今天周五(8month24day),杰克逊霍尔年会首日研讨会已经开始,市场关注鲍威尔讲话,届时汇市恐将受到冲击,22:00Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will deliver a speech on "Monetary Policy in a Changing Economy.". The annual meeting is known as the "barometer" of policy turning points. From the perspective of exchanges, almost every meeting will have important central bank officials release clear signals, including hints of interest rate hikes or cutsQE等。若一如既往地鹰派,那么美元或继续攀升,而黄金很有可能将再受冲击恐跌破1180关口;故此,今晚鲍威尔讲话仍将冲击金银汇市场,投资者需警惕其讲话带来的风险。
Du Shuqi - Market Analysis
目前技术面上分析来看,黄金日线图上隔日收取阴KLine cross star, ending the consecutive positive trend, under pressure1200Below the checkpoint, it is important to pay attention to today's daily closing situation, such as closing at1190Below, continue to observe the downward rebound of gold, otherwise, observe the strength of the rebound, but do not break through1200反弹难以延续即不破不立;4小时图上看,布林带指标在缩口运行时,黄金低至1186.2一线,并未有效打开布林下轨空间,转而偏震荡运行,布林下轨运行于1182.5一线形成支撑,MA5/MA10均线及布林中轨首要于1193一线施压,布林上轨继续于1198展开压制,MACD指标死叉运行于0轴附近,绿色量能冒头增加,指标中性。
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黄金从短线走势来看,周三黄金冲高回落报收一个十字星,中轨压力位从1204Moving further down nearby1202Nearby; Currently, the overall gold price is still in a downward trend, and gold bears still have an overall short-term technical advantage. Multiple preliminary attacks1200关口但得而复失,意味着金价还未实现逆转。短期我们继续关注日图布林带中轨的强压;短线4The hourly chart shows that the gold price fell below the intraday limit today1190At the checkpoint, the current gold price is held between the middle and lower tracks of the Bollinger Bands, while5Rihe10日均线已经死叉向下发散;短期黄金趋势偏弱势;那么今日操作思路上舒奇个人建议以反弹做空为主,上方重点关注1192-94One line of resistance, pay attention below1178-80Frontline support.
Du Shuqi - Operational Suggestions
1Suggest a rebound1192-94Empty order entry, stop loss4USD, target1186-84.