This week7month5Day and evening20:15Points will be announced in the United States6monthADPThe number of employed individuals has always been regarded as a forward-looking indicator for non-agricultural sectors.7month6Day and evening20:30Points will be announced6月的非农报告,该数据被视为衡量加息进程的指标之一。
此前,5New monthly non farm employment22.3Ten thousand people, far exceeding expectations19Ten thousand, non farm employment has continued to rise92个月,创史上最长就业扩张周期。在特朗普大规模减少以及增加基础建设支出之后,经济的复苏带来了大量就业机会。不过,就业市场虽持续增长,但美联储在加息步伐上仍有所担忧,主要因薪资增速并未同步上行,而这也将成为后续非农的主要看点。
In the6月的利率声明中,美联储如期加息25个基点,对通胀和利率路径评估整体较为乐观,美联储年内加息四次的概率激增。不过,随后美联储主席鲍威尔措词鹰鸽不定,一方面鲍威尔在肯定移除“宽松”的加息措词,但同时也认为加息步伐不应过快,这使得金银在历经大跌走势之后,一度强势反弹。料本次纪要内容将展示更为明确的信号,将引导市场下一步的走向。