Yu Qi's Discussion on Gold:8.31黄金原油今日走势分析，黄金原油操作建议附解仓策略

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Yu Qi's Discussion on Gold:8.31goldcrude oil今日走势分析，黄金原油操作建议附解仓策略




消息面：周四（8month30Day)20:30Published by the United States7Monthly CorePCEPrice Index Annual Rate Report2%, reaching6年高位，与预期持平，前值为1.9%；7Monthly CorePCE物价指数月率报0.2%，符合预期。现货黄金周四（8month30Japan) increased its decline and reached its lowest point in the day1195.95dollar/Ounces, gold price has fallen below1200In the short term, there has been a diving trend at the major level, and the downward trend has resumed. The US dollar stopped falling and rebounded on Thursday, with the US dollar index approaching95At the critical juncture, we will regain our upward momentum. Announced within the day from the United States to8month25The number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week is21.3ten thousand people,Slightly higher than the previous value2110000 but lower than expected21.4Ten thousand people, still at a historical low; United States7Monthly CorePCEThe annual rate is2%Meets expectations and boosts the Federal Reserve12The possibility of monthly interest rate hikes has given the US dollar an opportunity to rebound.

From the United States to8month25日当周初请失业金人数较上周出现增长，但潜在趋势表明强劲的劳动力市场将促使今年经济保持稳健增长。到目前为止，申请失业金数据中并无任何迹象表明美国总统特朗普政府的贸易政策及其导致的贸易摩擦正在损害劳动力市场。当前的就业市场被视为接近或已经达到充分就业状态，薪资稳步提升，有助于支持消费者支出并推动整体经济增长。




因市场恐慌情绪继续蔓延，阿根廷比索跳水15.6%to39；离岸人民币兑美元跌破6.85, refresh8month24日以来新低；此外，土耳其里拉兑美元一度跌超5%。黄金也遭到连累，数据显示，COMEXMost Active GoldfuturesContract in Beijing Time21:33-21:36The trading volume within four minutes is11330Hand, the total value of the trading contract is close to14亿美元；现货黄金短线跳水4The US dollar has fallen below1200dollar/盎司，日内跌幅逾0.57%Touching1195.95dollar/盎司低点。




玉琪论金个人观点：近期黄金的走势主要都是由美元主导，后市美元涨势是否进入阶段性尾声，直接决定了本轮黄金能走多远。长线来看，刺激美元继续走强的因素在逐渐消失，这决定了黄金最终能够赢得翻身机会。但不可忽略的是短期美国经济韧性仍在，本周公布的消费者信心处于近18年来的最高水平，良好的基本面也决定了目前美指不具备大跌的基础。美指涨势尚未完全进入尾声阶段，这为黄金反弹涨势持久性打了折扣。目前来看，美指区间震荡，黄金1200关口多次得而复失，表明市场在此分歧较大。黄金若不能有效突破1198关口，并持稳在该水平上方，则说明金价逆转仍需时间等待。

黄金走势分析：昨日美盘美元大幅拉升走高，因此黄金承压。黄金走势仍然是看美元脸色，黄金价格短线跌破1200关口，导致短期市场看涨情绪有所缓解从日线级别来看，昨日金价在重返1200关口后多方力量优势恢复，但能否继续上行还有待观察，目前日线上布林带三轨都开始走平，金价运行与布林带中轨上方，若能守住该位置，则有望进一步上探布林线上轨1225Nearby resistance,MACD附图指标交金叉良好运行，红色动能柱放量，指标偏强，不过（8month9日）高点1217附近也还存在较强的阻力，1309-1160Downtrend38.2％回撤位也在该位置附近。如果上破1217阻力，则增加看涨信号。若未能顶破1217阻力，则关注布林线中轨1196附近支撑，然后是1190一线附近支撑，若意外失守该位置，则增加下行风险。要知道下周就是非农数据。短期上方关注1208附近的压制，进一步阻力则位于本周高位于1214一线，而下方则重点关注1196-1190区域的压制，再往下就是二次反弹的底部1183的强支撑。




从日线级别来看，目前日线布林带三轨都开始走平，金价运行与布林带中轨附近，若能守住该位置，则有望进一步上探布林线上轨1225附近阻力，若未能顶破1217阻力，则关注布林线中轨1198附近支撑，然后是1193一线附近支撑，若意外失守该位置，则增加下行风险。从4From an hourly perspective, currently the Bollinger Belt's three tracks are flat,KThe line runs near the middle track of the Bollinger Belt, and currently the short-term moving average line5Run the daily hook upwards,MACDThe speed line of the indicator in the attached image0Divergent downward on the axis, slow line with a tendency to hook, green kinetic energy column with strong indicators, support from below to see Bollinger belt lower track support1195Nearby, followed by1190一线支撑，金价上方关注1206-1208附近阻力。小时线上，受昨日晚间数据的影响，布林带开口明显扩张，MA5andMA10交死叉于布林带中轨下方，日内整体受到布林带上轨1206-1208一线的阻力。今日操作思路上玉琪论金个人建议反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅。添加笔者玉琪论金WeiXinnumber(zyq1970622)Daily market analysis, unpacking strategies, and guidance on medium - and long-term layout are all included. like-minded individuals are welcome to come and have a long conversation!

原油走势分析：原油目前从日线图来看我们可以发现，每次原油破新高后，都会再度回调，然而低点确实在逐步上移，日图进入宽幅区间反复整理，K线上探后留有上影线，有点在整理中酝酿趋势的感觉。并且目前K线连续收阳，均线金叉上攻，由此可见原油已然处在了浪形上行走势中，但是随机指标有弯头下行风险，这表明原油短线有着回调的可能。从4From an hourly perspective, oil prices have fallen twice to64.4美元附近形成双针探底油价随之展开反弹，同样是走出五连阳直接把油价送上高位，突破到布林带上轨，形态上走进超买区域。综合来看，今日操作思路上玉琪论金个人建议回调做多为主，反弹高空为辅，上方重点关注70.5-70.7One line of resistance, pay attention below69.0-69.2一线支撑。具体的解套或者实时指导策略可以关注功肿/Hao "Yuqi discusses the acquisition of gold"!




Message:What we do belongs to venture capital,If risks are not properly controlled,Always losing money,Just blindly investing funds,That would lose the significance of investing!Investment relies not on luck,But rather accurately judge the market trend,Calm down and face the ups and downs of the market,Emotions never dance with gains or losses. The risk is not scary,What's scary is that,Let risk get out of control!You are still troubled by countless stop losses?Still feeling frustrated about going in the opposite direction when making a single order?Still running away hastily for a small profit?Please entrust professional matters to professionals,Endless profits come from cooperation!




Comprehensive guidance time:early7:00In the early morning of the next day2:00




Comprehensive guidance teacher:Yuqi's Gold Analysis Team



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