Fanghua Lunjin:8.22晚评黄金、原油EIA走势分析及操作策略布局

　
　　goldMessage surface--

　　近期因美元持续下跌，令金银价格受到支撑。周二美元指数跌势突然加剧，目前美元交投于95.2Nearby. Previously, the US President once again criticized the Federal Reserve for raising interest rates and accused Europe and other regions of currency manipulation. Trump believes that the Federal Reserve should be more lenient, and his government is working hard to negotiate trade and be tough on other countries. "We will win," but during this period, "I should get some help from the Federal Reserve." He accused Europe and other regions of manipulating their respective currencies, "I believe the euro is also being manipulated," and said that if interest rates continue to rise, he will criticize the Federal Reserve. The US dollar declined under Trump's verbal pressure, and as the dollar fell, the speeches of the EU's Chief Brexit negotiator and the UK Brexit Secretary gave the market a slight boost, with bullish gold and silver positions slightly increasing.

Gold technology aspect--

Gold has continued to rebound recently due to a decline in the US dollar index and a rebound in the RMB exchange rate. The gold price is still trading at1208Below the US dollar level, testing is underway61.8%The suppression of pullback suggests that investors are becoming more cautious. Technical indicators continue to extend to positive regions,MACDThe golden cross below the zero axis5The daily moving average has shifted from falling to rising, indicating that there may still be room for gold prices to rise. The gold price has already risen above the current level10Daily moving average, investors need to pay attention to20The daily moving average suppresses gold prices.

　　4小时图显示，金价目前正在测试61.8%The resistance to retreat, if effectively broken through this level, will mean8month10The recent downward trend has officially come to an end, and gold prices are expected to further rise1211The US dollar barrier. The price of gold is currently suppressed by the downward clouds in the cloud map, but the weak clouds in that area are unlikely to effectively prevent the rebound of gold prices. Preliminary resistance above is located108Near the US dollar level, higher resistance is located20Daily moving average at1211The suppression near the US dollar, in terms of downward trend, needs to be noted1195The support near the US dollar is50%回撤位。

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　　综合分析，黄金建议回调做多为主，上方需要关注1208/1211First line, follow below1192/1195一线，具体的建议可以关注芳华论金朋友圈或微博。

Suggestions for Gold Operations:

　　1Suggest using1208Consider short selling and stop loss nearby4美金美元，目标看1200Near the US dollar;

　　2Suggest using1200Consider going long and stopping losses nearby4美金美元，目标看1206Around the US dollar.

　　crude oilMessage surface--

　　昨日美国加大对伊朗制裁力度消息传出，引发离岸石油天然气平台工人一些，油价因而避险反弹至66.50dollar/桶附近，随后受阻回调至昨日盘整低点;油价先涨后跌说明消息面只能短线影响原油价格走势，目前主导油价走势的是技术面。日线图收到MA200的支撑，价格止跌反弹的预期。走势也是符合预期的在美盘放量走高。目前需要注意的是前方66.39的顶低转换位的压制，此位置突破油价还要继续上行。

　　四小时级别上，k线呈现双顶走势，上方压制较强。Boll带开口收敛，行情运行与上轨附近，行情整体处于空头走势下的情况，后市一旦未能向上突破，则有可能引起大跌。自油价上周二冲高回落后，油价持续收阴，趋势通道完全下破

　　综合来看，目前原油是有反弹延续趋势的，但缺口回补后，我们也是需要谨防再次跳水的，不破阻力直接高空即可。操作上回调做多为主，上方需要关注66.5/67Follow below65/64.5附近，具体的建议可以关注芳华论金朋友圈或微博。今天早间原油API数据利多，重点关注晚间数据EIA重磅来袭

Suggestions for crude oil operation:

　　1Suggest using67.1-67.3Consider short selling and stop losing near the US dollar0.5Points, target66.6-65.5Near the US dollar;

　　2Suggest using65.1-65.3Consider going long near the US dollar and stopping losses0.5Points, target65.8-66.6Around the US dollar.

　　——寄语——

Risk is an objective, inevitable and, under certain conditions, also carries certain regularities. therefore,We can only try to minimize the risk,It is impossible to completely avoid or eliminate. The most effective way to reduce risks is to recognize and acknowledge the existence of risks, actively face and seek them, in order to effectively control risks and minimize them.

You are confused by the market and don't know how to do it. Come to me and I will point you in the direction!

If you can't control yourself and are still frantically making orders without direction, please stop and don't joke with your funds!

If you have already lost a lot and don't know what to do, please control yourself and don't do whatever you want with your account!

For those who make money, please remind yourself that it's safe to drop your bags and be cautious of profit taking!

And those who are following off the market, please don't think it's a pity that the market hasn't been done, and don't have any regrets watching!

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