Gu Yue Tong Ming:8.6Analysis of gold trend and recommended operational layout for gold

Last night, I chatted with a friend and raised a topic about whether to compromise or fight back on the issue between China and the United States. This is based on the current international situation. This friend works in a bank and is usually quiet. Most of the time, he doesn't take the initiative to greet him and doesn't speak. However, he says he has always been following my lectures and chatting, but he doesn't know how to get involved. In fact, friends don't need to be like this. With so many people in the country, it's not easy to get together, and it's not easy to have common topics and hobbies. It's not beautiful to have similar aspirations. My friend said that he is actually particularly obsessed with investment. When he participated in the trading training organized by Ye Shi, he always hoped to be able to trade professionally, but now he has a family and children, so he is really indecisive (in the middle management of a state-owned bank's headquarters). As I mentioned before, full-time trading is a very difficult task, and it first means time cost, economic cost, and emotional cost. Without stable profitability and a stable economic source, one is destined to continue losing money. Raising a family, having children in business, and supporting the elderly, while you cannot provide a stable economy, will definitely bring about deep barriers. In this process, the starting point is that the pressure borne by friends who make money doubles. You can treat trading as an interest, a hobby, and do what you want to do.

　　

As for the issue of trade tariffs between China and the United States, Ye Shi believes that compromise is much more difficult than counterattack. The main battle usually receives respect from others and praise from the masses, with open flowers and applause, and naturally wearing the hat of "patriot". On the other hand, compromise not only faces criticism from the masses, but also carries the stigma of "betraying the country" afterwards. Regardless of the outcome, it may become a tool to quell public grievances.

　　

In history, the struggle between weak and powerful countries has made compromise even more difficult. Although both were aimed at saving the country, the main battle was more patriotic. In the Sino Japanese War, Li Hongzhang and Weng Tonghe fought against each other. Weng Tonghe led the battle, saying, "The court has given you so much money to establish a strong Beiyang army, and we must fight!" Compared to this, Li Hongzhang chose to compromise: "Our ship's speed/range/The power is far from that of Japan, how can we fight, Weng Tonghe was hailed as patriotic, while Li Hongzhang was widely regarded as weak due to compromise. After the Sino Japanese War of 1894-1895, the Westernization Movement gradually pursued the process of the Western Industrial Revolution, and was directly cut to the waist and ultimately defeated.

　　

Cixi declared war on the Eight Kingdoms, which indeed raised our country's prestige. As a result, the Eight Kingdoms entered China, and Cixi and the emperor fled to Shanxi, almost leading to their demise.

　　

I used to have a strong sense of loyalty when I was young. I drank a thousand cups without getting drunk, and I loved face. I wanted to be elegant and not warm. In fact, in the end, it was discovered that these were all illusions. The so-called face is worthless, others' opinions are worthless, and the only meaningful ones are the noble principles of the Tao in the heart and the bright starry sky above. Compromise is not weakness, it can also be another form of perseverance. Speaking out, I'm not afraid of friends laughing. My first marriage didn't end well, and my wife had an affair with someone. After struggling for about a year and a half, I finally chose to divorce. My friends basically advise me to divorce early, but I remain silent. It is this silence that makes my friends unable to understand. What I'm thinking is, what should the child do? How much harm would it do to my child's growth if my wife and I divorced, or if I also had an affair? No, no, no, no. After feeding the family, for the sake of the child, I can remain silent. Later on, I felt that it was impossible for a child to be undetectable. The estrangement and indifference between parents could not be avoided even if they continued. Finally, I divorced my wife and gave her all the property, as long as I had custody of my son. My compromise is not due to weakness, but for the growth of the child.

　　

Is it a good thing to go to war with the United States now? Definitely not, although our country is currentlyGDPRanked second globally, but only in the United States60%As for technology and finance, they are far apart. The resistance of weak countries to strong countries is more difficult than compromise, but compromise requires much more courage than counterattack. Instead of shouting in the slogan every day that our country needs to firmly fight back, it's better to curse the United States and silently compromise and negotiate. From the result, it's more suitable for our country. Ye Shizhong Long term Guidance WeiYESMACDLimited by space and some sensitive words, I haven't written too deeply. Friends, just take a look.

　　

　　1205Due to not breaking through the critical watershed, many orders have already1218First line stop profit exit,1220Becoming an effective resistance to the upward trend can be seen from the rebound after Friday's non agricultural period. The US dollar index cannot break through in the short term95.5Forward high, turn around and break through95By taking advantage of the position of the checkpoint, the rise in gold prices can be aided. Next weekgoldGo see1220Resistance suppression situation, if the breakthrough is successful, then the target can be placed on1230-35Near.

