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foreign exchange操作策略怎样制定?外汇操作策略是很多的投资者都想要的一个比较有效地操作技巧。掌握好的外汇操作策略对于您的外汇投资有很大的帮助。今天笔者为您告诉您外汇操作策略怎样制定,希望对您的投资有所帮助。
In the foreign exchange market, besides precise market analysis and good fund management, the most important thing is to formulate a sound operational strategy. Without a sound operational strategy, even if the market analysis is 100% correct, it may still leave with losses in the dark;By developing a comprehensive strategy, even if the accuracy of market analysis is not high, one can still make a breakthrough in the market.
And how should the operational strategy be formulated?兹分述如下:
一、操作方向:首先考量市场短、中、长期趋势的方向,决定欲进行的操作是属于那一种,从而进行操作上的布局。长线的操作方向首重「势」,顺着行情所走的方向操作,不要主观的预设顶部与底部。中线的操作较重「量」,亦即是市场中量价配合的表现,在中期波段走势之中,量价关系透露出相当重要的讯号,配合技术面的走势分析,作为操作上的参考。在短线的操作方面,重点在于「破」,例如久盘之后的突破,纯粹从技术面的角度去寻求最佳的进场点,以短线的技术分析作为进出场的依据。
二、资金规划:决定操作的方向之后,必须作好整体资金规划。首先决定欲操作的部位有多大,通常以投入资金为参考,长期部位可以较高的资金比例投入,短期部位最好不要超过总投入资金的三分之一。在资金控管方面,最忌孤注一掷,倘若一次行情看错时即将所有的资金赔入,后续就没有资金再进行操作了。此外,在策略订定时,须先行计算进行操作之后的盈亏比,通常以3:1More in line with the principle of speculation, if every entry is maintained3:1The profit to loss ratio, which means that every time a transaction earns money, it will be profitable50%Add the next transaction as the transaction amount, and deduct the loss amount from the next transaction amount to reduce the operation. Even if there is only a half chance of winning, the probability of losing after entering the market for five transactions is0.1875,以长期的角度看来,亏损的机率几乎趋近于零。因此,良好的资金规划几乎决定了操作策略的良莠,千万不可小看它。
三、攻守要有计划:策略的拟定首重防守,有了稳固的防守计划始能对外进行攻击,好比两军交战,若没有坚强的后盾或灵活的退路,则其胜算必然不高,反而容易流于背水一战,孤注一掷的赌博。在开始交易之初,经常会面临行情上下冲刷,时而获利时而亏损的窘状,倘若未达防守的底线,切勿躁进,须有耐心与自律,避免因情绪的起伏影响操作的成败。在交易策略拟定之时,亦须拟好进攻策略,在何时作加码?How much to add?Offensive planning can increase profits, but it may also result in greater losses. It is important to avoid taking actions to increase losses. From a business perspective, when you purchase a batch of goods but cannot sell them, and the market price keeps falling, will you still purchase more goods?The concept of adding more is also the same. When the market operation is in a loss making state, it is like buying slow-moving goods, and we can only find ways to deal with the loss. How can we have the extra capacity to add more.
So, a comprehensive offensive and defensive plan can understand the maximum loss of each trade before entering the market, and be able to handle short-term market fluctuations calmly within the acceptable range.
四、停损点的设置:面对不同阶段的操作,停损点的设置亦有不同。在长线的操作方面,停损的选择上需要较高的比重,所占的资金比例较高,以防因一时的反向行情而被扫出场。中线操作停损的选择通常倾向于技术面,以目前走势的趋势线或前波高低点作为参考依据。
The choice of stop loss tends to have a smaller pattern, often using the previous day's high and low points or opening and closing prices as a reference. In addition, it is necessary to consider the setting of time stop loss. Before formulating the operation strategy, it is assumed that the current market trend can last for a certain period of time. When there is a trend that should have been initiated but has not, time stop loss must be used as a response. This type of stop loss is mostly applied to false breakthrough trends, which are difficult to set and require rich market experience. However, investors can observe from historical trends and find the number of times such false breakthrough phenomena have occurred in past trends. The number of days they have occurred should be counted as a reference for setting the stop loss point of future operation strategies.
综上所述,在高风险的外汇市场中,每笔交易若能订定一套完善的策略因应,其风险自然降至最低,依循上述原则来拟定策略,没有策略就不进场交易,并且,操作策略定下之后,不可因一时的行情波动而任意改变,必须发挥无比的自律精神确实遵守。如此,长期累积下来,必然可以在外汇市场中获取相当的报酬。 |
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