欧央行或不得不承认5月通胀上升的情况,预计下周其将温和下修今年GDP增速预期,并上调今明两年的通胀预期。考虑到近期包括意大利在内的种种不确定性,我行预计欧央行将维持其政策声明(包括在放宽QE一事上的倾向)不变,维持观望态度至7month26日再作出决定。届时欧洲央行料宣布在2018year12End of MonthQE计划,在此之前欧洲央行将把每月购债规模从300亿欧元降低至150亿欧元。此外,预计欧洲央行将在2019year7月首次提高存款利率并在2019年底回归零水平。
目前技术面来看,日图布林带三轨朝下缩口运行,MA5Mean Square andMA10均线呈死叉缓和下行欲有向右走平之势,KThe line ends near the lower part of the Bollinger track,MACD快慢线位于零轴下方呈金叉缓和上行红色动能弱势放量,KDJ三线拐头朝上缩口行将交金叉,行情表现一定反弹趋势。
4On the hourly chart, the opening of the Bollinger Bands rises upwards,MA5Mean Square andMA10The moving average shows a golden cross and flattens to the right,K线收于中上轨之间,MACD快慢线逐步缩口位于零轴附近运行红色动能逐步缩量,KDJ三线交死叉向下发散运行,金价短线表现震荡偏空运行。
综合来看,无论是消息面还是技术面,都对黄金构成了打压,而偏弱的黄金走势也已经非常明显,所以下周一守鑫建议高空低多思路,上方重点关注1302-1304One line of resistance, pay attention below1292-1288Frontline support!
Suggestions for Gold Operations:
1、上方反弹在1302美元上方做空,止损4USD, target1294-1296section;
2、黄金如果跌破1294rebound1297即可做空,止损4US dollars, look at the target1290-1288;
3Falling back below1290/1292分批多单进场,止损4USD, target1295-1298Nearby;
原油日线图上看,布林带三轨扩大张口继续朝下运行,K线于布林中轨下方运行,MA5Mean Square andMA10均线呈死叉强势下攻,MACD快慢线位于零轴上方交死叉向下发散运行,绿色能量柱逐步缩量,KDJ三线粘合有交金叉之势,行情整体表现明显空头下行格局,但有一定的反弹势能,孙权从四小时线上看,布林带逐步向右走平,KThe line runs below the upper Bollinger Bands,MA5Mean Square andMA10The moving average is showing a strong upward trend with a golden cross,MACD快慢线金叉向上运行,红色动能逐步放量,KDJ三线呈金叉向上运行,油价短线还有进一步上行势能,守鑫建议回落做多为主,上方关注66.5-67; Follow Below64.5-64Frontline support.
Suggestions for crude oil operation:1: Fallback65Nearby, stop loss0.4美金,目标点位66-66.5;
守鑫做单思路:
1、建仓平仓绝不让您错过精准点位,使您的盈利最大化。
2I never predict the market, the market is constantly changing and beyond my control. The key is to make orders based on trends.
3Only by mastering the opportunity first can we gain unbeaten benefits and achieve victories-严格止损止盈。