易泽铭认为特朗普将减少美国贸易逆差作为要务,升息和美元走强两个因素叠加将给出口增长带来风险,看似特朗普想让美元保持在较低水平以保持竞争力。本周给国际黄金提供较强的上涨动能;而是美国耐用品订单数据表现不佳和鲍威尔发表偏鸽派讲话也是美元走弱的因素。美联储本周释放的信号远远不如前几个月那么鹰派,虽然基本不会影响9月份的加息预期,目前市场预期美联储9月份加息的概率仍高达92.3%, but it is expected that12月份再次加息的概率仍在60%about.
技术面上分析,日线上经过上周五的一波超过20美金的上涨大阳拉升后,突破了许久没能站上的MA20均线,同时带动均线和MACD双线金叉放量,呈现了强势反弹态势,独立强势上攻收盘在1204之上,日线上看多是没有疑问的,短周期4H中黄金自周五早盘探底1183一线后从布林下轨一路上涨到布林上轨,均线也从此前的死叉转变为金叉,强势的多头不言而喻,随着布林的不断张口后市有望继续上攻,此前的起跌点1213成为第一阻力,小时图中自冲高1208后出现小幅回撤到1205收尾,布林虽仍是张口,走势上仍是以多为主,但MA5均线有拐头向下的迹象,毕竟一波拉升后市还想冲高回调蓄势是必然的,所以今日操作思路上也不要急于去追多,涨幅过大,而且是急涨,黄金必有回调。综合来看,周初操作思路上易泽铭建议以回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方重点关注1210-1212One line of resistance, pay attention below1196-1198Frontline support. The market is constantly changing, and more market analysis and operational suggestions can be linked/系易泽铭微信:2114667900,每日行情分析、解.Strategy planning and guidance for medium to long term layout are all included!
国际金操作策略:
1Suggestions1200-02Long in batches, stop loss1195, Objective1205-08;
2Suggestions1210-12Short in batches, stop loss1215, Objective1205-1200;(策略仅供参考)
3、盘间行情实时变化具体操作策略以易泽铭卫星2114667900实战为准!
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