Yu Qi's Discussion on Gold:11.11现货黄金下周一行情走势分析及11.12开盘操作建议附多单解套

[paragraph]
Yu Qi's Discussion on Gold:11.11goods in stockgold下周一行情走势分析及11.12开盘操作建议附多单解套




消息面：国际现货黄金周五（11month9The Asian market opened in the morning1223.30dollar/盎司后短暂走高，录得日内高点1223.50dollar/盎司后转跌，金价震荡下行。欧市金价小幅反弹，多头上攻，但攻势未能持久再度转跌。美市金价高台跳水，跌幅逾15美元，录得日内低点1206.13dollar/盎司后小幅反弹，终收于1208.80dollar/Ounces, down14.60USD, decline1.19%，触及四周低位。

市场此前担忧分裂的国会恐使特朗普在余下的任期中施政受阻，导致美国经济增长放缓，美联储保守加息，但这种担忧随着结果的出炉逐渐消化，美元指数自盘中95.67一线展开反弹，周四美联储放鹰声明和周五乐观的经济数据(10月生产者物价指数及11月密歇根消费者信心指数)继续为多头保驾护航，至周五尾盘，美元最高上探97.02水平，靠近全年高点97.21(10month31Daily high point)frontline.




与之相反，现货黄金本周连失三城(1230、1220、1210Gateway)，因美元反弹，黄金频频承压，多头被迫回补，至周五尾盘，价格日线跌回8Month to10月震荡区间顶部位置1209frontline.crude oil命运更为悲泣。油价自10month3日来始终未能摆脱自76.90开启的下行通道，各大机构评论由于美国原油产量激增，导致油价这一轮持续走低，油市已入熊途。




本周行情回顾：本周黄金高位承压回撤，五日连跌趋弱，上攻未果，周初黄金高位区间震荡，周三晚间黄金上涨1236美金承压下跌，周四周五两天延续下跌，其中周五晚间跌破前期低点1212美金，最低下跌触及1206美金，日线高位连续收阴，周线报收一根实体中阴K线，整体跌幅近30美金。一方面，美国中期选举后，美国股市大涨削弱了黄金的避险需求；另一方面，美国PPI数据录得六年来最佳水平更是给美联储继续加息提供支撑，美元重拾涨势，令金价承压明显；美联储会议如期展现鹰派姿态而符合预期，基本面利空信息跌踵而至，黄金转为下行且扩大跌势成为现实，随着1220美元支撑的跌破位，接下来顺势再探1200关口的概率显然已增加。




玉琪论金个人观点：美国经济向好发展是肯定的，美联储12月落实加息的预期不断在良好的经济数据上得到肯定，美股也是获得企稳，一切与之黄金走势呈负相关性的品种都出现了转机，尤其是美元在经历美国中期选举后已稳固在96关口上方，且重回升势轨道。黄金在此过程中自然呈现下探，周内收盘价虽然很低，往下延伸的空间也有限，但技术面上来看毫无止跌迹象，因此空方寻求1200关口支撑或更低位置是完全有可能的，所以短期内的看跌思路暂不改变。

下周黄金走势分析：从技术面来看，黄金上周四大阳线之后已经5连阴，不过都是小阴线，而按照目前这种弱势的走法，那么后市继续收阴是大概率事件，下方支撑在1205First line, followed by1200-1195区域支撑，按照现在的这种走法，阴跌慢慢侵蚀多头能量，直接企稳可能性不大，空头还有下挫，一般而言需要加速下行后，多头才有二次上涨的机会。日线布林带上轨以及中轨继续走平，目前金价承压运行于布林带中轨已经5/10Below the daily moving average, and5/10日均线已经形成打压金价，随着金价长时间在布林带下轨运行，布林带下轨在缓慢的像下移，若布林带下轨不能形成开口，那么下方的空间也是极其有限的整体来看，日线金价依旧是弱势下探，但是需要注意下方的空间。




