弘悦论金:10.29黄金多头艰难上攻，原油区间震荡逢低多？

弘悦论金:10.29gold多头艰难上攻，crude oil区间震荡逢低多？

大家早晨好，新的一周开始了，本周又是非农超级周，不知大家在这个市场经历了多少个非农周，反正弘悦已经不记得自己经历多少个了，突然感觉近两年的非农行情已经不同以前，单边行情的概率已经跌到冰点。不过可幸的是非农做单的风险也大大降低，不知大家近几个非农数据操作的如何？近期黄金一直处于震荡上行，不断创新高，大家又操作的如何？当你看着别人做多一直都在赚钱，而自己一周或一个月下来发现自己不赚反而亏损，到底是什么原因，你有想过吗？面对这种情况的时候，弘悦论金想说的是，投资本身没有风险，失控的投资才有风险，不要用你的侥幸去挑战行情，运气这东西是有，碰上一次别再去奢望第二次，学会止损，千万别和亏损谈恋爱，止损远比盈利重要，因为任何时候保本都是第一位的，盈利是第二位的；止损的最终目的是保存实力，提高资金利用率和效率，避免小错铸成大错，甚至导致全军覆没，止损不能规避风险，但可以避免遭到更大的意外风险，所以止损技巧是每个投资者都应该掌握，止损就是投资的生命线，不要因小失大最后得不偿失，记住一句话，当你真正懂得如何去控制风险才是你扭亏为盈的时候！

Analysis of International Gold Market Trends:

刚刚过去的一周，国际黄金艰难上攻，由于全球股市尤其是美国股市表现较差，在避险情绪的帮助下，顶住强势美元的*，一度刷新三个月高点至1243.44dollar/Ounces, closing1233.97dollar/盎司，周线录得四连阳；技术面正好触及周线布林线中轨附近阻力，分析师弘悦论金个人觉得本周国际黄金走势依然存在极大的变数。上周美国的经济数据比较乐观，给美元提供支撑，限制国际黄金的上涨，但美国三季度GDPAfter the data, the US dollar index fell slightly after reaching a two month high, but the weekly chart still recorded0.79%The increase is the main reason for the limited increase in international gold this week. The sharp decline in global stock markets has significantly increased market risk aversion, with the panic index reaching a two-week high10month11The eight month high hit by the Japanese also wants to go not far, which has given rise to some safe haven demand for gold and provided some upward momentum for international gold. Last week, hardware prices even touched once again1243.44dollar/Ounces, for7month17A new high has been reached recently.

From a daily perspective, during the daily cycle, the small bullion with a lead above last Friday ended, constantly testing high levels, and gold moved from10After the early month's pull-up and breakout, it has been showing a fluctuating upward trend, with5Daily moving average10Supported by the daily moving average, the Bollinger band is moving upwards, and the trend continues to be bullish. The target for this week is1250Nearby; Looking at it in four hours, gold surged in the US market last Friday night1243The US dollar fell rapidly under pressure and closed1233USD, taking back all gains. During the continuous rise of gold, there will definitely be a correction and adjustment, and only when the adjustment is in place can the next round of rise be initiated. The four hour chart shows gold rising and falling in China, with short-term long positions taking back. This Monday, the gold forecast is expected to continue to fluctuate downwards. Let's take a closer look below1230Supported by US dollars, under pressure1250dollar.

Overall, last Friday's breakthrough in gold ultimately ended in failure, which is not a good phenomenon. One go, another go, three go, and consecutive4The second impact will inevitably consume the momentum of the bulls. As the saying goes, the decline of the bulls' strength will inevitably lead to a fierce counterattack by the bears. The best situation this week is to1230-1250Continuing to fluctuate within the range, bulls will regain their strength before seeking an upward attack. Short term focus1230-1224Please pay attention to the support situation from above1250The breakthrough situation can be achieved by operating in the upper range this week. The focus of this week is still on10Although the non agricultural data for the past two years is no longer expected, we still need to pay attention to the non agricultural data for the month. If gold is still in use before the data is released1228Above, so timely non agricultural data is bearish, and don't chase after the short. Find more points to go, and the defensive points below are1218-1220. Before the non agricultural period, gold was mainly bullish with a downward trend, arranged at the beginning of the week1230-1250高抛低吸。今日操作思路上弘悦论金个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方重点关注1240-1243One line of resistance, pay attention below1228-1230Frontline support.

Gold10.29Operation suggestions:

1#Lower callback to1228-1230Long on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1235-1237First line, break through and continue to hold;

2#Above not broken1240-1243Short on the front line, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1235-1233frontline;

3#、盘间行情实时变化具体操作策略以弘悦论金指导实盘为准！

Analysis of the international crude oil market trend:

原油近期的延续性极差，虽然指标MACD能量柱在缩减，但是原油偏弱的现象一日不改变，原油就很难有大的涨幅，不过，原油想要彻底转为跌势还需耐心观察。另外，近期做单不要盲目看单边上涨或是下跌，根据阻力位和支撑位来做单比较稳妥。技术面上从四小时图上看，原油二次下探不破低，K线形态有点走反弹的迹象，使得日内短线看空的空间不大，至少在不破66.0低点还是有反弹的风险，加上周尾周线收官，空头获利回吐了结盘出现，会刺激一定的反弹修正。

从日线图来看，原油在不到一个月的时间走出超过10美金的跌幅，在没有决定性政策或者消息的刺激，再或者强大的支撑位置，原油的空头仍是我们的主要选择，MA30MA60走势趋平，MA5MA10走势向下，MACD死叉向下，绿色动能柱增量，整体偏空的趋势并未受到明显支撑；四小时图上看，油价短线走势较为震荡，跌势有一定的放缓迹象，MA短周期均线有温和反弹的迹象，不过较长中期均线的走势依旧看空。技术指标呈震荡反弹趋势，不过涨势并不稳定，而云图下行云走势也没有明显的收口或者反弹的迹象，因此，原油短线可能有一定的反弹几率但是整体风险倾向下行。综合来看：对于本周的行情而言，弘悦论金个人认为短线继续看涨，大周期也继续维持反弹调整的走势，原油上涨整体来看算是震荡，区间在66/68.4中震荡，不过交易比较难做，弱势中总有突破大力度产生，所以难以走出震荡。综合来看，今日操作思路上弘悦论金个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方重点关注68.2-68.4One line of resistance, pay attention below66.5-66.7Frontline support.

Crude oil10.29Operation suggestions:

1#Rebound68.2-68.4Short on the front line, stop loss0.4USD, target67.6-67.4frontline;

2#Callback66.5-66.7Long on the front line, stop loss0.4USD, target67.2-67.4First line, break through and continue to hold;

一个充满诱惑的世界和千百年来不变的人性，决定了交易者很难一直做到心如止水，一时易，一世难，持续性的缺失造成了很多不可预知的结果，投机之所以神秘，因为他总是能够轻而易举的触碰到人性中最敏感的那几种神经，贪婪，恐惧，侥幸等等，纸上得来终觉浅，交易理论可以在面上学习，但是交易能力却是一个不断寻找，修正，感悟的过程，感性与理性的抉择，总是在冲突中不断的锻造交易者更坚强的品格，交易是一个开始就没有结束的过程，所有的输赢都只是代表了某一个阶段，赢是输的开始，输是赢的开始，大家要懂得路遥知马力，日久见人心的道理。

本文由弘悦论金(tiny*letterhylj68 )团队独家策划以上内容仅供参考。投资有风险，入市需谨慎。套单.Lock order.If the operation is not ideal, please communicate with yourself.