Jin Shengfu:8.21Analysis of the latest trend of gold crude oil "Golden September and Silver October", strategies and operational suggestions

——Preface to Shengfu Investment——
　　如果你刚刚入市，来找我，我教你！如果你已经身在其中却其实不理想，来找我，我拉你；如果你已经在这个市场摸爬滚打却伤痕累累，来找我，我帮你。我虽然不能保证你一夜翻仓发家致富但希望能细水长流，汇聚江海，用心做事，态度做人，金晟富希望能成为良师益友。

——goldMessage surface——
（1）Trump once again aimed his fire at the Federal Reserve, complaining about Fed Chairman Powell's interest rate hike behavior. He said that the Fed should provide him with some help and adopt a more relaxed policy. He disagrees with the decision of the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates. If the Federal Reserve continues to raise interest rates, he will criticize this. Affected by US President Trump's dissatisfaction with the Fed's interest rate hike, the US dollar index continued to decline, and gold took the opportunity to rebound.
（2）The President of the Atlanta Fed delivered a speech stating that the current economic situation in the United States is good,GDPThe data shows strong performance, and the unemployment rate is at a historical low. The United States has already done a good job in achieving its inflation target and does not need strong measures to stimulate the economy. He supports the Federal Reserve raising interest rates this year3Secondly, it stated that the Federal Reserve is attempting to bring policy back to a neutral stance. He also stated that he would not support anything that would cause the yield curve to invert, which means he may oppose further interest rate hikes.
（3）根据美国商品futuresTrading Committee（CFTC）The latest trading data shows that bearish speculative investors continue to firmly grasp the gold market and have complete control over price movements. Analysts from Deutsche Bank stated on Monday that speculative financial investors remain the main factor dragging down gold prices. In just the last reporting week, they sold through the futures market53.5Ton of gold, from6The total sales volume since the end of the month has approached260Tons, which is equivalent to the global gold mining output of nearly a month.
——Analysis of the Gold Market——
 　黄金昨日一直保持在1182Running above, reaching the highest point1189Frontline, touched last week1160After the significant release of positional energy, gold is now in the stage of oversold rebound. Although the overall trend has not yet reversed, the rebound has been established. On the daily chart, after the appearance of a bottoming out cross star, the price of gold fluctuated upwards last Friday, closing at a bald bullish trend and already standing on the market5Daily moving average1182It is also the top position of the cross star dashed line, and from the perspective of top to bottom conversion, it can be used as a support for operation.
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​​From4From an hourly perspective, the gold price has repeatedly surged to near the Bollinger Bands in recent times, but has yet to break through. Last week, it once again entered a downward trend, hitting a new low for the year1160The recent high point of pressure is1200On the front line, only by first recovering this key resistance level can we continue to rise and regain more lost ground. But4The falling point of the steps on the hourly chart happens to be at this location,1200The first line has become the critical point for the strength of long and short positions in small cycles. Overall, Shengfu's personal suggestion for intraday operations is to call back and go long, with a focus on the above1198-1200One line of resistance, pay attention below1184-1186Frontline support.

——Gold operation strategy——
Empty order strategy:
Gold rebound1196Short (buy down) two tenths of a position nearby, stop loss3Points, target1190-1182Near.
Multi order strategy:
Gold Callback1190Long (buy up) by one tenth of the position nearby, stop loss3Points, target1190-1198Near.
(Note: The article is published, and the operation suggestions have a lag. The above gold operation suggestions are only based on Jin Shengfu's personal opinion analysis and do not provide actual operation basis. If operated truthfully, the risk is borne by oneself. Specific operations are subject to Jin Shengfu's real-time guidance or friend circle real-time synchronization strategy, and strict stop loss operation is required.)​

——crude oil走势分析——
　　近期，油价确实缺乏上涨动力。美国原 The increase in oil storage has reached2017At the highest level in years, OPEC7The month has increased production, and Libya's production is also recovering, gradually easing market concerns about oil market supply. On the daily chart,MA5、MA10The death cross runs downwards, and the Bollinger Bands contract,KThe line is located in the downward channel below the Bollinger Bands and above it60Pressure forms at the daily line,MACDThe fast and slow lines have a second dead cross, indicating a bearish trend.

From4From an hourly perspective, since the oil price surged back to its backwardness last Tuesday, the oil price has continued to decline, and the trend channel has completely broken down,65.6The key support of the first-line trend has once again fallen, and the trend support will shift to strong trend suppression in the future. Although there has been a slight rebound, the current price retracement is running below the moving averages of each cycle, with Bollinger maintaining an open position overall and short-term indicators continuing to decline. Therefore4There is a possibility of continuous decline in the hour. Overall, in terms of intraday operational strategy, Jin Shengfu's personal suggestion is to mainly focus on pullbacks and long positions, supplemented by rebounds and high positions, with a particular emphasis on those above66.3One line of resistance, pay attention below64.9Frontline support.

​——Message from Shengfu Investment——
　　投资是长久之计，不是一朝一夕，所以不可操之过急。就算你现在亏损了，那也没什么可怕的，只要选择正确，失去的都会再回来。对于经常被套单的投资朋友晟富告诉你要切记以下5Taboos:1Heavy storage operation.2Without stop loss.3Reverse the trend operation.4Frequent operation.5Having a bad mindset makes it difficult to operate. Buddha has a destined person, while I have a determined person. Meeting and becoming friends in the vast sea of people is also a kind of fate. Unknown investment friends trust me only because they read my articles, so I will provide the greatest help to every investment friend who finds me, making this trust even more valuable. I hope Jin Shengfu's article can bring you gains and smooth sailing in your future investments.​
　　我是金晟富，一位真正肯为学员着想的分析师，我愿意帮助那些信任我的人，朋友OEvery day, there will be real-time strategies and some summarized mentality and trading skills for everyone to learn. If you have poor control over operation methods, problem-solving techniques, and mentality, you can directly consult Jin Shengfu. Please indicate your purpose when adding.
　　本文由金晟富分析师团队独家策划，转载请注明出处。以上内容仅供参考。投资有风险，入市需谨慎。套单.Lock order.操作不理想可与本人沟通交流

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