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吴超论金:原油多空交错,以及今日策略

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  周三凌晨4:30To be announced from the United States to8month10Day and WeekAPIcrude oil库存数据,其前值为减少60010000 barrels/日。周一晚间出炉的欧佩克月报显示,该组织7Increase in monthly crude oil production410000 barrels/Solstice3232.310000 barrels/日,供应增加使国际油价短线下挫。此外,美国能源情报机构GenscapeData display, as of8month10日当周,俄克拉荷马州库欣地区交割原油中心的WTI原油库存增加约170万桶,遏制了此前库欣原油库存一直下滑的趋势。市场供应恐慌加剧导致油价承压下跌,若本周API数据再度显示库存增加,原油多头恐继续被暴击。
  
  
  ------Analysis of the US crude oil market------
  
  
  近期国际原油价格走势转为空头,一方面受到欧佩克增产消息利空影响,另外一方面美国页岩油业务持续增长短线打压原油价格。从近期市场原油报表上可以看出国际原油价格维持在60dollar/桶以上,行业展现了良好的复苏态势,尤其是美国油气市场较为强劲,美国原油产量大幅度增加,是全球原油产量增长的主要区域,所以就短线而言,原油价格仍将受到打压,趋势还是以空为主,吴超个人建议在操作上维持高空思路不变,日图上看,油价目前处于下行通道运行,上周跌至66.10dollar/桶附近创得近期新低,说明原油走势目前处于低位测试当中,本周下行关注66美元能否跌破,今日开盘油价短线反弹后走弱,短期内都可以依托68as well as68.2美元作为阻力做空,短线支撑关注67.3价格位置,跌破看下行延续行情;欧佩克公布月度原油市场报告,此前欧佩克决定适度增产,后市关注原油报告中对增产效果的评论,若增产有利于平衡原油市场则原油价格仍会继续走跌。
  
  
  美原油操作策略:
  
  
  (1) stay67.4Buy long near the US dollar, stop loss67.25Stop surplus67.85,止盈止损可以随着行情的走势去设置,向上破位67.8,目标可看68USD.
  
  
  (2) 美原油向上破位68USD, in68.2附近可放空,止损68.35Stop surplus67.5,向下破位67.6,可看67.3Gateway.
  
  
  以上观点和看法只是吴超个人的投资感悟,投资有风险,入市谨慎!行情瞬息万变,文章发布审核具有滞后性以上建议仅供参考,带好止盈止损。


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