Fanghua Lunjin:8.20原油反弹进空，高空为主低为辅

　

　　crude oil近期主导油价的主要因素是土耳其危机,在土美关系恶化的情况下，美元强势走高令油价承压，此外，土耳其危机牵连新兴经济体，市场担忧若新兴市场经济受影响放缓，势必会抑制全球原油需求，从而进一步打压油价。

　　分析面——

　　原油上周五整体呈现小幅震荡走强的走势，整体变化并不大，油价在持续的经历暴跌后，震荡走势有望打破，空头趋势持续开启。日线上，MA5、MA10The death cross runs downwards, and the Bollinger Bands contract,KThe line is located in the downward channel below the Bollinger Bands and above it60Pressure forms at the daily line,MACDThe fast and slow lines have a second dead cross, indicating a bearish trend.4小时上来看，油价下方64.5有支撑，上穿布林带中轨线，但在68.47的强阻力下回落至66.7附近，上涨的动能不足。MACD快慢线胶着，KDJ呈死叉，油价仍面临下行的风险。美国对伊朗的制裁对原油的支撑有限，只是市场烟雾弹，而OPEC的增产及由于需求预期的减少，使得原油短期空头较强势，日内操作思路上芳华建议还是反弹高空为主，回调做多为辅，上方重点关注66.4-66.7One line of resistance, pay attention below65.3-64.7Frontline support.

　　8.20Suggestions for daily operation of crude oil

　　1Rebound66.3Nearby layout of empty orders, stop loss0.4-0.5USD, target65.0Nearby;

　　2Step back64.7Multiple orders in the vicinity, stop loss0.4-0.5USD, target65.8-66.0；

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