Trump made a false alarm by firing an empty cannon! 黄金多头能否崛起？

　　


　　【国际资讯】


　　周四在欧洲央行货币政策会议结果公布后，美元再度走强，金价跌回1230Below the level, both bulls and bears engaged in another battle at this level, and gold prices continued to consolidate. Ceasefire Order for European and American Trade Wargold失去支撑。黄金ETFAfter a brief increase in holdings, the world's largest gold continues to decrease holdingsETF SPDRWednesday position reduction0.29%to800.20Tons. This means that investors' interest in gold remains relatively indifferent. However, Goldman Sachs, which has always been bearish, is rarely bullish on gold. Despite the recent poor performance of gold prices, Goldman Sachs still expects gold prices to continue to rise next year as demand from China and other emerging market countries recovers.


Friday（7month27Reported US Q2 ActualGDPRecorded initial value of annualized quarterly rate4.1%Expected to be4.1%Correct the previous value to2.2%. This is the US quarterGDPsince2010For the fourth time since the US economy rebounded in4%. Prior to the release of the data, US National Economic Advisor Kudlow revealed last night that Friday's data would be "very impressive". Earlier this morning, Trump stated that the data would be "excellent" and would be consistent with or even higher than expected. After the data was released, the US dollar indexDXYShort term decline, spot gold rises in the short term!

There were no surprises in the data. US President Trump previously predicted that the second quarter announced todayGDPThe data will indicate that the US economy is in an "excellent" state. Now that I've read it, he's right, barely speaking. US Q2 ActualGDPRecorded initial value of annualized quarterly rate4.1%But far below the rumored5%Is also lower than the consensus in the market4.2%. The good news is that personal consumption increased in the second quarter4%Much higher than the previous value0.5%. The bad news is,GDPThe main driving factor for growth is exports. Surprisingly, despite the expected inventory backlog, non agricultural inventory has actually decreased1.02%。


　　Gold Trend Analysis


　　黄金近几天表现着实是让抄底做多的朋友心情犹如坐过山车一般，每每行情走高以为即将迎来上涨的时候，却总是在关键位置遇阻回落，不仅将全部涨幅全部回吐，而且一度还有下破进一步走跌的风险；其实这几天的行情就像易萧官徽yxpj08之前的分析一样，大涨大跌幅度都不小，但是就是不走延续，多空都没有延续性，而是在一个区间内反复震荡整理；按理说震荡行情守住支撑和阻力去高沽低渣很容易操作，但是交易心态没有那么简单，随着行情的上涨或者下跌，总是在想行情是不是该突破了，已经震荡了好几天，是不是该走出方向了；那么这个时候多数朋友在支撑或者阻力位置就不会敢去进场。


　　其实黄金上升主要是因为美元指数的回落，但是美元近两个月一直持于95关口上下宽幅震荡，短线回落虽然能够给黄金多头喘息的机会，但是美元指数需要大幅下挫，才能使得黄金反弹摆脱年内低点。目前美元整体上仍然持稳高位，因此黄金缺乏足够的利好支撑，多头想翻身确实很难，除非消息面利好刺激金价大涨突破上方的强压，否则走技术性反转的概率几乎不大；目前黄金受到1365-1309的趋势线压制，进一步还有1236-45-66层层阻力压制。


　　短线上来看，黄金市场在短线反弹之后再度下挫，令市场投资者非常纠结。隔夜金价回落后，当前金价仍然持于近期低位附近运行；目前黄金趋势上仍然是延续近期震荡走势，不过金价在1235附近多次试探未果，所以我们的阻力位置继续关注1235-36美元；支撑位置先看前期下探测试的低点1218一线，短线操作上反弹阻力位置做空为主，鉴于近期反复震荡整理的走势，做空为主先不要看的太低，避免行情反抽力度太大将单子扫损。


　　就当前的技术面上来看，日线上金价持于均线系统下方，短期阻力在5Daily moving average1225,10Daily moving average1227as well as1309-1266的下行趋势线阻力1230附近；由于近期行情多次突破均线的阻力，因此下周操作易萧建议在下行趋势线阻力位置1230附近进空；若行情反抽破位企稳阻力，那么进一步看1236阻力位的测试突破情况。不破那么空单进场后目标关注1220-1218Support area.


　　投资有风险，入市需谨慎。最佳点位还是由易萧实时给出，以上仅代表个人观点，不作操作依据，据此操作盈亏自负。


Investment is a long-term strategy, not overnight, so it should not be rushed. Even if you lose money now, there's nothing to be afraid of. As long as you make the right choice, what you lose will come back. Smart people always go together, seize the opportunity to make orders and grasp the market trends, in order to win all battles. Whether we succeed or fail, we all understand that life requires a good mindset. The progress and progress of life, as well as the quality of life, sometimes depend on our mindset. Effort is an outcome, and giving up is also an outcome. Just different moods, with different results, your smiling sky is blue, and your crying sky is cloudy. Learning to invest requires a good mindset. To live a good life, you need a good mindset, which sometimes determines the success or failure of your investment


　　The author Yi Xiaopinjin focuses on studying the international economic situation, and investment should be more in line with the trend. Trading in precious metals (gold and silver),crude oil（WTI）Investment,foreign exchangeInvestment friends who are interested in products such as stocks can follow the company for details.Public.ID: Yi Xiaopinjin, welcome to exchange and learn together! Investment carries risks and caution is necessary when entering the market. Yi Xiao suggests that everyone enter the market with a reasonable position to grasp.


Wen/Yi Xiao (Director WeChat:yxpj08Written by Yi Xiaopinjin, public account