诗茗品金：原油区间盘整多头不足操作上高抛低吸

Monday(8month6day)亚市早盘，crude oilPrice at68.65dollar/桶处高开，在触及68.89后回落，整体上呈现出一个区间盘整的姿态，消息面中，由于非农数据的不佳表现，以及美国石油钻井平台数量的减少，为油价提供了上行动能，但指标中的多次背离又为油价走低奠定了基础。

　　近期基本面上多空形式不一，既有美国非农数据不利和石油钻井平台数量减少而带来的利好，也有沙特等其他OPEC成员国开始稳步增加原油产量的利空影响，目前全球油市重点关注美国对伊朗的经济制裁会何时实施，而上周外媒曝出特朗普多次寻求与伊朗总统鲁哈尼会谈打压了该预期的升温，这也是我认为近期油价走低的主要原因。


Crude oil4小时走势图上看，早前MACD多达八次的背离将油价带近短期上升区间内，眼下油价上涨动能收窄，背离情况仍未结束，预示着短期内油价还有继续走高的可能。诗茗品金预计，油价这波反弹或还有延续的空间，但下降趋势的成立对油价的涨幅形成压制，建议大家可待油价反弹至高位后转而进空。


　　诗茗品金认为，当前原油处于底部红色支撑和蓝色下降趋势线形成的三角震荡当中，所以理论上反弹走空的概率还是比较大的，操作上大家可以保持高空为主、低多为辅的一个思路，具体点位参考，上方68.5-68.8压力，下方支撑在66.3Near.

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