Shan Chenjin:7.3欧盘强势反抽是见底吗？黄金晚盘走势分析

[paragraph]
Shan Chenjin:7.3欧盘强势反抽是见底吗？gold晚盘走势分析


欧盘现货黄金持续上涨且不断扩大涨幅，随后1245关口上下徘徊。最高上探至1245.82USD, lowest touch1237.60USD.

目前市场都在等待非农来决定方向，在非农来临前，如果没有消息面以及机构砸盘来打破支撑压制的话，黄金就只会是处于区间震荡。那么在非农前期，我们同样需要注意以下这情况，在非农前期，我们只需要关注是否有进一步的多空消息面出来。因为当前震荡行情，黄金自大跌以来吸引了市场众多投资者前来等待抄底。如果在此时遭遇多空消息面的袭击的话，难免会遭到砸盘来打破趋势。当然，一般非农前期行情也大多只是震荡而已。


在我个人来看，美元多头相当于已经枯竭了，美元买盘也面临着获利了结，这也意味着美元将迎来大回调。与美元呈对立的黄金，也就相对的获得了上涨动力。当然，如果非农数据公布利多的话，那么黄金无疑是上涨动力充足。同样也肯定会吸引众多买盘进场来推涨黄金，在黄金如此大跌的情况下，黄金本身就是一个弹簧般，反弹力度很足，非农无疑就是一个契机。一旦底部确认成立接下来就是一波反弹的时候，上方有足够的利润空间这波行情我们肯定不会错过。短线继续顺势做空的同时也会关注可能到来的反弹，转折点的行情随时到来静待好戏上演。


所谓早盘急跌无‘好事’，今日黄金以1243为起跌点，跌至1238附近，上一次也出现过类似的行情，1259的下跌欧盘没有延续，反而再次试探到1259一线，这一次也一样，急跌的行情未必是真正的跌。


昨日，黄金再次刷新低点，日线报收于大阴，也打破单阳模式，走了循环。在弱势中，一定要注意两个节奏：一个是连阴。一个是分水岭。特别是早间下跌的行情，一定不能突破分水岭，也就是早间开跌口，突破看震荡。而今日显然是欧盘突破，形成了欧盘强势连阳，那么晚间破底1238一线的希望很小了。另外，如果前期借助早间回撤空，价格突破分水岭后，回撤需要调仓出局。但有一点需要注意，这种反抽，并不是见底。


那么晚间区间震荡，反弹还是空。上方阻力位1250附近。一方面是这波下跌反抽618位置，另一方面是昨日开跌口。下跌中双顶容易成功，加上行情6-8点阳线反抽。那么晚间8-10点反弹空即可。上方关注1250Nearby empty, loss1255Look1243-1244frontline. Below1242-1243Go long and lose1237Look1249-1251frontline.


What about multiple duvet covers?


目前金价已经处在一个关键位置了，对于很多前期在大跌过程中做多被套单的朋友来讲，1236位置的支撑不破便意味着多单解套有望。我也明白套单的痛苦和对于解套机会的渴望，但仍然提醒大家一句话，希望越大则失望越大。目前美指强势依旧，黄金持续走低，1236只是理想中的底部支撑，但理想和现实往往会在你不经意的情况下给你惊吓，所以不要抱着1236黄金必涨的心思来蒙蔽自己的眼睛，你要考虑的是如果黄金破位1236，涨势不存，你该怎么办？


对于目前的市场来说，1300上方的多单被套，要么锁仓，要么爆仓，凭借资本优势来硬抗的估计已经不多了，对于锁仓的我们不多说，损失已经被控制，那么对于凭借资本实力硬抗的，估计也在瑟瑟发抖了。我只想告诉大家，目前黄金看似反弹但恰恰证明这种反抽根本不是见底，而你还能坚持多久呢？如果你有心寻求解套方法，可以和我沟通，我们互相探讨，寻求最佳解决方案！一旦单子被套之后，不要一味的抗单等待未知的解套机会，而应该第一时间减少损失，控制风险，谨防亏损扩大！

Yes, don't believe in the ending, it's just another beginning. There was a time when I always liked to imagine how much the price would drop, how many orders I would buy, and how much I would earn from the price increase. But it has been shattered by reality time and time again. Later, it was discovered that this unreality came from the confused area of technology. When it falls, ask for more; when it rises, ask for more; always thinking about the middle line, but never doing it. Why? The end of wave after wave of market trends, the beginning of each trend, is just a cycle, and fate has not changed. Many people view trading solely as technical, without considering many of their own details, resulting in a disastrous failure. Toothache is not a disease, but it can be excruciating. That's the truth. When not sick, eat and drink recklessly, and when sick, swear to stop talking. This is human nature. The same goes for transactions. When a set of orders appears, I swear that there will be no more sets of orders after this release. As a result, I forget the pain of the scar and will still get a set of orders next time. You can't pass the gates of hell, you can't drink the mesmerizing soup. Only when you go through and eliminate misunderstandings can your trading truly grow.


Author of this article: Shan Chenjin


Author's Message: A broad view and appointment, thick accumulation and thin hair!


σ-σ：330-5379-776V-Letter:scj366


The above content is for reference only. Investment carries risks and caution is required when entering the market.