会议都加息的可能。美联储加息预期对美元形成支撑，但欧元及英镑上涨抵消了美元指数上涨动能，因此贵金属隔夜暴动，最高上涨至1216.51dollar/ounce.

Thursday(11month15day)，英国脱欧大臣拉布辞职导致脱欧进程陷入混乱，美元恢复了动能趁势收复97关口，抵消了投资者对黄金有限的兴趣，美盘时段金价稳定在1208dollar/盎司上方。随着股市下跌，一些避险需求涌入黄金。在政治和经济不确定时期，黄金依然是传统的保值工具。荷兰国际集团(ING)Analyst forWarrenPatterson表示：“我们看到一些英国内阁成员辞职，这种不确定性在短期内为金价提供了一些支撑。所以短线上面黄金多头占据优势，同时消息面的刺激也给与黄金一定支撑！




玉琪论金个人观点：当震荡行情产生时，就是简单高空低多，追涨杀跌不可取。而对于筑底行情，我们首先要明白，总体方向是看涨，所以做多为主。但是筑底并不是一蹴而就，而是反复折腾，所以追涨不可取，只能逢低做多！先明白了行情处于哪个阶段，之后才能够有大的格局策略。黄金现在是周线级别的筑底阶段，如果能够忍受住周线的震荡，那么什么时候做多都可以。但小周期呈现的就是震荡走势，如果不想忍受震荡的煎熬，就逢低做多，而不能直接去追。

黄金走势分析：技术面来看，隔夜美盘后半段金价大阳拉升，收盘时稍有回落最终日线以带有上下影线的大阳柱收尾，不过目前日线布林带三轨有缩口的迹象，短期金价企稳在5日均线上方运行，并且5日均线由之前的走平开始转变为向上延伸，10日均线依旧是缓慢下，同时也限制了金价上行的空间，其他各期均线在向着多头方向转变，但是缺乏势能的指引。sto快慢线金叉大幅向上延伸，快线已经触及到50Axis,macd快慢线死叉开始拐头向金叉转变，不过还要经过一段时间，绿能放量节奏逐步减缓。日线来看，日线目前多头占据优势运行，上方重点关注1216Resistance.




四小时看，黄金在8月份以来上行支持线（1198）的支持下反弹，连续突破1205、1210等阻力，目前正在测试1218一线阻力，从多次突破尝试未果来看该水平非常关键。若能突破1216上行，进一步走强可能指向1220as well as1225等水平。而若未能突破1218，则回落可能指向1210、1205等水平，跌破1205可能会再次考验8月以来趋势线的支持作用。黄金小时图走势分析，小时图布林带目前整体向上开口发散，整体走势较强。小时图黄金上方压制重点关注看1217美金高点，下方支撑首先看昨日低点1208美金，进一步支撑看1205美金。后市整体思路还是回调做多；目前黄金多次受阻于1216Location, Below1210再度下破则强势看多行情不再，转成震荡格局，看破位的情形，虽然下方支撑位置1208日内低点未破之前，我们不能看空，但是若1216位置成为反转高点多次承压，则很有可能转成弱势震荡走势。综合来看，今日操作思路上玉琪论金个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方重点关注1218One line of resistance, pay attention below1206-1208Frontline support. Add author Yuqi LunjinweixinNumber（zyq1970622）Daily market analysis, hedging strategies, and medium to long term guidance are all included. Welcome like-minded people to come and discuss!




Suggestions for Gold Operations:1Obstruction encountered above1218-1216Enter without breaking the empty order, target1210-1208Nearby, stop loss4USD.




2Lower support1208Multiple entry nearby, target1214-1215Nearby, stop loss4USD.

crude oil走势分析：隔夜市场再度迎来大震荡，美股三大指数集体跳水，道琼斯跌破200日均线回落至25000点下方。美股遭遇抛售，美元疲软的影响，原油价格上涨，这与近来分析的原油走向是一致。原油在持续下跌后，昨日盘美油价起低55关口后反弹，力度始终表现不强。技术面上看，原油在连续12日收跌之后，昨日终于收阳结束12连阴，不过大周期上这并没有改变原油的弱势格局。日线上来看，受前期原油走势影响，布林带三轨和MA双线均向下发散运行，MACDbe located0轴下方，绿色动能柱因近两日的涨幅有些许缩量情况。




从四小时上来看，美国原油在大跌之后跌势放缓，油价现受到61.8%回撤位的支撑，KDas well asRSI指标均跌至超卖水平。油价已经跌穿了此前的下行通道，这进一步巩固了看跌情绪，不过，油价在继续下跌之前，有一定的机会回踩下降通道下轨趋势线在57.4美元附近阻力。综合来看：由于早间的利空，原油再次下探56下方，原油的空头趋势未减，所以今日操作思路上玉琪论金个人建议以反弹做空为主，上方重点关注57.6-57.8One line of resistance, pay attention below55.3-55.5Frontline support. For specific solutions and operational strategies, please refer to the author Gong Zhanghao: Yu Qi discusses gold.




What to do if a gold short position is covered:1.1200-1205There are short positions in the vicinity, and in my personal opinion, the level of hedging is not serious. Gold is stable in the short term1210一线，但是黄金多头不听试探1217The frontline pressure level has not been successfully broken, and the author suggests waiting for a rebound in the future market before being eliminated with a small loss; Or a high empty price may lower the average price!




2.Currently in1220附近被套的朋友，笔者个人认为目前被套点位不严重，大多数朋友应该是黄金之前下跌是做的，就笔者个人来看，黄金目前运行于1210上方一线，但是黄金多次试探上方未果，所以笔者建议等待反弹之后小损出局或是低位做多拉低均价以至于获利出局；




3.Currently in1225-1230之间被套多单的朋友应该是占据多数了，因为当初笔者在1230附近的时候也是看好黄金多头，但是我们经常强调带好止损；这就是带好止损的原因，同时笔者建议在1207Layout multiple orders nearby to lower the average price and reduce losses;




Cooperation is only the starting point, service has no end. The tree of patience yields the fruit of gold. Mountains cannot stop geese from the south, walls cannot block winds from the north. Without experiencing wind and rain, one cannot grow into a big tree, without undergoing trials and tribulations, it is difficult to become steel. Without experiencing the cold of winter, without knowing the warmth of spring, knives will rust if not sharpened, and people will fall behind if they do not learn. We will create personalized wealth for you. If you are still on the brink of losses, have a portfolio in hand, or have poor overall returns, you can consult Yuqi Lunjin. Regarding the solution-TFriends who are trapped, because Yuqi Lunjin does not know the position and position of your trapped, as long as you find me, Yuqi Lunjin will formulate the most detailed solution for you based on your funds, position, position risk rate, and market trend-TPlan. Time flows like water, fleeting. Seize the moment and do not be blinded by greed.




Comprehensive guidance time:early7:00In the early morning of the next day2:00




Comprehensive guidance teacher:Yuqi's Gold Analysis Team



Wen/Yu Qi's Discussion on Gold(WeChat:zyq1970622,official account:Yu Qi's Discussion on Gold)