from4From an hourly perspective, the three tracks of the Bollinger Belt are showing an opening trend, and recently, gold prices have been showing a continuous decline of broken yin. Although there have been small positive rebounds during this period, it is still very weak. Currently, gold prices continue to operate under pressure5/10Below the daily moving average, and5/10The daily moving average continues to extend downwards with the opening of the Bollinger Belt, indicating that resistance gradually decreases over time, and the high point of gold price rebound will also gradually move downwards,stoThe fast and slow lines ran until the previous golden fork50After turning into a dead fork and extending downwards near the axis, the express line has already run in the oversold area, and the slow line is also running synchronously,macdThe fast and slow lines extend parallel downwards to0轴下方，绿能继续保持快节奏的放量。整体来看，4小时空头占据优势，所以下周一操作思路上玉琪论金个人建议反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，重点关注下方1203-1205First line support, above1213-1215一线阻力。添加笔者玉琪论金weixinNumber（zyq1970622）Daily market analysis, hedging strategies, and medium to long term guidance are all included. Welcome like-minded people to come and discuss!




Suggestions for Gold's next Monday operation:1#Lower callback to1204-1206Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1210-1212frontline;




2#Above not broken1213-1215Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1208-1206First line, break through and continue to hold;

下周原油走势分析：近期原油市场大消息不断，美国对伊朗制裁正式生效，美国10月非农表现靓丽，中期选举后首轮美联储利率决议以将召开，受此影响，原油价格随时有跌破60.0大关的风险。此时，外媒报道出美墨边境墙将开工，特朗普不确定风险降温，美元指数获得利好支撑，原油价格则继续承压。技术面上看，油价目前处于单边下跌走势，周线图显示，本周结束后，原油有望连续第五周收跌，空头强劲；短线依旧偏空，还没有出现快速的下探回升。也就是说止跌形态依然没有出现，日内短线还可以顺势短线跟空看新低，但不能太贪，破低后就要及时止盈。




从短线上看，油价欧盘中跳水跌破60大关，短期空头趋势得以延续，因此下周初趋势上不用考虑太多，继续顺势看跌即可，下方的支撑关注2month14Daily low point58.2Nearby and2month10Daily low point58整数关口附近。下方周线的支撑仍在58.50区域。大周期的强支撑。可能并不一定会完全触到，所以空单最好是在此位上方及时出局即可，同时给到58.50-59.0区域重点反手做多看回升。综合来看，下周一操作思路上玉琪论金个人建议以反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方重点关注61.1-61.3One line of resistance, pay attention below59.0-59.2Frontline support. For specific solutions and operational strategies, please refer to the author Gong Zhanghao: Yu Qi discusses gold.




What to do with a golden multi sheet duvet cover:1On1230上方被套的多单，目前来说已经被套20个点了，且上方1216-18已是短线压力位，此时单子风险率已是很高，玉琪论金建议反弹至1218附近减仓持有，等待下一波反弹。




2For1220附近被套的多单，玉琪论金建议1208附近补仓，反弹至1216附近全部出局，黄金目前空头强势，但是难免会出现底部震荡迹象，所以再给到反弹机会，多单切记出局，不要再拿。




Cooperation is only the starting point, service has no end. The tree of patience yields the fruit of gold. Mountains cannot stop geese from the south, walls cannot block winds from the north. Without experiencing wind and rain, one cannot grow into a big tree, without undergoing trials and tribulations, it is difficult to become steel. Without experiencing the cold of winter, without knowing the warmth of spring, knives will rust if not sharpened, and people will fall behind if they do not learn. We will create personalized wealth for you. If you are still on the brink of losses, have a portfolio in hand, or have poor overall returns, you can consult Yuqi Lunjin. Regarding the solution-TFriends who are trapped, because Yuqi Lunjin does not know the position and position of your trapped, as long as you find me, Yuqi Lunjin will formulate the most detailed solution for you based on your funds, position, position risk rate, and market trend-TPlan. Time flows like water, fleeting. Seize the moment and do not be blinded by greed.




Comprehensive guidance time:early7:00In the early morning of the next day2:00




Comprehensive guidance teacher:Yuqi's Gold Analysis Team



Wen/Yu Qi's Discussion on Gold(WeChat:zyq1970622,official account:Yu Qi's Discussion on Gold)