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Yu Qi's Discussion on Gold:11.13gold难改空头趋势,黄金今日行情走势分析及操作建议附多单解套
消息面:黄金周一(11month12Day) continuous7After falling for several trading days, spot gold rose slightly on Monday morning, with the highest gold price reaching1211.30dollar/Ounces, but due to the continued strength of the US dollar index in the afternoon, the lowest point in the US market fell to1199.72dollar/Ounces, below the thousand two mark, reaching a four week low, but still closing at close1200Above the gate. The US dollar continues to rise strongly, with the US dollar index reaching its highest point97.71, creating16个月来的新高,美股及crude oil继续暴跌。日内无重大公布。因此前美联储重申渐进加息,且美国经济数据表现极为靓丽,提振投资者对美元看涨前景。此外,英国脱欧及欧元区财政危机打压英镑、欧元,进一步有助于美元走强,从而导致金价面临进一步下行风险,短线料回测1200The US dollar barrier.
周一美元的强势上涨和黄金的进一步走弱在一定程度上受到了英国脱欧和意大利预算案的不确定性的影响,由于英国和意大利政治的不确定性,美元重新获得上涨动力,而黄金因美元的走强而面临上行压力。
金价跌至一个月低位,因美元走强;金价周一跌至一个月低点,因受美联储鹰派利率政策和欧洲政治不确定性的推动,美元升至16Monthly high; Last week, after the Federal Reserve reiterated its stance on tightening monetary policy, gold prices recorded8The largest weekly decline since the beginning of the month; The head of commodity strategy at Dao Ming Securities stated that the Federal Reserve released hawkish information last week and now sees the consequences; The gold price is now below50day(Moving Average )1210USD; The current trading range is1180-1240The US dollar, we need a catalyst to drive gold prices higher; The Federal Reserve announced last week that it plans to raise interest rates next month and2019It is still possible to raise interest rates twice before the middle of the year, as the economy is improving and wage pressures continue to rise, which has boosted the US dollar; Analysts from Shengbao Bank in Denmark stated that the main influence of gold comes from the renewed strength of the US dollar, due to political uncertainty in the UK and Italy,1200The US dollar is the psychological and technical level that supports gold prices.
黄金走势分析:黄金技术面来看,日线目前已经呈现六阴连跌,并且昨日金价开盘在高位之后就开始呈现阴跌的走势,黄金日线形态连阴,上周五尾盘单边下跌,星期一开盘小幅反弹1210-1211再度下行,短线呈现弱势连跌态势,那么我们操作上保持偏弱思路对待。若是美指继续走高,黄金目前已经在测试1200整数关口,一旦跌破1200,势必将再在迎来一波空头趋势!从日线形态来看,虽然行情依旧是呈现弱势下跌,但是玉琪论金不建议盲目的追空,耐心等待反弹之后在开始布局。日线布林带三轨依旧呈现开口之势,尤其是5The daily moving average diverges in the direction of the opening of the Bollinger Bands, following the trend,10The daily moving average is currently operating at a high level with no signs of turning downward. Currently, gold prices are still operating under pressure and have already drifted outside the Bollinger Bands, while other moving averages are showing a bearish pattern.stoThe fast and slow lines are currently operating in oversold areas, but it is worth noting that the fast and slow lines are still extending downwards without any signs of stopping their decline,macd快慢线继续向下延伸,绿能依旧维持大幅度的快节奏放量。整体来看,日线空头占据优势。
Gold price4小时图看,目前金价压力在水平阻力线1212和拐点压力线1208位置下,同时凌晨金价到达1200附近。黄金4Hour chartK线连阴,MACD在零轴下方放量向下,说明当前仍然处于弱势中。目前短线阻力在1208and1212。短线支撑下移至1196-1198一线。截止写稿黄金一直处于偏弱势,既然是弱势,而且底部也暂时没有形成,那反弹后做空依然是上策。但是目前已经没有合适的位置去参与空头。只能等待金价反弹到合适区域参与空头。综合来看,今日操作思路上玉琪论金个人建议反弹高空为主,回调做多为辅,重点关注下方1196-1198Frontline support, attention from above1208一线阻力。添加笔者玉琪论金weixinNumber(zyq1970622)每日行情解析,解套策略,中长线指导尽在其中,欢迎志同道合之士前来促膝杂谈!
gold11.13Operation suggestions:1#Lower callback to1196-1198Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1202-1204frontline;
2#Above not broken1206-1208Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1202-1200First line, break through and continue to hold;
原油走势分析:原油昨日反弹61.3附近受压再次回落下塔60.4附近受支撑下次反弹61.1再次承压回落下探破新低到58.6附近。从技术面来看,昨日原油持续承压回落,油价再度跌穿60美元整数关,日线级别也是连续连续十个交易日下跌,录得1984年以来最长跌势。尽管KDas well asRSI指标有自超卖水平小幅反弹的趋势,不过,云图下行云的走势依旧极为疲软,这或暗示油价中短线倾向继续下跌,此外,MA均线跌势并没有放缓的迹象,这也进一步巩固了原油的看跌观点。
4小时看,美国原油短线温和反弹,油价正在测试20周期均线的压制,尽管KDas well asRSI指标均呈反弹趋势,不过MA均线继续承看空排列趋势,且云图下行云走势依旧疲软,这也暗示油价短线反弹空间或较为有限。从周一收盘来看,原油一度跌破60大关,冲向低点58.5一线,后市趋势依旧偏向空头,所以今日操作思路上玉琪论金个人建议以反弹做空为主,回调做多为辅,上方重点关注59.8-60.0One line of resistance, pay attention below58.0-58.2一线支撑。具体的解套及操作策略可以关注笔者宫肿浩:玉琪论金。
合作只是起点,服务没有终点,耐心之树,结黄金之果,山高挡不住南来雁,墙高隔住北来风,不经历风雨,长不成大树,不受百炼,难以成钢。不经冬寒,不知春暖,刀不磨要生锈,人不学要落后,为你打造私人财富定制。如果你还一直处于亏损的边缘、手里有套单或者总体收益不理想的朋友都可以咨询玉琪论金。关于解-T:被套的朋友,因为玉琪论金不知道你被套的点位和仓位情况,所以只要你找到我,玉琪论金就会根据你的资金、点位、仓位风险率结合行情走势为你制定最详尽解-T方案。时间如流水,稍纵即逝,抓住眼前,切勿利欲熏心。
Comprehensive guidance time:early7:00In the early morning of the next day2:00
Comprehensive guidance teacher:Yuqi's Gold Analysis Team
Wen/Yu Qi's Discussion on Gold(WeChat:zyq1970622,official account:Yu Qi's Discussion on Gold) |
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