Yu Qi's Discussion on Gold:11.14黄金上涨无力后市还将回落，黄金晚间走势分析及后市解套策略

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Yu Qi's Discussion on Gold:11.14gold上涨无力后市还将回落，黄金晚间走势分析及后市解套策略




阅文前，玉琪论金建议大家调整好心态，如果仅仅是想从此文快速了解做单的技巧的朋友，玉琪论金可以负责任的告诉你，以一位初学者的能力你是学不会的，不管你是实仓操作，还是模拟练习，无论你是新手还是老手，套单、亏损、还是爆仓都请各位调整好心态，尊重市场，玉琪论金经常说的顺势而为永远是生存定律，成功者的经验你的感觉是千篇一律，甚至有些话大家听多了都觉得是废话，会偏向认为成功者肯定有自己的秘诀，其实他们所分享的经验真的就是是成功秘诀，所谓重剑无锋，大巧不工就是这个道理。

消息面：黄金市场周三(11month14day)继续在1200dollar/盎司附近小幅波动，虽然再次跌破该关口，但多头没有放弃，之后回升收复1200水平。晚间公布的美国CPI数据符合预期。美国10monthCPImonth-on-month0.3%, expected0.3%, Previous value0.1%。 U.S.A10monthCPIYoY2.5%, expected2.5%, Previous value2.3%。 U.S.A10Monthly CoreCPImonth-on-month0.2%, expected0.2%, Previous value0.1%。 U.S.A10Monthly CoreCPIYoY2.1%, expected2.2%, Previous value2.2%。


周二尽管美元走软，但黄金仍难以显著上扬。黄金今天白盘区间震荡，虽然几次试探上攻，但是一直没有破位1205位置的压制！空方占据主导优势！晚间美国10monthCPI数据无意外，这将可能会提升对美联储加息的押注，此外美联储主席鲍威尔鹰派言论有望进一步巩固美联储12月份的加息。周四上午鲍威尔将发表讲话，黄金今明两日将再次面临市场空头的考验。

黄金走势分析：黄金技术面上看，金价短线在1200附近震荡整理，不过整体上看。当前黄金日线上仍然是空头走势主导，但是昨日日线收阳结束此前连跌的局面，短期我们需要关注黄金反弹的力度和空间，日线上首先关注的压力位在5Daily moving average1207位置，然后就是前期多空转换点1211附近。短线上的阻力关注日内高点1205-06Near the US dollar;


4小时图显示，黄金短线跌势放缓，金价受10month9日来上升趋势的25%百分比位支撑之后温和反弹，此前一度跌穿1200关口。技术指标自超卖水平小幅反弹，MACD零轴之下金叉，这暗示，黄金在进一步下跌之前或首先反弹，不过反弹的空间或较为有限。四小时移动平均线呈整齐向下发散排列，短期金价仍有处于偏空较强低位修正行情。目前黄金走势上，日线维持空头走势，但是出现防锤线之后就需要关注反弹力度有多少，其次4hourBOLL带缩口，那么短期内黄金出现新低的概率不大，近期应该将会维持着调整行情来走；所以今日走势和操作上，玉琪论金个人建议首先需要关注黄金的1205压力位，以及1196支撑位，其次就是需要关注美元的波动，这对于黄金提供着支撑，而一旦美元再次走强，黄金必然会再度回落。




From gold1小时图看，均线纠结排列，价格收60小时均线压制盘整，走势上消耗MACD金叉周期进行震荡，后市进行再次下探的机会较大，如跌破1195附近支撑则会下探至1190And1180的支撑，如能站稳1195，则有望继续维持震荡修正走势。所以短线操作上还是反弹高空对待，首要压力1205-1208附近，进一步压力看1210-1212区域，下方首要支撑1196，进一步支撑1192区域。在操作上先看黄金的反弹力度能不能突破1205的压制点，不破择机在此下方介入空单。综合来看，今日晚间操作思路上玉琪论金个人建议反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，重点关注下方1196-1198Frontline support, attention from above1205-1207一线阻力。添加笔者玉琪论金weixinNumber（zyq1970622）Daily market analysis, hedging strategies, and medium to long term guidance are all included. Welcome like-minded people to come and discuss!




gold11.14Operation suggestions:1#Lower callback to1195-1196Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1202-1204frontline;




2#Above not broken1205-1207Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1200-1198First line, break through and continue to hold;

crude oil走势分析：从日线来看，随着美国原油进入熊市，原油投资者的悲观情绪愈发明显，机构以及市场对未来原油的基本面愈发看衰这是油价下跌的根本因素。油价目前正在测试2017year6month18日来上升趋势的61.8%回撤位，且布林带的走势非常疲软，这表明油价的中期看跌趋势依旧不变，不过，该水平对油价有较强的支撑，因此投资者需警惕油价超跌后反弹。




from4小时来看，美国原油在大跌之后跌势放缓，油价现受到61.8%回撤位的支撑，KDJas well asRSI指标均跌至超卖水平。油价已经跌穿了此前的下行通道，这进一步巩固了原油的看跌情绪，不过，油价在继续下跌之前，有一定的机会反弹下降通道下轨趋势线在57.40美元附近阻力。4Hour chart display,KThe line is currently running below the middle track of the Bollinger belt, and the opening of the Bollinger belt is running in a downward trend, indicating a continuation of the downward trend. Looking at the attached indicatorsKDJThird line, although the golden fork is currently operating, the turning head is showing a reverse downward trend, indicating that the same risk of stepping back is still present. Looking againMACD双线指标，目前双线虽死叉延续，但，双线逐渐走线粘合，绿色动能柱也是在逐渐缩量。综合来看，目前原油的趋势显示延续下跌，但反弹的需求还是有的，所以今日晚间操作思路上玉琪论金个人建议以反弹做空为主，上方重点关注56.8-57One line of resistance, pay attention below55-55.2Frontline support. For specific solutions and operational strategies, please refer to the author Gong Zhanghao: Yu Qi discusses gold.




Cooperation is only the starting point, service has no end. The tree of patience yields the fruit of gold. Mountains cannot stop geese from the south, walls cannot block winds from the north. Without experiencing wind and rain, one cannot grow into a big tree, without undergoing trials and tribulations, it is difficult to become steel. Without experiencing the cold of winter, without knowing the warmth of spring, knives will rust if not sharpened, and people will fall behind if they do not learn. We will create personalized wealth for you. If you are still on the brink of losses, have a portfolio in hand, or have poor overall returns, you can consult Yuqi Lunjin. Regarding the solution-TFriends who are trapped, because Yuqi Lunjin does not know the position and position of your trapped, as long as you find me, Yuqi Lunjin will formulate the most detailed solution for you based on your funds, position, position risk rate, and market trend-TPlan. Time flows like water, fleeting. Seize the moment and do not be blinded by greed.




Comprehensive guidance time:early7:00In the early morning of the next day2:00




Comprehensive guidance teacher:Yuqi's Gold Analysis Team



Wen/Yu Qi's Discussion on Gold(WeChat:zyq1970622,official account:Yu Qi's Discussion on Gold)