Zhao Yifu:7.25黄金多空博弈关注两个关键位置，黄金如何操作？

Article Summary:2018.7.25Is it a rise in the US dollargoldJust fall?7.25做单过程中止盈止损有多重要？7.25贸易战对黄金有没有直接影响？7.25锁仓的情况下需要注意什么？ 新手炒黄金需要哪些心态？   7month25Japanese goldcrude oil暴跌是什么原因？ 黄金杠杆比例高低有什么不同？ 怎么找合适的进场点位？黄金能抄底吗？中长线怎么布局？ 什么是锁仓交易法？ 7.25What is the impact of the US dollar on gold? 7.25黄金操作建议，原油操作策略， 黄金的价格和哪些影响有关？
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即使是一个聪明人，当他产生恐惧心理时也会变的愚笨。认为在黄金白银原油市场中，恐惧常会使投资者的投资水平发挥失常、屡屡出现失误，并最终导致投资失败。你是亏损的睡不着觉，还是赚的睡到自然醒呢？所以说选择大于努力！这时候你是否要找个老师，可以为你出谋划策。与你并肩作战呢？恐惧是投资者在市场中获取赢利的最大障碍。洂冨尽管我所说的这些大多数投资者能理解，但在操作中能灵活运用的却少之又少，导致在投资市场上亏损。我想说一点，做投资如果你想一夜暴富，那么让你将会有一百个夜去后悔莫及，我们学习的是知识，积累的才是财富！

​美联储加息对美元、黄金有何影响？今年美联储再加息两次能否成为事实？
美元依旧“掌握”黄金的命运
上周美元多数时间内“顺风顺水，美联储主席鲍威尔为美元涨势大开“绿灯”，证词重申渐进加息是目前的最佳路径，并淡化全球贸易风险，不过随后半路杀出“终结者”特朗普令美元涨势戛然而止，接连两日呛声美联储，认为强势美元令美国处于不利位置。金价止住跌势，应声反弹上涨至1231。
对于特朗普“口头”批评美联储，虽然减弱了市场对美元的强烈看涨情绪，但美联储是相对独立的，不会因特朗普言辞而改变政策（美联储9Monthly interest rate increase25Bps to2％-2.25％区间的概率为86.1％；12月至该区间的概率为35.1%)
本周我们重点关注三件事
第一件美国GDP（本周五20:30公布）通常在第一季度经济放缓之后，预计美国经济将在第二季度出现反弹。（对于投资者有什么影响呢？）鉴于过去两周美元的强劲上涨势头，数据大幅逊于预期将对市场造成冲击，并可能导致市场大幅下跌。同样，一个远高于预期的数字将引发人们对美联储“逐步”加息政策的质疑
第二件欧洲央行决议（本周四19:45公布，随后20:30召开新闻发布会）可能在会后宣布逐步退出债券购买的决定，本次会议关注的重点是在该央行预期通胀将持续恢复到目标水平的情况下，其措辞会否发生转变，或者确定明年加息的具体时间。该央行若在明年7月加息则提升欧元，反之，若其在明年年底12月加息则利空欧元。
第三件欧美汽车关税谈判，下周欧盟贸易委员马尔姆斯特伦将陪同欧盟委员会主席容克访问美国，目的是希望找到解决方案，以缓解目前欧美之间贸易关系的紧张局势。但是如果美国执意对进口汽车及零配件加征关税，欧盟将出台一份贸易再平衡措施清单。
从消息面不难看出，美联储近期报喜不报忧的态度和鲍威尔刻意淡化了贸易冲突升级给美国经济带来的影响，随着全球贸易争端的全面爆发，美国经济势必会遭受到重大冲击，届时美元还能像如今这般保持强势吗，目前市场好像对贸易争端表现冷淡，黄金也好似失去了避险属性，但我们不难看出，贸易战的阴云和美联储的报喜不报忧如利剑悬在上空，只要美国经济展现疲态，美国经济将真正遭到打击，市场必将迎来新的风暴，后市黄金有望重返高位。当然这都是后话，目前还是顺应市场高沽低渣。

黄金今日盘面分析及策略：
目前空头仍占据整体上风。周线和日线级别上黄金价格交投于云图下方，基准和转换线均走出死叉。如同上周五所分析的，目前黄金市场处于短线超卖的状况，预期后市将有向上修正的反弹走势。目前黄金已经破位1225，则后一支撑位水平见于1221，进而是1215，直至1211-09区域，若空头势力强劲跌破1209区域，则后两支撑位分别看向1206-02区域及1199frontline.
Daily lineMA均线未见止跌的迹象，整体依旧呈空头排列趋势且MACD显示下行动能目前依旧较为强劲。但从四小时上5Daily moving average penetration10日均线呈金叉只是继续向上延伸，金价站上布林带中轨，MACD指标金叉向上延伸，RSI指标表现良好，多头势能有一定延续。不过从周五整体表现来看，整体动能不是太强，所以上方1236一线依旧会是主要的阻力！所以操作上亦富建议可在行情回落至1215-1218附近后再去做多，上方不破1236看回调。具体操作建议如下：
1Rebound1234-1235Short selling, stop loss1239, Objective1227-1225　
2、或者不破1210Can be found in1215-1218附近轻仓做多，破位严格止损，止盈看到1228Nearby!
Zhao Yifu:7.25黄金技术分析，黄金走势受美指阻力，短线仍存下跌风险原油今日盘面分析及策略：

