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yes9monthCPIandPPI的简要分析

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1. CPI同比上涨,PPI同比下降,但去掉翘尾因素,新涨价因素推动CPI较上月上涨更加明显,同时,去掉翘尾因素,PPI实际表现为较上月上涨,而不是下跌;
2. 食品的环比上涨有一定的双节因素,但是,猪肉价格的环比涨幅已经出现回落;
3. CPI上涨主要是受到食品和crude oil价格影响,核心CPI实际表现为下降。其中,医疗服务下降最为明显;
4. PPI中,上游的采掘业和原材料业环比上涨明显,生产资料PPI同比的上涨主要也是受到食品价格的影响;
5. PPIandPPIRM继续倒挂,但较前值有所收敛;
6. 总体来看,核心CPI同比走低和环比走平,同时随着翘尾因素的减弱与消除,年内物价基本可控。但是要注意在扩大进口的背景下,人民币贬值后对进口价格的影响,即注意所谓的输入性通胀的问题,应注意到来年对物价控制难度的提高。
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