8.22早评黄金操作策略，黄金走势分析，黄金还会涨吗？

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Fundamental analysis

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8month21Daily, spotgold价格升至一周高点后回落，因美元创出八个交易日新低后明显收窄跌幅。此前美国总统特朗普再度为升息一事抨击鲍威尔领导下的美联储，认为利率应该更宽松。但特朗普对即将举行的中美经贸磋商泼冷水，则限制了美元跌幅。美国及其贸易伙伴间紧张情势，曾助推美元升至历史高位。

明旭分析认为，美国及其贸易伙伴间贸易紧张情势升高，加上土耳其里拉暴跌，曾于8month15日将美元指数推升至96.984, for2017year6月以来高点。如果全球两大经济体无法在本周缓和业已紧绷的经贸关系，黄金将伴随着美元的重新走强而转衰，后市不排除跌破1160USD.

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Technical analysis

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Gold from1366fall to1160，下跌超过了200美金。上周黄金跌破1204之后，深度下跌，快速跌破1200fall to1191Afterwards, in the1191反弹震荡之后，再次下跌，一直延续到上周四的1160，上周下跌幅度超过50美金。周四金价开始在1160一线企稳反弹，最终拉升到1180上方，上周五金价突破1182之后，短期内形成了看涨的局面。

From4小时来看，近期金价多次上冲高到布林线上轨附近后迟迟未能突破，上周再次开启下跌模式，刷新年内新低1160。而近期承压的高点在1200一线，只有先收复此关键阻力位才能继续上行收复更多失地。而4小时图上本次的台阶下跌口也正好是在此位置，1200一线成为小周期的多空强弱临界点。

上周五探底回升，反抽的幅度过大，反弹的空间过高，而且在时间上出现了连续性，上周五又是出现了一个破高，早盘延续，这种情况下我们可以看到反弹出现了一个持续的表现，所以明旭认为黄金不会在短时间内直接回到空头节奏当中，那么本周初的盘面，建议操作布局的重点就是震荡，但是需要注意，下跌中的上升，双顶容易成功，而前期低点也可以做参考，下方支撑1180-81区间，在周五美盘的回撤低点无疑就是多头延续的防守位置，即是1176附近位置！关注上方1198-1200一线压制下方关注1190一线支撑，破位关注1184-1186Frontline support!

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投资小课堂

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Reminder: Investors need to recognize that for ordinary investors, most of the time they should focus on watching and waiting patiently for the best opportunity to sell. Avoiding frequent trading is one of the recognized winning strategies. Do not attempt to capture all fluctuations, nor expect to judge every segment of the market correctly.