消息面:周四(8month30Day)20:30,美国商务部公布的7Monthly CorePCEPrice Index Annual Rate Report2%, consistent with expectations, previous value was1.9%;7Monthly CorePCE物价指数月率报0.2%,符合预期。同时公布的加拿大6monthGDP月率则报0%, lower than expected0.1%, previous value is0.5%。数据公布后引发汇市震荡。其中美元回吐日内部分涨幅,日内涨幅收窄至0.11%;美元兑加元短线上涨近50点;黄金短线下跌后收复失地。
4小时图显示,金价回落1200附近后回升,随后晚间急速下跌,加之机构砸盘,黄金最低下探至1195一线,重回第一下降区间,短线技术看空情绪重新再度回到紧张局面;当前K线持于4小时布林带下轨下方,布林带整体处于超卖运行,那么晚间预计黄金将在中下轨之间运行,下方支撑关注前期低点支撑1192附近,上方阻力关注上轨1206美元附近。操作上建议仍然按震荡行情来进行布局,1192-1206区间内高抛低吸即可。4Hour chartMA5AndMA10均线粘合处于MA20均线下方波幅,4Hourly attached indicatorsMACD蓝色下跌动能逐渐较强,DIFAndDEA粘合形成死叉下行运行空头趋势,RSI指标徘徊数值50附近波幅,Stoch指标拐头形成死叉下行运行空头趋势。小时图BOLL带暂时还没开口,小时附图指标MACD蓝色下跌动能逐渐较强,DIFAndDEA粘合形成死叉下行运行空头趋势,暂时处于0轴下方波幅,RSIIndicator is in numerical value30的位置上扬,Stoch指标徘徊数值20Near.
综合来看,黄金短期趋势震荡偏空,因此短线操作上建议反弹做空为主,做空位置关注短期阻力1205-06美元小时图上,黄金前方一波上涨的最大有效回调深度就是斐波那契回调线0.618对应的1193--1187这个区间支撑,此区间若不被跌破,黄金短期内回弹的可能性还是很大的。鉴于黄金下破1200,但又受到下方强力的支撑。综合来看,午夜操作上玉琪论金建议反弹做空为主,回调做多为辅。上方关注1206-1208One line of resistance, pay attention below1196-1194一线支撑。添加笔者玉琪论金WeiXinnumber(zyq1970622)Daily market analysis, unpacking strategies, and guidance on medium - and long-term layout are all included. like-minded individuals are welcome to come and have a long conversation!
crude oil走势分析:日线连阳上涨走高,本周的原油我们需要跟随盘面思路看涨,但上涨的空间不会大,主要是原油离之前的大顶非常近,大顶下方有修复和整理的需要,再加之上周上涨过多有修复的需要,所以本周行情震荡式上涨的可能性非常大。短期均线金叉运行,隔夜油价顶破了100Daily moving average68.70附近支撑,有望进一步上探7month30Daily high point70.40附近阻力,布林线上轨阻力也在该位置附近,能否进一步上破还有待观察;另外69.30附近也存在一些阻力,若上破该位置,则增加短线看涨信号;下方留意5Daily moving average68.40Nearby support,20The daily moving average is supported by67.40附近,若意外失守该位置,则削弱看涨信号。
四小时死叉和MCAD向下放量都未能带动行情启动下探,操作上围绕小时图通道支撑线做布局跟进,一旦跌破趋势支撑线,将重新调整思路,小时图顶背离信号已经开始逐步出现,当行情破支撑线后,切记调整向下思路。玉琪论金个人综合来看,周线已转阳,形态上走进超买区域,油价大方向可能再一次挑战70美元整数关口阻力。综合来看,所以午夜操作思路上玉琪论金个人建议短线暂以回落做多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方重点关注70.4-70.6One line of resistance, pay attention below68.6-68.8一线支撑。具体的解套或者实时指导策略可以关注功肿/Hao "Yuqi discusses the acquisition of gold"!
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Comprehensive guidance teacher:Yuqi's Gold Analysis Team
writing/Yu Qi's Discussion on Gold(WeChat:zyq1970622,official account:Yu Qi's Discussion on Gold)