Shan Chenjin:6.22黄金反转在即？欧盘走势分析

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Shan Chenjin:6.22gold反转在即？欧盘走势分析


今日周五现货黄金开盘在1266.34美元，早盘黄金小幅震荡，昨日现货黄金开盘在1267.24美元，亚盘黄金延续下跌，欧盘前一度跌至1262附近，欧盘弱势整理。美盘黄金探底1262强势反弹，凌晨最高冲至起跌点1270附近，黄金跌势暂时缓解。

就美元的这一波下跌，背后隐藏着什么玄机？是不是美元真的见顶？目前来看，说这样的结论还为时过早，但不能否认美元在95一线确实存在很强的阻力，这也是我们一直坚持的观点，黄金下方空间有限与美元遇阻95存在很大的因果关系，如果美元要走低，我们必须要看到更为强劲的全球经济增长复苏以及市场对白宫贸易政策的担忧，后面我们会寻找更多的线索来预测的美元及黄金的走势。


周四连续第五个交易日下跌，收了五根阴线，这里就到一个修正节点，昨日也是我们整个下跌后第一个给大家多单建议。日线用十字形态来修正，而不是出现反弹阳线，说明这个走势还是表现较弱。昨日晚间尾盘反弹依然承压在昨日高点位置，弱势节奏的改变就是反弹破高，一旦突破单个交易日的高点这就会有极弱进入震荡。而在反弹不能破高的情况下，这个反弹就是修正，修正后还是走回落，不会改变弱势形态。

作为日内而言只需要摸清楚十字K后面的走势即可。目前价格是非常尴尬的，今日并没有画运行的方向，而是以分水岭做了判断。注意几个点：1，本身是弱势，如果等跌了做多，上升的动能就减弱了许多，所以，不突破，肯定没尝试多的机会。2，上升的要素，一定是低点抬高，如果去博弈多，那么不能破底。3，顺势的前提，如果压制在分水岭下，还是空，只是最近的空有点折磨而已。4，价格，当前的价格也是尬位，离低点远，高点分水岭近。上下空间不足。亚盘稳健的不做安排，欧盘4点仍然压制在1270下方横盘的话，届时可以介入空单，突破1270的话也还是继续去找阻力做空，毕竟行情处于弱势中，直接下跌不破1260的话也可以轻仓博弈多。


如何能以交易为生？


如何能以交易为生，那么首先需要了解市场，市场的本质是什么？市场就是一大群人，他们遍布于世界五大洲，由现代的通讯设备整合在一起，每个人都希望通过别人的亏损来实现自己的获利！市场中的每个人都是敌手！而刚进入市场的投资者如果没有万分的准备，必然是遗憾离场，部分苦苦支撑盲目的找方法学技术咨询老师，最终依然还是亏损！


So why is this happening? Is the road to profitability really so difficult? It has to be said that the fact is so! Profit making techniques and analysis only account for some of the reasons, while human weaknesses are the majority of the reasons. Execution cannot keep up, loss orders are constantly carried, profits cannot be seen shrinking, profit and loss orders cannot be held, heavy positions, frequent operations, in short, it still depends on mentality! Always remember one sentence, talent is the biggest source of risk, and the person who should be most careful is always oneself! The mentality of luck is often the source of significant losses!


如何才能稳定收益，稳中求胜？


Some fundamental factors must be overcome by profit makers, and every step is a watershed; From the moment you enter this market, don't expect to become rich overnight. Good fund management and trading habits are crucial, and maintaining a fixed position is still the key; A small profitable position and a large losing position will ultimately result in a loss! And if fixed cannot make a profit, then it is a matter of probability and success rate!


Trading indicates the beginning of boredom, which is normal. We are not trading for excitement, trading for excitement can only be a way to stay away from this market. Accepting boredom is also a part of successful trading! If you decide on your own trade, then strictly execute it. In the trend, follow the trend and buy high and buy low in the range. Watch more and move less. Also, don't speculate because of the price, think that the price has dropped enough and buy, and don't short sell because the price has risen sharply. Define the trading signal, which is also the only reason for execution! The rest involves emotions, don't let emotions interfere with your operational decisions!

多日以来，最为困惑的还是持续性，行情的延续能力不够强，日内金价破位，但晚间反抽空，就没有回落的空间，走是一波行情。这让我们想起了日线节奏，很可能只是换个区间震荡。一直以来，都在追求黄金突破后的单边，几乎是清一色的下跌抄底，但从这两年的波幅来看，今年虽然动荡，但黄金可能陷入震幅震荡年。市场，总是在跌的时候，吸引大家抄底，而在涨的时候，都在计划抄顶，过了一轮又一轮，就是没有一个合适的位置去进场。为什么？很简单的道理，不顺势。


Author of this article: Shan Chenjin


Author's Message: A broad view and appointment, thick accumulation and thin hair!


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The above content is for reference only. Investment carries risks and caution is required when entering the market.