Poetry, tea, and gold:8.20黄金晚间走势分析策略原油操作建议

　　前言：虽然美土关系恶化未得到根治，土耳其可能进一步遭美制裁引起新兴市场的连锁反应，但并没有出乎市场意料，不过中美在贸易问题上的分歧略有缓和，人民币在快要触及7的红线时短线止住跌势助力金价反弹。展望本周，杰克逊霍尔年会备受瞩目，定于8month23day-25日召开，一般会透露一些重要政策信号，包括加息、降息、QE等，本次也是美联储主席鲍威尔的首秀需关注其讲话带来的市场反应。


　　crude oil方面，今年5月，美国总统特朗普退出了与伊朗的国际核协议，并宣布对这个OPEC成员国实施制裁。美国正敦促盟国将伊朗石油进口量削减至零，并将在11月对伊朗石油销售实施新一轮制裁。特朗普呼吁OPEC增产以降低油价。美国的盟友沙特阿拉伯和俄罗斯的能源部长此前分别表示，他们准备放松减产，以缓解消费者对供应的担忧。OPEC和以俄罗斯为首的其他石油生产国同意增加石油出口量，弥补利比亚,委内瑞拉和伊朗的供应缺口。伊朗正寻求出售石油和转移收入来源方案。伊朗副总统贾汉吉里19日表示，在美国退出核协议并实施新制裁后，伊朗政府正寻求出售石油和转移收入来源的解决方案。

　　internationalgoldTrend analysis:


　　黄金上周底部放量后轻微止跌回升，周线连阴下行后再伴随一根大阴线下挫，最终触及1160低点止跌回升至1180收盘，整体收低。但带有下影线的收盘，美指短线回落，也给予金价短线多头喘息的机会。


　　周线大阴线完成了底部放量，这种在低位的大阴线并不是趋势的延续性，而是拐点的机率会大一些。通常经过一波长时间的下跌，周线来看从1365High point to1160高点。几乎呈现的是45角度式的下挫，并没有伴随像样的反抽修正。就直接走出一波大单边下挫，而经过整理加速再到底部放量，周线量能衰减，短线或要防止周线级别的反弹修正。此区域一旦止跌，反抽会重新回到1200上方修正。日图十字K线配合阳线走反弹。K线形态有止跌迹象，继续看今日的反抽空间延续。目前周线和日线都偏向底部反弹。4小时下探回升，上周五守住1171.70低点二次探高，本周跳空高开突破了1181.60的压制。短线反弹得到延续，反转了此前弱势，由弱先转震荡，再配合空间慢慢反转，目前1171.70作为短线图的二浪反弹低点，短线依托此位去逢低做多看反弹。亚盘开盘即涨，若能持续至欧盘，那么今天就算偏强的反弹，短线操作低多为主，美盘前配合压力处短空看个回踩。初步反转过程，遇阻力还会迂回确认支撑。今日支撑1180-1178、1173pressure1192、1199。


　　Poetry, tea, and gold:8.20黄金日内可参考策略


Active Attack: Suggestion1178-1180Go long and lose1175, Objective1190-1192；


Passive counterattack: suggestions1190-1192Short space, loss1195, Objective1185。

　　Analysis of International Crude Oil Trends:


　　国际油价周五继续反弹，但是周线仍处于下跌状态，已经连续7周下跌，创近3年来最大连跌纪录。北海石油工人将再次罢工，美国北达科他州原油产量见顶回落，油价短期内缺乏上行动力。从技术面来看，4小时仍处于下行通道中运行，上周五冲高后回落收低，未突破通道上轨形成反转，短线修正后本周仍要留意下行通道的转变。不突破上轨，仍偏空一些。但考虑到目前小时图结构不定，还没有下破此前的反抽低点，下行空间也得不到延续。亚盘暂时不确定震荡区间，尽量放至欧盘后走出强弱再行安排。压力66.0，66.30, support64.80.此位得失决定空头能否进一步加速调整空间。具体操作策略仍等欧盘后盘中再行安排。有套单的朋友可以私聊本人,由于本人不知道具体的套单情况，把具体点位及仓位大小告诉我，我会根据个人情况给出具体策略!


　　Poetry, tea, and gold:8.20原油日内可参考策略


Active Attack: Suggestion65.3-65.5Long, stop loss65.0, Objective66.0-66.2。


Reminder: Investors need to recognize that for ordinary investors, most of the time they should focus on watching and waiting patiently for the best opportunity to sell. Avoiding frequent trading is one of the recognized winning strategies. Do not attempt to capture all fluctuations, nor expect to judge every segment of the market correctly.


When you are asking everywhere whether it should be more or empty, our order has already entered. When you are struggling with which point to enter, we have already been frantically harvesting profits. What supports your unwillingness when others are making profits and you are still losing money? Many people know that they are trying to comfort themselves, but they are unwilling to face reality and are committed to pursuing empty joy. Many people believe that the recent market fluctuations are too fast to make a profit, but in the Golden Eye of Poetry and Tea, as long as there are fluctuations, there will be profits! This week, institutions have made frequent moves, making it an absolute time to make a profit. Here, I don't need you to have such a clear idea. All I need is good cooperation, trust, and a desire to make a profit. Making a profit is that simple.

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Shi Ming Pin Jin: If you haven't worked with Shi Ming before, don't tell me that you can't make money in this market


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