Shan Chenjin:6.13美联储会议重点什么？黄金欧盘走势分析

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Shan Chenjin:6.13美联储会议重点什么？gold欧盘走势分析


Tuesday（6month12日）美元小幅上涨，英镑波动剧烈，黄金失守1300关口，美布两油涨跌不一。展望今日，美联储会议来袭今晚又将是一个不眠夜；英国重磅5monthCPI数据或引发英镑新一轮“过山车行情”；此外还有欧元区第一季度季调后就业人数季率、欧元区4月工业产出月率和美国5monthPPI月率接连出炉。

凌晨市场就将迎来美联储6月利率决议，对于这一次的会议，市场对其加息的预期极高，因此目前的关注点并不是美联储做什么，而是说什么。也就是议息后新闻发布会才是重点。我们需要关注的是美联储给出的基调以及对通胀的预期。如果美联储给出鸽派的基调，或者任何对通胀过高的信号，那么贵金属市场将马上出现反应。会不会可能发出偏鹰的基调？这个完全可能有，不过目前市场上经济学家普遍认为其可能性要低于偏鸽派发言，至于点阵图，预计本次变化不大，但点阵图显示今年美联储加息三到四次将只是时间问题。目前一切都还没有定论，具体的让我们拭目以待吧！


昨天晚上已经梳理了美联储自2015年结束量化宽松政策以来的6次加息情况及加息前后黄金的表现，这里不再做过多表述，只是从这里我们能够得到一个很好的借鉴，那就是加息之后中期方向向上这个是大概率事件，毕竟这种反复炒作的消息往往都是卖消息买事实。而我们需要重点考虑的是具体数据公布之后，行情是先跌一波再反弹，还是直接反弹，以及是先有一段时间的下跌之后反弹？目前我们普遍认为下方空间有限，但目前的价格没有很好的触及提到的中长线建仓点位，而且数据前整理时间太久，所以无法排除探底回升的可能，就目前而言，我们不担心往上走，反而顾虑其先往下跌，所以下方重点关注1285-1282支撑，极限是1275-1270Location.


短线上，凌晨回落并且是连续在低点附近运行，日线在五个交易日小连阳后转阴，看着前面是阳线，但缺乏力度，5个交易日反抽都压制在阻力下，反观下方1393-1295支撑同样是触及便快速反抽，考虑到凌晨美联储利率，预计消息前应该还是震荡，而操作继续是维持区间的观点不变，日内短期围绕支撑阻力做整理；连续压制后回落，上方短期分界点很明确，1301一线，操作上日内先反抽1299附近可以轻仓做空，破1303回撤出空，下方目标继续是看1292-1291一线，同时日内支撑修正到1291-1290，短期触及1292一线可以多，破1290止损，目标回看1297-1299附近，欧盘6点前触及都可以进场。


Understanding of Shan Chenjin Trading-Reasons for losses in gold speculation


Personally, I believe that gold investment is a good investment product. Firstly, it has flexibility in trading, secondly, the stability of gold, and thirdly, the factors that affect gold are easier to analyze. Gold has been the main carrier of investment and wealth management since ancient times, but currently, domestic gold investors still suffer more losses and less profits. Why? Some people blame the platform, others blame the market, and say some personal opinions


1Lack of understanding of relevant knowledge. I heard that there is a great profit opportunity in this market, and if the broker deceives me again, I rashly enter the market without learning relevant knowledge, and even the trading rules and software usage are not clear. If you want to do a good job, you must first sharpen your tools. Even if you don't understand the resources in your hands, it's difficult to think of losing.


2I have learned relevant knowledge, especially technical analysis, and have a mixed understanding of various indicators and graphics. However, I am not proficient in them, and I am not familiar with them. When making orders, I have a confused mindset.


3Do not have their own trading strategy. The entry position is not suitable, which is not conducive to hanging a stop loss or not hanging a stop loss. A sharp rise and fall in the market is like chasing orders, and the result is always chasing the end of the market. There is no accurate positioning of profit margin before placing an order, and unexpected market conditions can be caught off guard.


4Blindly superstitious about brokers. The relationship between brokers and investors depends on trading volume, so some brokers encourage investors to place more orders, while some brokers have lower levels of proficiency.


5Attitude. Learning to hold coins and wait, being nervous when losing and also nervous when making profits, striving to find favorable factors for oneself through one's own analysis and the opinions of others, and so on.

不要嫌弃每次赚钱不多，不积小流无以成江河，不积跬步无以至千里。不要因为眼前的利益，而放弃自己的原则。做人一样，做单也一样。请给自己一份耐心，如果亏损特别严重，更应该给自己一次机会，没有一帆风顺的投资，也没有风调雨顺的人生，输得起当下，才能赢得回一个无悔人生！


Author of this article: Shan Chenjin


Author's Message: A broad view and appointment, thick accumulation and thin hair!


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The above content is for reference only. Investment carries risks and caution is required when entering the market.