Poetry, tea, and gold:黄金原油：黄金阴阳交替，今日1215做空看收阴

　　Fundamental analysis:


　　周二美国对伊朗展开制裁，以及中美贸易紧张局势的升级，均使得市场避险情绪增加。由此gold进行小幅收涨，而美元指数走弱。今日关注晚间FOMC票委的演讲，是否会对美联储加息进行一定性的言论发表。

　　Technical analysis:


　　不要简单的事情想复杂，生活的最高境界是难得糊涂，交易分析的最高境界也是用技术于无形，不被自己的内心束缚，把一些行情简单思考而不要认为主观复杂化，制定交易去执行。复杂考虑畏手畏脚，很多时候只会处处被动，跟着行情跑。


Gold from7month11日探底1211之后，反弹1235，截止目前用了15个交易日，高点1235, low point1204.5。尽管幅度上来看只有30美金，空头力度放缓，但是主节奏还是偏弱的，也就是方向向下的。


　　上周四早盘小幅冲高1220-1221遇阻之后，全天单边震荡回落触及1208附近，日线收阴。上周五亚欧盘小幅出新低，靠近1205历史关键低点，而后长时间低位徘徊反复之后，欧美盘单边碎阳上行。本周一行情早盘小幅冲高遇阻1217-1218，然后全天震荡回落，美盘再度测试1207小幅反弹，日线收阴。昨日周二行情延续隔夜的1207-1208附近亚盘徘徊之后，欧盘拉高冲击1216，然后晚盘遇阻回落，日线收阳。行情整体属于日线级别低位偏弱整理，而自上周四开始行情陷入了阴阳交替反复。

　　大的方向上来讲，不考虑反转，毕竟周线空头排列形态完好，日线也无明显底部反转信号，所以尽管行情走到空头相对末端，但是还是保持主方向向下的思路。


　　黄金后半周重点压力在1220-1224区域，或者说行情后半周只要不破1224压力暂时都是保持弱势整理思路。另外就是关注短线的四小时下降通道走势，上方1235-1228-1220-1216形成下行趋势线，而下方1205尽管多次表现出来支撑，但是后市来看下破依然大概率。同时日线阴阳交替反复，所以今日思路守住1215-1216压力继续做空看回落收阴。


　　crude oilDaily line65日均线持平，其实也反应了近期围绕70.5-67反复整理的行情属于无趋势整理反复。中长线看涨，但是短线行情自75阶段性顶部回落之后，行情缺乏了明显强弱趋势，多空博弈激烈，所以我们看到行情宽幅整理。本周一周二走势类似，都是亚欧盘震荡上行，美盘冲击69.8-69.9附近回落，最终日线收取上影线的纺锤阳。


　　Trading strategy:


　　黄金，黄金1214-1215Short selling, breaking1220出局，目标去看1208-1205一旦跌破反弹继续跟空去看1200-1198


　　原油，短线继续关注上方70-70.4Pressure, Below67-66.5支撑，区间没有那么规则，但是原则上不要追单，不用趋势顺延的思路思考

When you are asking everywhere whether it should be more or empty, our order has already entered. When you are struggling with which point to enter, we have already been frantically harvesting profits. What supports your unwillingness when others are making profits and you are still losing money? Many people know that they are trying to comfort themselves, but they are unwilling to face reality and are committed to pursuing empty joy. Many people believe that the recent market fluctuations are too fast to make a profit, but in the Golden Eye of Poetry and Tea, as long as there are fluctuations, there will be profits! This week, institutions have made frequent moves, making it an absolute time to make a profit. Here, I don't need you to have such a clear idea. All I need is good cooperation, trust, and a desire to make a profit. Making a profit is that simple.


Shi Ming Pin Jin: If you haven't worked with Shi Ming before, don't tell me that you can't make money in this market


Wen/Shiming Pinjin Satellite:smpj8888Buckle:1146501998