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Poetry, tea, and gold:Globalidx恒指跌幅扩大港股恒生指数分析

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  Globalidx全球指数分析师Yang恒生指数分析:


  Fundamental analysis:


  恒生指数周四(8month9day)恒生指数涨0.88%Report28607spot;国企指数涨1.09%Report11019spot;红筹指数涨0.79%Report4272spot;大市全天成交911亿港元。恒生指数今早高开0.25%Report27889spot;大市早盘低开后即反身向上,指数强势上攻,午后维持高位盘整,全天盘中最低见28192点,最高报28728Points.


  蓝筹股方面,蒙牛乳业(00288)rise4.58%Report24港元,领涨蓝筹;万洲国际(00288)rise2.15%Report6.18Hong Kong dollars;友邦保险(01299)rise1.83%Report69.6Hong Kong dollars;吉利汽车(00175)rise2.26%Report17.18港元。内房股低开高走,截至收盘,华润置地(01109)rise2%Report28Hong Kong dollars;万科企业(02202)rise5.6%Report24.5Hong Kong dollars;融创中国(01918)rise7.38%Report24.75Hong Kong dollars;中国恒大(03333)rise5.42%Report26.25港元。中资保险股全面反弹,截至收盘,中国平安(02318)rise1.97%Report72.4Hong Kong dollars;中国太保(02601)rise2.95%,中国太平(00966)rise3.7%,中国人寿(02628)rise0.94%,新华保险(01336)rise3.13%。


  恒生指数技术面分析:


  恒生指数早盘跳空高开后税后进入到高位下跌的走势之中,午间开盘小幅上涨后走出大阴线下跌。技术面具体来看,日线级别中继续收出一根实体小阳线保持着近几个交易日的高位震荡的格局,并未实现有效的突破。4小时趋势来看短周期均线呈现多头走势,有进一步上涨的空间,附图MACD红色能量柱继续加大,diffanddea线金叉在0Above the axis,K线语言种聚集多头进一步上攻。小时级别中在经过了行情的全天的接近”V”形反转后,受制于短周期MA5andMA10金叉的支撑位置,下方MACD虽有diffanddea线金叉在0轴上方,但是绿色柱体面积有进一步加大风险要予以关注。谨防行情出现回调。预测早盘先以高空为主,关注上方压力位置28710-28720附近。昨日行情单边走多,目前已经突破日线中轨,MACD双线也已经交叉向上,今日开盘来看,短期以回落做多为主。


  恒生指数操作建议:


  1.stay28710-28720Short selling nearby, target28600Stop loss80Points;


  2.stay28450附近不破做多,目标28600Stop loss80Points.


  今日重点关注事假


  14:45France6Monthly industrial output rate


  16:30UK Q2GDPAnnual rate initial value


  英国第二季度GDPInitial value of quarterly rate


  英国6Annual rate of monthly manufacturing output


  英国6Commodity Trade Account after Monthly Adjustment(Billion pounds)


  英国6Three months in a monthGDPMonthly rate


  20:30U.S.A7After adjusting the roseCPI月率美国7Monthly and quarterly adjustmentsCPI


  09:30澳大利亚悉尼澳洲联储公布季度货币政策声明。


  16:00法国巴黎IEAMonthly announcementcrude oil市场报告。


  Globalidx全球指数分析师Yang提示:行情分析存在滞后性,以上建议仅供参考,请谨慎操作!


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