Juxin Shi:6.28Analysis of Gold Trends and Operational Suggestions, How to Operate Gold in the Future

　　--Message surface analysis--
　　
Thursday(6month28day)There will be heavyweight events in both Europe and America. The United States will release many important data, among which the United StatesGDPThe data is particularly noteworthy, especially considering Trump's presentation last weekGDPThe data will present beautiful implications. In addition, the EU summit that opens today will also receive high attention.
　　
Thursday Beijing time20:30A series of heavyweight US data will be released, including the actual Q1GDPAnnual quarterly rate final value, first quarter personal consumption expenditure price index annual quarterly rate final value, and the number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the United States after last week's quarterly adjustment, etc,GDPData is of utmost importance. Foreign media surveys show that in the first quarter of the United States, the actualGDPThe final increase in annualized quarterly rate is expected to remain at2.2%。
　　
It is worth noting that,6month21At an event in Minnesota, Te stated that the United States has a single seasonGDPThe growth rate will further increase and is expected to be very close to realization4%The economic growth may even exceed4%. If tonight Beijing time in the United StatesGDPIf the data is indeed impressive, it is bound to further push the US dollar.
　　
Currently, the outlook for the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike within the year is generally optimistic, and the US economy has shown sufficient resilience, which has led traders to heavily bet on long positions in the US dollar. Driven by such factors, the US dollar index has once again recovered95Gateway. Technically, after a period of correction, the US dollar has gained stronger upward momentum. If US data improves this trading day, it is expected that the US index will continue to rise.
　　
　　---goldTechnical analysis---
　　
　　4The hourly chart shows that the short-term decline in gold prices has been temporarily postponed, but it has not yet emerged from the abyss.MACDShow that the action can converge, butMAThe moving average shows a bearish trend and moves southward at a steep angle.RSIThe decline has paused, but it is still under pressure below the central axis, indicating that gold prices may rebound moderately in the short term with the pullback of the US index, but the space for rebound will be extremely limited.
　　
Looking at the gold daily chart, the bearish positions on the moving average are arranged, and prices are hitting new lows every day, which is an extremely weak market trend. Currently, prices are deviating from the trend5The daily moving average is far away, and there is a possibility of adjustment. Short positions can be intervened after the rebound. In terms of indicators,MacdRunning downwards is good,KDJEntered the third tier oversold area, but there are currently no signs of rebound. Below1250The rebound at the checkpoint is weak and there is a continued downward trend.
　　
Operation suggestions:
　　
On this trading day, investors tend to short during high periods1255Short positions near the US dollar, stop loss1258USD.
　　
　　1248Nearby (up and down)1Long in US dollars, first goal1251Second objective1254Nearby, stop loss4USD.
　　
　　---Medium to Long Term Layout---
　　
To a certain extent, the medium to long term is more stable than the short term. There is no doubt that taking a medium to long term trend is more advantageous than taking a short term trend. Based on a principal of $10000, considering that the stop loss point of the medium to long term is higher than that of the regular stop loss, we can only carry out light position operations and make up positions when the trend is completely clear.
　　
II.Specific trading plan for medium and long term:
　　
Control the position within10%-15%Left and right, reserved6Risk control is carried out for positions above the layer level. This plan is aimed at friends who cannot keep up with short-term operations in the short term. The holding time is relatively long, usually around a week, which means that short-term profits cannot be strictly controlled. The risk is lower than short-term operations, but the profit is lower than short-term operations.
　　
Considering that everyone wants to make a profit while ensuring the principal, I suggest a short-term operation based on the accuracy of the order. The weekly profit is calculated based on30-50Within one point, it fully meets expectations, and the profit cannot be reflected within one or two orders, but it accumulates to be a considerable profit.
　　
Yesterday's gold once again tested the volatile market trend after unilateral trading, and gold1253-1260The interval has once again fallen, and high selling and low slag are the operational strategies. Yesterday was also scheduled for1256,1258,1260Batch layout of short orders, constantly increasing positions during the rebound and probing process, the initial decline of the US market, and thus a large bearish candlestick suppressed the gold short orders1254All positions are profitable and leave. The hourly long short game continues, and the cross star reappears in a short-term reversal pattern. Therefore, it is also profitable for us to lay out long orders in reverse,1254Follow up on multiple orders in terms of location10After the point, the decline slows down, and the gold price gradually rebounds and rises. Holding multiple orders with small profits, and treating multiple orders as short-term orders, we need to process them in batches. For our future goals, we will focus on1256,58,60Reduce positions in batches and exit the market. Yesterday's operation was relatively smooth, not counting the multiple orders on hand, there was also a profit5With more than enough points, the market fluctuates, determines the range, and then integrates ideas for operation.
　　
Record the reasons for each operation in detail on a daily basis, the factors that determine the transaction, whether there were any event messages or other reasons that led you to make a trading decision, and analyze and record the profit and loss results after making the transaction. If it is a profitable trading result, it indicates that your analysis is correct. When similar or identical factors reappear, your trading records will help you make the right trading decisions quickly; Of course, losing transaction records can help you avoid making the same mistake again.Overall, a cautious, persistent, and observant investment attitude is the key to a successful investor.
　　
Wen/Juxin Shi（vx:jxs8867）An analyst who aspires to be the most conscientious in the industry accompanies you. If life is just like first sight, meeting and gathering is fate! (Investment carries risks and caution is required when entering the market)