Shan Chenjin:黄金多头开启了？后市怎么看？日内走势分析

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Shan Chenjin:gold多头开启了？后市怎么看？日内走势分析


昨日晚间欧洲央行公布了5月的利率决议，如市场预期一致，欧洲央行继续维持三大利率不变。声明具体内容就不列举了，只做解读：在我看来，欧洲央行公布了削减每月购债规模的具体数字及停止购债的具体时间显然利好欧元，但是与利率相关的部分便并非如此了。欧洲央行宣布于12月底结束净资产购买，此举比市场想象中的要更加大胆。但随后欧洲央行表示至少维持利率不变直至明年夏季，该言论又偏鸽派。不过如果考虑到意大利政局动荡与欧元区经济衰退际遇，可以看到的是欧洲央行朝政策正常化迈出了一大步。

另外，美国至6month2Record of the number of people applying for unemployment benefits in the current week169.7Ten thousand people, for1973year12月以来最低水平；低于预测的173.7万人与前值的174.6万人。有“恐怖数据”之称的美国5月零售销售月率连续3个月上涨，录得0.8%by8个月以来最大涨幅，大大超过了预测值0.4%And4Monthly recorded0.2%。这样的一份数据足够说明美国的经济强劲程度，也佐证了美联储的会议声明，但我们看到昨天晚上美元与黄金同时上涨，原因就是欧元区的影响，同时中美争端再次发酵令市场风险情绪回归，不过这不是健康的走势，所以对于黄金的破位是否开启多头走势我仍然需要观察。


黄金价格周四早盘小幅走弱之后强势上升站稳1300关口，晚间金价在消息面的影响下进一步上升刷新高点至1309一线，虽然受制于强势美元涨势受阻，不过目前黄金仍然持稳在近期高位；在周四之前，黄金价格一直维持在低位三角震荡，周四行情破位打破了僵局。


技术面上看，隔夜金价企稳收阳，且持稳于布林带中轨上方，金价继续站稳中轨支撑向上突破，目前已经向上刺穿上轨阻力压制，布林带有向上延伸发展的迹象；且均线系统多头排列于K线下方；日线上黄金短期趋势偏涨。4Looking at the hour chart,K线目前持于布林带上轨附近，布林带开口；均线系统多头排列运行。综合来看，此次的加息已尘埃落定，虽然未打破金价的运行区间，后市有望形成震荡上行的走势。但是目前这波拉高能否形成多头趋势行情，我们还是要看下1315-1316能否突破。理由也强调过了，黄金本身日线不在趋势里面，即便突破分水岭，最多也是从一个区间跳到另外一个区间运行而已。那么今日重点关注1315一线的突破情况，操作上由于昨日晚间的拉升，早盘可以依托支撑1301一线拿多，止损1296, Objective1308-1310，如果直接上涨触及1315一线，也可以去空一波。


如何能以交易为生？


如何能以交易为生，那么首先需要了解市场，市场的本质是什么？市场就是一大群人，他们遍布于世界五大洲，由现代的通讯设备整合在一起，每个人都希望通过别人的亏损来实现自己的获利！市场中的每个人都是敌手！而刚进入市场的投资者如果没有万分的准备，必然是遗憾离场，部分苦苦支撑盲目的找方法学技术咨询老师，最终依然还是亏损！


So why is this happening? Is the road to profitability really so difficult? It has to be said that the fact is so! Profit making techniques and analysis only account for some of the reasons, while human weaknesses are the majority of the reasons. Execution cannot keep up, loss orders are constantly carried, profits cannot be seen shrinking, profit and loss orders cannot be held, heavy positions, frequent operations, in short, it still depends on mentality! Always remember one sentence, talent is the biggest source of risk, and the person who should be most careful is always oneself! The mentality of luck is often the source of significant losses!

如何才能稳定收益，稳中求胜？


Some fundamental factors must be overcome by profit makers, and every step is a watershed; From the moment you enter this market, don't expect to become rich overnight. Good fund management and trading habits are crucial, and maintaining a fixed position is still the key; A small profitable position and a large losing position will ultimately result in a loss! And if fixed cannot make a profit, then it is a matter of probability and success rate!


Trading indicates the beginning of boredom, which is normal. We are not trading for excitement, trading for excitement can only be a way to stay away from this market. Accepting boredom is also a part of successful trading! If you decide on your own trade, then strictly execute it. In the trend, follow the trend and buy high and buy low in the range. Watch more and move less. Also, don't speculate because of the price, think that the price has dropped enough and buy, and don't short sell because the price has risen sharply. Define the trading signal, which is also the only reason for execution! The rest involves emotions, don't let emotions interfere with your operational decisions!

I simply tidied up the flowers, but after two days without taking care of them, the stamens fell onto the leaves, staining and rotting. This is also the difficulty of growing lilies, as every time they bloom slightly, they need to pluck out the stamens. A small measure can make lilies bloom for an extra week. Trading also requires meticulous care, and a slight lack of attention can lead to difficulties in trading. I often think about a problem: logical reasoning. Although it is a simple long short, many people never consider the reasons. Just like loving flowers, but not knowing how to cultivate them, wherever they are placed, they are easily withered. Trading itself is prediction, which is to lay out when it hasn't happened yet. But the result for many people is that they only consider going long when they see an increase, and only consider going short when they see a decrease. Often, when the market is fluctuating, there is no continuity. Managing flowers and plants is like managing an account, you need to be careful and willing. Although the decoration of pink stamens is beautiful, it affects the lifespan. Don't let carelessness cause any problems with your account. Being vigilant, managing, and caring at all times is the key to being a good investor.


Author of this article: Shan Chenjin


Author's Message: A broad view and appointment, thick accumulation and thin hair!


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The above content is for reference only. Investment carries risks and caution is required when entering the market.