Shan Chenjin:7.18单边下跌创年内新低，外汇黄金日内走势分析及策略

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Shan Chenjin:7.18单边下跌创年内新低，foreign exchangegoldAnalysis of intraday trends and strategies


There is no wine that cannot be drunk, only people who cannot be drunk. This is like pretending to sleep, you can never wake up, people with dreams and pressure can't sleep. After waking up, you only realized that you had made a mistake yesterday, and only after setting up the order did you realize the seriousness of the mistake. At the beginning of the story, there are few beautiful endings, and most end with sadness. In trading, persuading people to stop losses is not a good profession, but taking too many chances is definitely not a good thing. Many mistakes occur, just a small stroke of luck. The place where the trouble arises is a small fire, and a large fire burns oneself out, making it difficult to extinguish the fire. Every time someone asks about their position, it is basically an incurable stage. They take chances all the way, remain stubborn, watch shows all the way, and only seek solutions when there is no solution. At this time, they are basically resigned to fate, and it is almost impossible for one or two words to activate a good account. Cutting off evil thoughts lies at the source, and cutting off luck also lies at the source. At the beginning of each position, set your own maximum loss line, and there is no need to hold it afterwards.

作为本周金融市场的重头戏，周二美联储主席鲍威尔的国会作证果然引发市场大幅波动，受其鹰派言论刺激，美元日内显著上涨，创下一周最大单日涨幅，金价则遭到重击，触及一年最低水平，


而就美联储主席鲍威尔昨晚的证词报告，我个人认为没有任何内容实质性地改变利率前景。也就是将会要逐步加息，并对经济形势感到相当乐观。同时美国经济在二季度强化，并表现出将继续稳健扩张的迹象。在这种情况下，预期美联储将保持他们在6月份表达的“近一步逐步”紧缩货币政策的计划。因此，很长时间内，美元不会遭到抛售，即依然保持强势。


目前无论是大趋势还是短线都已非常明了，1238失守也就表示黄金空头的继续延续，隔日盘初反弹1243Empty,1245加仓空均顺利止盈出局，显然无论是上周尾段的下跌还是周一1240的调整都明示黄金反弹十分乏力，当价格在支撑位连续的测试且无反弹力度的时候，下破的概率将很大，鲍威尔的鹰派证词仅仅只是刺激黄金下破的导火索，近20美金的跌幅更是空头酝酿后的释放，而这次破位也是短期走势上的一个新开始，接下来黄金具备持续刷新低的能力，所以短期操作自然继续做空为主。

技术面上日线黄金隔日再度录得实体大阴线，1238一线的支撑未能抵住空头的强势冲击，有效跌破后直接磨灭反弹的可能性，布林带开口向下运行，日K进一步逼近下轨线，短周期均线MA5/MA10死叉运行，上方周期均线明显空头排列，MACD指标绿色动能再次放量，日线再次赢得破位机会；四小时打破短线震荡，隔夜的下跌再度打开下方空间，前期中轨线的压制十分有效，短线K线击穿下轨线下方，指标有修复需求，但日内料不会有大的反弹出现，而短线即便反弹也是提供空单入场的良好机会，操作上建议围绕凌晨反抽的高点以及大阴线的顶端位置，当前来看刚好是1231.5-1232附近，午盘前后触及可以空，分水岭修正到顶底转换阻力1236，日内在此之下围绕做空的观点，下方目标看1223-1224, strong support1218-1216，另外注意下价格不到，午后也可以考虑直接做入场。


日内黄金交易策略：


1231Short selling nearby, loss1235, Objective1221-1218


For novice and loss making investors:


Reading a hundred times is better than analyzing it once, no matter how difficult it is to capture the market trend, it is also difficult to compete with the accumulation of experience. In the early stages of investment, what you invest in is not commodities or securities, but your experience and the part above your shoulders. But after ten years of sharpening a sword, by the time you can steadily make a profit, you may have already gone bankrupt! Why don't you find a teacher to guide you? Dan Chenjin didn't say it must be me, but he can recommend himself to you. I am a7年投资经验的分析师，专攻现货黄金。


Strategy is dead, and some friends are lucky enough to operate according to the strategy of morning gold to make overall profits. However, since we provide real-time guidance, any questions will be answered as soon as possible. In my article, I have given both short and long positions in the short term. I believe many people have seen it, but how many can follow orders? Because you don't know the direction of the real-time market, or when you see the market rise, you hesitate repeatedly. Can you operate this order or want to operate in the opposite direction? In fact, the advice given is so clear, and many friends still need me to help them formulate strategies. Today, I want to say that when the market changes and the market is not going smoothly, you can distinguish the advantages of members. The methods are public, but some also involve sweat. People who choose to believe in Dan Chenjin will always persist and accompany you. Once your trust decreases, the problem between us is your reappearance in the market scene. Of course, if you choose to join us and enjoy one-on-one guidance, Dan Chenjin believes that this choice will make your investment path smoother.

There is nothing that cannot be done, only those who do not want to do it. If you are indifferent to your current loss situation, it only proves that you are avoiding it. You are not willing to suffer losses. If you are really unwilling, please learn to change. If you are unwilling to change, it means that your injury is not deep enough. If you trust me, you can find me, and I will do my best to help you. An analyst who is willing to work together with you.


Author of this article: Shan Chenjin


Author's Message: A broad view and appointment, thick accumulation and thin hair!


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The above content is for reference only. Investment carries risks and caution is required when entering the market.