Likun Jiepan:7.13黄金暴跌触底反弹，原油供应过剩跌破70

　　前言：一周的时间总是那么的快，昔日的阳光照在脸上总是那么的光彩夺目，暗沉的黄昏总是让觉得有几分消沉，漆黑的夜晚总是让人有一种灯火阑珊处的意境。做交易就跟做人一样，不要总想着从别人或者市场，奢求多少利润和多少好处，因为有句话说的好，一个没有在市场吃过亏或者没领略痛的刻骨铭心的人，好处和利润是没资格享受的。因为每个人出都哭的出生，注定每个人的一生是先苦后甜。

　　

　　===周五财经数据与事件===
　　
　　1. 10:00 China6Monthly trade account
　　2. 10:50 China6Monthly trade account in US dollars
　　3. 20:30 U.S.A6Monthly Import Price Index Monthly Rate
　　4. 22:00 U.S.A7Initial monthly University of Michigan consumer confidence index
　　5. 23:00 美联储披露递交给国会的货币政策报告，美联储主席鲍威尔将出席国会听证会
　　6. The next day00:30 亚特兰大联储主席博斯蒂克出席当地一场注册会计师公会会议的讨论
　　7. The next day01:00 From the United States to7month13Total number of oil drilling in the current week

　　

　　===goldMarket analysis and strategy===
　　
　　隔日周四黄金在1240上方获得支撑后震荡上行，最高触及1248.36一线，最大涨幅8美金左右主要源于中美冒易占得逐渐升级，使得黄金等避险情绪升温，从而利好黄金；立坤在昨日早评也提示过注意1246-1250一线阻力，实际情况黄金并没有突破这一区间阻力，从而可以立坤认为黄金目前并没有反转，只是属于下跌过程中的反弹企稳，后市或再次测试1246-1250一线阻力，若破位可以看到1260附近，不破我们依然认为空头强势，或再次测试1240一线支撑，更多实时策略可以管住围脖立坤解盘。
　　
　　===crude oilMarket analysis and strategy===
　　
　　周四原油小幅反弹之后再次开启下跌，上方触及71.2阻力后回落，最终跌破70USD to69.3美元，最大跌幅近2美金，其主要原因在于受利比亚石油港口重新开放和欧佩克6月产量增长影响，冲破EIA数据利提振多头影响后，油价跳崖式下跌，其实说白了就是供应大于需求，价格回落；立坤周四早评上也提示过高空思路，上方测试71.2一线阻力也符合我的观点，昨日空单也获利1美金有余。周四原油回落破位70美元后迅速反弹至70美元上方，在均线MA40附近获得支撑，表明支撑比较强，日内或再次测试MA40average69.2一线支撑，破位表明空头继续延续，不破我们可以看一波反弹，上方阻力关注70.5-71.2一线，更多实时策略可以关注围脖立坤解盘。

　　

　　===关于金油套单问题===
　　
　　1Single duvet cover3-5If you are not willing to leave the field at a small loss, be patient and wait until you reach the support area to break even and leave. Wait and see before deciding on further actions;
　　
　　2Quilt cover5-8At each point, observe the strength of the rebound. If it is strong and the rebound is strong, you can take advantage of the trend to rebound and layout. It is best to reduce your position before reaching the point. Don't forget that your first goal is to unwind from the trapped range, so consider the possibility of not breaking through the support level and minimize losses;
　　
　　3Being trapped too deeply, reduce your position first and then look at the future market trend. If the intraday market is mainly volatile, for example, if the intraday market is volatile but the overall trend is bearish, then the high position will be long to fill the short. If the short-term reverse trend is strong, leave the field directly without hesitation. Don't be influenced by an unsatisfactory set of orders and miss out on more opportunities.
　　Wen/Chen Likun/Official maintenancectk59888/Ball2141007048