非农意外利多黄金 趋势不改等待中线空

　　【国际资讯】

　　美国劳工部周五(8month4day)公布非农就业报告，美国7Increase in non agricultural employment after the monthly adjustment15.7万，虽然低于经济学家的预期，但失业率降至3.9%, falling back to4%下方，且薪资涨幅保持不变，这些数据反映出美国经济仍在以健康的速度扩张，同时美联储上个月达到了2%的通胀目标，这巩固了美联储逐步加息的前景。

　　从美联储的角度而言，继续对于风险持“平衡”的观点显示出其不改变当前政策节奏，以及不改变市场对于美联储加息预期的判断(9月市场对美联储加息预期上升至90%above)，令利率水平维持易上难下的状态。从经济的热度来看，一方面美联储8月议息会议再次确认美国经济的强劲增长，另一方面，美国财政部中期债券发行规模的增加也被动拉升了长端债券利率水平，令美债收益率水平继续上扬，也令美债收益率曲线呈现阶段性陡峭化的特征，这压制了金银的对冲需求。

　　【goldTrend Analysis

　　目前技术面来看，日图布林带三轨朝下缓和运行，MA5Mean Square andMA10均线呈死叉再次开口向下发散，KLine intersection between the middle and lower tracks in BolinMA5Near the moving average,MACD快慢线位于零轴下方呈粘合态向右走平指标表现中性，KDJ三线拐头朝上欲有交金叉之势，行情空头有所放缓但整体还是运行与下行通道内；4On the hourly chart, the Bollinger Belt runs with three tracks facing downwards and shrinking,MA5均线呈死叉拐头朝上运行，KThe line intersects with the Bolin Medium Rail Line,MACD快慢线位于零轴下方拐头朝上缩口行将交金叉，绿色动能逐步缩量，KDJ三线交金叉向上发散运行，金价短线还有进一步上行势能。

　　综合来看，隔夜晚间公布的美国非农数据显示美国7月季调后新增就业岗位大幅回落，而失业率和薪资表现则中性偏积极，美联储加速升息前景有所受到抑制，但是美国的劳动力市场表现依旧十分强劲。易萧以为，非农数据只能短线支撑黄金有一定的反弹，美经济的发展整体还是一个比较靓丽的大趋势还是对金价又打压作用，黄金弱势还是未能改变。短线黄金有一定反弹但行情依旧未能突破下行趋势线，那么下周的一个走势来看的话易萧还是较于看好金价继续弱势向下，黄金将开启千二关口的争夺战，若千二关口一旦失守下方空降还将进一步大幅打开。下周初日内短线操作上来看的话，易萧建议先看区间震荡，重点关注1208-1220The interval is much higher and lower!

　　【中线思路】

　　对于黄金后市趋势，易萧大趋势还是看空的。从月线上来看，黄金还是空头趋势，但是反弹肯定是存在的。黄金后市反弹到30or35问题不大，如果能测试1240，前面我说的1245-1250就有机会试探。如果大趋势上1245-1250不能有效突破，8月都以看空思路为主，所以这波黄金反弹，我更看好是又来解套上方多单。之后是我们中线在此放空的机会。如果非要问我这个中线空怎么安排。30-35第一批空单入场，45附近第二批空单入场。止损统一设在1255。

　　投资有风险，入市需谨慎。最佳点位还是由易萧实时给出，以上仅代表个人观点，不作操作依据，据此操作盈亏自负。
Investment is a long-term strategy, not overnight, so it should not be rushed. Even if you lose money now, there's nothing to be afraid of. As long as you make the right choice, what you lose will come back. Smart people always go together, seize the opportunity to make orders and grasp the market trends, in order to win all battles. Whether we succeed or fail, we all understand that life requires a good mindset. The progress and progress of life, as well as the quality of life, sometimes depend on our mindset. Effort is an outcome, and giving up is also an outcome. Just different moods, with different results, your smiling sky is blue, and your crying sky is cloudy. Learning to invest requires a good mindset. To live a good life, you need a good mindset, which sometimes determines the success or failure of your investment
      

　   The author Yi Xiaopinjin focuses on studying the international economic situation, and investment should be more in line with the trend. Trading in precious metals (gold and silver),crude oil（WTI）Investment,foreign exchangeInvestment friends who are interested in products such as stocks can follow the company for details.Public.ID: Yi Xiaopinjin, welcome to exchange and learn together! Investment carries risks and caution is necessary when entering the market. Yi Xiao suggests that everyone enter the market with a reasonable position to grasp.

Wen/Yi Xiao (Director WeChat:yxpj08(Public account: Yi Xiaopinjin) Writing