原油最近几周的行情是大涨大跌，非常反复的行情多空拉锯进行中，从日线上看，近期连续收线十字星，可以看出油价的阴阳K线实体均不长，短线多空仍存在悬念。周初油价反弹后再度强势回落，随后震荡走高，日线上的多空分水岭还需要进一步确认，进一步是再次形成极端继续上涨走势，而退一步则跌入万丈深渊。而日线上昨日收线长上影的阴线，且布林带的缩口，暗示后市维持震荡偏空的走势，油价近期大幅度的下跌，必定有调整的需求，一旦调整完毕，油价或将继续下行。
日内上方阻力位关注69.3-69.5First line, support attention from below67.6-67.5frontline.

建议一：反弹69.0-69.2一线附近做空，涨至69.5一线加仓空，止损0.4Point, look at the target68.3-68frontline

建议二：回调68.3-68Long nearby, stop loss0.4Point, look at the target68.8-69frontline

以上建议仅供参考，非实盘请大家做好风险控制，跟上亦富操作的朋友带好止盈止损，做单不犹豫，犹豫不做单不管行情怎么走，亦富都会有相应的布局措施！若是对本次布局把握不到位的朋.Friends can find.To Zhao Yifu, a friend whose usual operations are not ideal.Friends can also be found.Rich, also rich, will provide reasonable guidance based on your holdings.Make a policy.Omitted.

​总想着抄底反而被一套在套，被套的不仅仅是单子更多是精神上
1On1240Multiple orders nearby, now falling to1227Nearby, there is a downside risk, and what needs to be noted below is1220位置，义峰预计行情可能会走一波反弹，仓位较轻的朋友亦富建议大家可在1220Multiple nearby replenishment orders enter the market, and after lowering the average price1235Nearby exit to achieve solution/Set.

2、1250The multiple orders that were trapped nearby are believed to be the ones that were blindly entered due to the numerous bottom copying voices in the market. Based on the current market situation, your multiple orders will still have an opportunity to be eliminated, but it will take time. We need to take a good look at the opportunity1220Nearby layout of multiple orders, during which the rebound short selling gains short selling profits, thereby reducing losses on multiple orders. The important thing is to see if you can grasp the market of each band, and after the bottom is established, rebound high and exit, thereby pulling down the average price and unwinding the market.
对于最近单子有被套的朋友我觉得还是需要反思一下自己的做单方式了，但是操作的时候有人却总是看着行情下跌就跟着进空，看涨行情上涨就跟着做多；然而却忽视了行情所处的位置，经常性的追到行情的末端，从而被套！所以说，操作还是需要根据趋势来，对于震荡行情教大家一个方法，也是一个笨方法，就是老老实实的等行情走到支撑和阻力去高沽低渣就好。就算真的某一天打破格局，那也就止损一单而已，但是大多数利润都把握到手了，总比多空来回被套来的划算的多吧！

——The Way of Enlightenment——

If you still read the article after losing money, prove one thing, you are not willing! Not reconciled to the fact that this market has taken away all of its own funds, then you can click into my post. I want to say that either you don't have a teacher or the teacher is not awesome. The next thing you need to do is talk to me. Maybe I can help you. I have been investing as an analyst for so many years, and I have experienced the market situation in the past two days many times. I can also guess your current mindset is very close. Don't blame the market or blame yourself. When investing, we all want to make a profit, which is also the purpose of our investment. I understand. But you lost money, the reason is simple: you want to win in this market. Things that go against our wishes in this world always happen by our side. A strong desire for profit can subtly change your mindset. You have a strong subjective mindset when making orders, and you always think that after you enter the market, you should follow your own ideas. How could it be? No one can control the market. Have you analyzed rationally when making orders. If you don't understand analysis, did your teacher explain the reasons for making orders? If not, how could he be a competent teacher?
(For more details, please follow Zhao Yifu's article byw0577125  official accountZYF5780 独家策划，该时间段后出现的相同文章内容及字段望广大投资者警惕！投资本身就带风险，提示大家认准权威平台，实力老师，资金安全第一，其次考虑操作风险，最后再是如何盈利）