Poetry, tea, and gold:8.4Weekly Review--非农表现不佳黄金微涨，下周能否开启多头抄底了？

Poetry, tea, and gold:8.4Weekly Review--非农表现不佳gold微涨，下周能否开启多头抄底了？


　　各位投资朋友，大家周末早上好！市场永远在多空相互博奕中进行，行情时儿强势上攻，时而急速下跌，你无法控制市场的走向，我们唯一能做的就是保住本金，当行情不明朗时可以将手头的头寸出局观望，没必要因为不明行消耗自己的精力，行情是上还是下？最重要的要担心的是你将采取怎样的对策回应市场的变化，当你正确时，你能获得了多大的利润，当你错误的时候，你能够即时的规避，希望诗茗品金的文章能给你带来小小的收获。

　　====7月非农抑制FED加速升息冲动，美指休克黄金喜获甘露====


　　昨日周五，晚间北京时间周五20:30Announced by the United States7月份非农就业报告，新增就业岗位大幅回落，而失业率和薪资表现则中性偏积极，美联储加速升息前景依然受到抑制。截至发稿，美元指数小幅下沉至95.1，现货黄金上浮逾3USD to1216dollar/ounce.


Specific data shows that the United States7Monthly addition of non-agricultural employment positions15.70万个，远不及预期值新增19.30万个，较前值新增21.30万个更是大幅回落。但失业率持平预期值3.90%，时隔一个月后重回4%下方；平均小时薪资年率亦符合预期，且持平前值2.70%。


　　同期公布的美国6月贸易帐数据显示，贸易赤字扩大至463亿美元，增幅为逾一年半来最大，因大豆装运对出口的提振减退，而较高的国际油价提升了进口成本，预期赤字465亿美元，前值431USD100mn


United States7月非农不及预期，但失业率回落至4%下方，且薪资涨幅保持不变，这巩固了美联储逐步加息的前景。但是我们同时还需要注意的是，尽管这些数据标志着本季度开局良好，应该会让美联储在9The interest rate hike will continue in the coming months, but the expanding trade war may suppress the growth of the labor market.


　　诗茗品金以为，本次非农就业数据不及预期，美元短线回落金价攀升；15.7万人的新增就业人数无法改变美联储9月升息的预期，再加上薪资月率较上月提高0.1个百分点，失业率也下滑，表明美国劳动力市场依然十分强劲；金价的回升更多的是技术上头寸调整的需求，周末空头大量平仓导致的。

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　　====黄金晚间后市行情分析及策略====


　　目前技术面来看，日图布林带三轨朝下缓和运行，MA5Mean Square andMA10The moving average forms a dead cross and opens again, diverging downwards,KLine intersection between the middle and lower tracks in BolinMA5Near the moving average,MACDThe fast and slow lines are located below the zero axis and are in a bonded state. They move to the right and show a neutral performance in terms of indicators,KDJ三线拐头朝上欲有交金叉之势，行情空头有所放缓但整体还是运行与下行通道内；4On the hourly chart, the Bollinger Belt runs with three tracks facing downwards and shrinking,MA5均线呈死叉拐头朝上运行，KThe line intersects with the Bolin Medium Rail Line,MACD快慢线位于零轴下方拐头朝上缩口行将交金叉，绿色动能逐步缩量，KDJ三线交金叉向上发散运行，金价短线还有进一步上行势能。


　　综合来看，隔夜晚间公布的美国非农数据显示美国7月季调后新增就业岗位大幅回落，而失业率和薪资表现则中性偏积极，美联储加速升息前景有所受到抑制，但是美国的劳动力市场表现依旧十分强劲。诗茗品金以为，非农数据只能短线支撑黄金有一定的反弹，美经济的发展整体还是一个比较靓丽的大趋势还是对金价又打压作用，黄金弱势还是未能改变。短线黄金有一定反弹但行情依旧未能突破下行趋势线，那么下周的一个走势来看的话诗茗品金还是较于看好金价继续弱势向下，黄金将开启千二关口的争夺战，若千二关口一旦失守下方空降还将进一步大幅打开。下周初日内短线操作上来看的话，诗茗品金建议先看区间震荡，重点关注1208-1220The interval is much higher and lower!

When you are asking everywhere whether it should be more or empty, our order has already entered. When you are struggling with which point to enter, we have already been frantically harvesting profits. What supports your unwillingness when others are making profits and you are still losing money? Many people know that they are trying to comfort themselves, but they are unwilling to face reality and are committed to pursuing empty joy. Many people believe that the recent market fluctuations are too fast to make a profit, but in the Golden Eye of Poetry and Tea, as long as there are fluctuations, there will be profits! This week, institutions have made frequent moves, making it an absolute time to make a profit. Here, I don't need you to have such a clear idea. All I need is good cooperation, trust, and a desire to make a profit. Making a profit is that simple.


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