Analysis of crude oil trend:
日线上,目前油价在66.32附近获得了一些支撑,6month20日高点支撑也在该位置附近,短线存在一些反弹需求,初步阻力在8month3Daily low point67.87附近,月6Resistance at daily low points68.50Nearby,20日均线也在该位置附近,需要收复该位置,才能缓解下行风险。鉴于MACDDead fork operation,KDJ死叉运行,短期均线死叉运行,若跌破66.32Nearby support may lead to further exploration6month21Daily low point64.34附近支撑,另外,6month22Daily low point65.71附近也存在一些支撑。
技术面上日图双影线探高后收低,昨日延续放量下挫,符合下探收低的走法,日线破掉了此前的低点支撑并且收在低位,短线会适当延续。只是空间大小问题。四小时挫破了此前的区间转弱,小时图连阴下行。今日若能进一步下探,亚盘主要以修正为主,欧盘就要转弱,故操作上在亚盘反弹的时段切入,不然容易踏空点位。当然不排除短线仍会反复一些,但从4小时和小时线来看,原油目前已经处于超卖的情况,有反弹修正的需要所以操作上严格带好止损,同时轻仓操作。目前还是震荡式的趋势,虽然偏空一些,但还不是单边行情。首个压力在67.30,反弹过高的话,短线就会走成震荡,支撑关注65.80一线。所以晚间操作思路上邓鑫缘个人建议反弹高空为主,回调做多为辅。
解套建议:
1.Investors who hold high positions can use the rebound market to unwind and exit, or reduce their positions when they encounter high positions; Once the market changes, the covered orders will immediately stop losing and be eliminated, and reverse positions will be established to compensate for losses;
2.Investors with mid range hedging can temporarily wait and see, do not rush to cut orders. If there is an opportunity in the market, they can reduce their positions appropriately and increase their positions based on trend analysis combined with technical analysis to make up for losses;
3.Investors who hold low positions can use the pullback market to unwind and exit, or reduce their positions on dips; Once there is a change in the market, the orders will be placed to stop losses and exit, and reverse positions will be established to compensate for losses.
寄语:投资是长久之计,不是一朝一夕,所以不可操之过急。就算你现在亏损了,那也没什么可怕的,只要选择正确,失去的都会再回来。把握做单时机,掌握行情动向,方可百战百胜。投资的过程是一个逐渐成长的过程,对风险认知的加深是一个投资人不断成熟的标志。而当一个投资人对风险有了正确的认知,又能以正确的态度去执行,很好的去规避风险,就是一个成功的投资人。
Full guidance time: early7:00In the early morning of the next day2:00
全方位指导老师:邓鑫缘分析团队
Wen/Deng Xinyuan (指导唯欣dxy7189)