　　

As I mentioned in the live broadcast, the better the point, the less opportunities it will give. Resistance level is still resistance after multiple attempts, and support is different. Supporting multiple attempts will result in no support. Recently, this definition has been verified multiple times, and if the market drops again1205On the front line, Ye Shi guides Guan WeiYESMACDAfter the rebound, just empty it once and wait for my prompt after reaching a new low.

　　

The current market trend is clear and very easy to operate. Above1220Below1205Divide the Chu River and Han River boundaries, operate high and low, break the limit and lose immediately, and immediately pursue it in the opposite direction. You can also pull back the loss and profit again, break the limit only once, and this range can be done many times. Small stop loss and large stop profit can be played in the game, how can you lose money.

　　

Regarding the issue of bottom copying, it is still a bit early to discuss whether the bottom casting was successful

　　

Regarding the issue of amplitude.

　　

　　1365depreciate to1301, rebound to1327, rebound26dollar.

　　

　　1327depreciate to1281, rebound to1309, rebound28dollar.

　　

　　1309depreciate to1227, rebound to1265, rebound28dollar.

　　

　　1265depreciate to1211, rebound to1235, rebound24dollar.

　　

　　1235depreciate to1204, rebound to1220, rebound16dollar.

　　

Although there have been multiple rebounds, the market has not reversed and the price has been consistently risingNGlyph,1203As the low point of last year, it can be used as a defensive position to fight for long profits, but it can only be defined as catching a rebound, and reversing requires standing at various stable falling positions, similar to1235，1265Etc.

　　

Be careful when operating, there will be no further oscillations this week and it will definitely break through one side,1205It's a low point watershed,1203It was the starting point of last year's rise,1200There is also strong support at the checkpoint, and if we break the new low1203Below, basically breaking through the thousand two level without a doubt, breaking up1220Only bulls have hope, it takes at least four hours for the line to stand firm1220This week, regardless of which side it breaks, the fluctuation will not be small. Place the stop loss at the key watershed point and eat profits back and forth. After a small stop loss when breaking, you can also reap a good profit by chasing back.

　　

Operation suggestions:

　　

　　1218Open short, stop loss on1221Stop surplus1211，1208

　　

　　1208Multiple orders, stop loss1204Stop surplus1215，1218

　　

Monetary aspect

　　

Two points about the exchange rate between the US dollar and the Japanese yen

　　

　　1The previous day fell, and the next Friday morning rose and fell, so the afternoon rebound must be empty once. The European market broke through the low, and the US market looks to continue, perfect stop surplus.

　　

　　2Today's focus is on location, the high point of the Great Yin Line111.45Or the opening and closing of yesterday's market111.82If it cannot arrive, enter the European time point and leave it empty.

　　

GBP USD·

　　

Currentlyforeign exchangeIn the market, there is nothing better to operate than the pound, because the pound is a bullish trend and will fall to our expected point in the day. Therefore, we have emphasized to everyone in the pound market that the double bottom position must be long. Friends who have watched the live broadcast should know the position of the double bottom, whether it is the Bank of England interest rate or other factors, hitting the double bottom to long is very perfect.

　　

From a technical perspective, the offshore RMB has gone on a roller coaster ride. Last year1The highest rise of the Chinese yuan in the month is nearly6.98Subsequently, it fluctuated and fell all the way down, reaching its lowest point this year4Month's lowest point6.23Around the corner, with the recovery of the US economy, the rise of the US dollar index, and the impact of trade frictions on the RMB, the RMB has been rising all the way up to6.91Around RMB, it has returned to the highest offshore RMB level last year, with a technical level of around RMB last weekkdjIndicator in oversold area80Running above, there are signs of dead forks forming at the third line turning point,macdThe increment of the red energy column, based on last year's data, shows that the Chinese yuan has increased7There is some pressure nearby, and Trump does not want the US dollar to continue to rise. Gu Yue Tongming predicts that there is room for further decline in the offshore RMB in the coming weeks.

　　

　　crude oilContinue to be bullish on the rebound and bearish today, current time6Click over2Cents, crude oil price68.54Long order, target69.14Short at the top, target68。

How to plan and control risks, reduce losses, and make profits for a loss plan and a risk control plan in the future? Guide Wei You/Words:guyuetm】



Believe me, in terms of the recent market situation, the misleading news and repeated market trends in the entire market give people the illusion that gold with multiple orders can take the bottom, right? And for an analysis of the market, should I miss out on so many opportunities for gold to rebound like this? Some friends will also consider history to see that as long as interest rates are raised, gold will definitely rise, and I don't want to miss out on the space of 100 points above the single order!! Similarly, some friends and teachers also guide Wei You/Words:guyuetmAdvice, the layout of the golden single center line, don't miss it, just wait and see, the opportunity passes in vain! Wait for these market voices to influence me, and my judgment direction has also changed. I blindly pursue long and go long! But they were brutally hit by the market again and again!