Xiaowen's Discussion on Jin:8.28Canada may relay pressure on the US dollar, analysis of the trend of gold, crude oil, and copper in the Hang Seng Index

The agreement reached between the US and Mexico has put pressure on the US dollar,goldTaking advantage of the opportunity to soar, Canada may continue to assist gold in "slaughtering the city"; Theresa May said there is no agreement to leave Europe, not the end of the world, but it may be the end of the pound; Iran faces internal and external troubles,crude oilConcerns about supply tightening and soaring sentiment have caused bearish sentiment to subside?
Can Canada take over the pressure on the US dollar as the US and Mexico reach an agreement to reduce risk aversion?
Tuesday（8month28In the early hours of the morning, a spokesperson for Canadian Foreign Minister Freeland stated that Canadian Foreign Minister Freeland will travel to Washington on Tuesday to participate in the North American Free Trade Agreement（NAFTA）Negotiation. On Monday evening, the United States and Mexico reached a US Mexico free trade agreement, reducing market risk aversion and causing the US index to fall below95At the checkpoint, hit a new low all around. The market is currently more concerned about whether Canada can also share this achievement, and some analysts believe that the United States may pressure Canada to reach an agreement. And US National Economic Advisor Kudlow also stated that if Canada refuses to reach an agreement, the US may impose car tariffs on it. If Canada fails to reach an agreement with the United States, the Canadian dollar may be severely damaged; On the contrary, the US dollar is likely to continue to decline.
Brexit without an agreement is not the end of the world, but could be the end of the pound?
According to foreign media reports, British Prime Minister Theresa May stated today that Brexit without an agreement is not the end of the world. The UK government released a proposal document yesterday to deal with non agreement Brexit, covering various aspects such as business, finance, and healthcare. The document shows that if no agreement is reached, the UK will only adopt one approach after Brexit - cross-border trade between the UK and the EU. The UK government will provide a long list of preparation tasks for import and export companies entering and leaving the EU to prepare in advance. As concerns about Brexit continued to rise in the market, the pound fell under pressure and fell to a one-year low against the euro within the day.
The King of Saudi Arabia calls for a halt to Saudi AramcoIPOAm I afraid of a significant increase in production in the short term?
On Tuesday morning, Reuters quoted sources as saying that Saudi King Salman had suspended Saudi Aramco's listing plan. According to insiders, Salman, along with members of the royal family, financial advisors, and senior executives of oil companies6At the mid month meeting, influential figures emphasized that the drawbacks of Saudi Aramco's listing outweigh the benefits. Opponents are concerned2A valuation of trillions of dollars is unrealistic, and there are concerns about legal risks and stricter financial disclosure requirements faced by overseas listings; And Salman has already6At the end of the month, the executive was notified to suspend the listing plan, and this was the final decision. Yesterday, it was reported that Saudi Aramco has lost its exclusive permanent oil extraction rights, and investors should be wary of Saudi Aramco's significant increase in production in the short term.
Is Iran facing severe internal and external troubles and a looming collapse?
Iran is currently facing internal and external challenges, and the situation is very severe. According to foreign media reports, the Iranian parliament is reported to be suing Iranian President Rouhani in court, after several high-ranking officials in Iran have been impeached. In addition, Iran announced once again yesterday that it will blockade the Strait of Hormuz, but Saudi energy advisors said today that Iran cannot completely or partially blockade the Strait of Hormuz and the Strait of Mand. He also stated that if Iran blocks the Strait of Hormuz, the United Nations Security Council is likely to authorize military action. The current situation in Iran is very urgent, which has once again raised concerns in the market about tightening crude oil supply.
【 Analysis and Layout of the Hang Seng Index Market 】
（8month28The Hang Seng Index did not break through the stable upper limit today28500, leading to a correction in the overall trend, with the hour line at noonMA20Front line support fluctuated, with the closing line directly below during the late trading session. In the evening, a slight rebound and short selling were the main focus.
1Suggest to use28310Short selling nearby, target28200Stop loss80Points
[Gold Market Analysis Layout]
（8month28Japanese) US gold opened today with a volatile rise and has also broken through1220Frontline suppression position, currently under long-term attention1240In the short term, the position is mainly bullish with a slight decline.
1Suggest to use1217Multiple entry nearby, target1225Stop loss4dollar
[Layout of crude oil market analysis]
（8month28US crude oil opened higher today, but after closing yesterday, it didn't show a significant trend for the whole day. Please pay attention yesterday69.30The position has not yet broken through, and today's upward trend seems to be a good one. It is still bullish and has stabilized its daily trendMA40Above, let's take a look today and simply place more orders. Follow the Bollinger Bands on the four hour track.
1Suggest to use69.80Multiple entry nearby, target69.60USD, stop loss0.4
【 Analysis and Layout of Copper Market in the United States 】
（8month28From the daily trend of the Bollinger Bands, Meijing Copper has been closing at a bullish level in recent days, but has not been able to break through the suppression position on the middle track. Today, the main focus is on short selling during the rebound, and it is stable to wait for the rebound on the middle track before entering the short position. There is a slight suppression on the hourly line, and breaking through will be done by looking at the daily middle track and the four hour upper track.
1Suggest rebound2.7250Nearby empty orders enter, target2.7000Stop loss0.01
The drastic fluctuations in prices imply enormous risks and opportunities. We must first avoid risks before capturing opportunities, and the order must not be reversed. Because after several profitable flips, with only one hundred percent loss, the entire army is destroyed, and everyone understands this principle. So whether facing losses or profit drawdowns, risk control is a task that every transaction must do, not only to do it, but also to do it well. However, too many investors, due to their inner fragility, repeatedly compromise and compromise in the face of principles, making them ambiguous. If risk control is not in place, capturing any number of opportunities will be in vain.
If I am advantageous and the customer is not, then the customer does not exist; If my profit is large and the customer's profit is small, then the customer will not be long; If the customer benefits me equally, then the customer can survive for a long time, and I can benefit for a long time!
writing/Xiaowen's Discussion on Gold（xwd860）