消息面:北京时间周四(6month14In the early morning of the day2:00,美联储如期加息25个基点,上调联邦基金利率区间至1.75%-2%。本次会议声明措辞更为鹰派,调升了经济预期,预估显示2018年加息四次,而且预计近几年通胀将略高于长期目标水平。隔夜美联储如期加息,但由于乐观情绪未能持续,且随着市场焦点转向周四的欧洲央行会议,美元急涨急落上演倒“V”逆转,现货gold短暂下跌后再次冲破1300关口。本交易日,日本央行以及欧洲央行利率决议相继来袭,黄金后市将何去何从?美联储主席鲍威尔指出,加息过快有危险,重点是保持通胀不低于2%,模型没显示通胀会飙升。标普500Decline0.40%。道琼斯跌幅0.47%。纳斯达克跌幅0.11%。
黄金走势分析:从4小时图来看,昨日国际黄金加息下挫5The US dollar fell to1292美元支撑开始回升上扬运行趋势,国际黄金连续3个周期的涨势受阻1305美元,国际黄金暂时维持高位震荡波幅,4Hour chartBOLLWith the trend of stabilizing and leveling operation,4Hourly attached indicatorsMACDThe upward momentum of the red trend is gradually becoming stronger,DIFAndDEAAdhesive crossover in0轴下方波幅,RSI指标企稳走平运行趋势,Stoch指标拐头聚集有望下行的需求,玉琪论金觉得国际黄金日内关注区间1305-1295操作。美盘时段关注美国至6month9Number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week, United States5月零售销售月率以及欧洲央行德拉基讲话。国际黄金近期维持数日的区间波幅,整体的波幅比较偏弱。
从小时图来看,亚盘时段国际黄金冲高回落回踩MA60均线的位置,国际黄金连续2个小时都没跌破1297美元,国际黄金企稳MA60均线连续4个小时的涨势触及1300关口,国际黄金受阻1305美元有望下行的需求,下方依然先看1296-1295美元,小时图MA5AndMA10均线交叉处于中轨上方波幅,小时附图指标MACD红色上涨动能开始衰竭不足,DIFAndDEAAdhesive crossover in0Wave amplitude above the axis,RSI指标企稳走平运行趋势处于数值70Lower wave amplitude,Stoch指标交叉上行运行趋势,暂时处于数值80下方波幅,玉琪论金觉得国际黄金短期依然先看区间1305-1295操作。操作上玉琪论金建议低多为主,高空为辅。上方关注1305One line of resistance, pay attention below1295-1293一线支撑。添加笔者玉琪论金WeiXinnumber(zyq1970622)Daily market analysis, unpacking strategies, and guidance on medium - and long-term layout are all included. like-minded individuals are welcome to come and have a long conversation!
crude oil走势分析:从日线图分析,均线指标金叉运行,MA5均线呈死叉拐头朝上运行,KLine intersection between the middle and lower tracks in BolinMA10Near the moving average,MACD快慢线位于零轴下方呈死叉下行放缓两线逐步向右走平绿色动能逐步缩量,KDJ三线交金叉向上发散运行,行情空头暂缓表现一定反弹需求;自从碰到64.25的下方支撑后,就开始了一波反弹,是否此处是底,还得进一步确认。从4小时及小时图来分析,布林带三轨朝上缓和运行,MA5Mean Square andMA10均线初交金叉上行,K线交投于布林中上轨之间,MACD快慢线位于零轴下方交金叉上行红色动能再次放量,KDJ三线交金叉强势向上发散运行,油价短线还有进一步上行势能。玉琪论金综合来看,昨日受到原油EIA数据利多及成交价格的影响,原油暴涨在67附近受阻小幅回落,短线下方关注65.5Frontline support, attention from above66.8-67.3一线阻力。近期OPEC是否增产的问题依旧是原油市场的核心,重点还是要关注后市将公布的欧佩克决策大会。具体的解套或者实时指导策略可以关注功肿/Hao "Yuqi discusses the acquisition of gold"!
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Comprehensive guidance time:early7:00In the early morning of the next day2:00
Comprehensive guidance teacher:Yuqi's Gold Analysis Team
writing/Yu Qi's Discussion on Gold(WeChat:zyq1970622,official account:Yu Qi's Discussion on Gold)