Shan Chenjin:6.6黄金拉伸破1300，尾盘怎么看？ ​

[paragraph]
Shan Chenjin:6.6gold拉伸破1300，尾盘怎么看？
​

周三，现货黄金整体震荡走高，最高升至1302美元，缘于美元指数“跌跌不休”，日内最低曾下挫至93.51。日内欧市盘中黄金还处于震荡下跌态势，但美盘随即急剧拉伸，一度突破1300美元，主要原因有两个，一是欧盟对美加征关税出具反制措施，7month1号起效，此举令市场担忧贸易争端扩大，尤其在中美协商尚不明朗的情况下再卷入欧盟，确实令人担忧：二是伊朗在宣布重启铀浓缩计划之后，今晚白宫宣布加大对伊朗的制裁，超短期的市场恐慌情绪升温，避险快速推动金价上涨，短暂刺破1300。

在我看来，就目前情况，所有迹象都表明美元有进一步上涨的空间。不过市场反应没有预想之中的激烈，基于投机者的仓位情况以及交易员动能，并且考虑到option定价和估值，投资者尚未完全接受美元看涨观点。但以历次加息事件来看美元走势，在短期内，美元的继续反弹似乎是完全可能的。所以对于黄金来说，短期内至少加息前多头难以有起色。也就是货币政策是近期主导黄金走势的最重要因素，基本没有之一，而市场情绪一般都只是在很短的时间内影响金价，所以维持观点不变，加息前，不看好黄金多头直接出单边。


黄金近期走势起伏不定，上周虚跌下探，本周一虚涨止跌，周二震荡回暖收阳，今日小幅上扬，日图走势上开始收复上周下跌的空间，附图MACD红色动能柱增量，快慢线向上运行，日图黄金看涨。小时图，昨日黄金亚欧盘底部调整，美盘冲高虚探1300一线，承压收缩收线，但黄金上行测压已经稳步进入1296--1306区间，此区间在前方形成密集的震荡区域，下方1296支撑较强。今日欧盘进行一波下探，但直接被拉升回升，走势结构呈“V”型反转，美盘稳步运行，一度刺破1300，那么是不是要反转了？现在的情况只能说下行压力减弱，在日线图中金价整体走势偏于看空，目前价格处在大幅下跌之后的反弹调整周期中，目前来看这种震荡走弱调整的走势还可能延续。


而日线指标上，5Rihe10日均线交叉后偏下运行，短期阻力关注5Monthly moving average1303Nearby, further attention10Daily moving average1306Short line4小时图上看，金价持于5Rihe10日均线下方运行，均线勾头向下延伸发展，布林带有轻微缩口迹象。虽然黄金晚间有短暂突破1300的情况，但对黄金我们的思路和看法，暂时还是不考虑单边行情，尽管美元95有可能做顶，黄金不排除提前做底可能性。但是上方只要没破1306-1308，我们都是整理思路。所以尾盘依然关注区间1302-1294/1292附近。操作上依然简单执行高空低多，1300-1302Empty, stop loss1307, Objective1296。1291-1293Long nearby, stop loss1287, Objective1298-1300, hold against the limit.


如何才能稳定收益，稳中求胜？


Some fundamental factors must be overcome by profit makers, and every step is a watershed; From the moment you enter this market, don't expect to become rich overnight. Good fund management and trading habits are crucial, and maintaining a fixed position is still the key; A small profitable position and a large losing position will ultimately result in a loss! And if fixed cannot make a profit, then it is a matter of probability and success rate!


Trading indicates the beginning of boredom, which is normal. We are not trading for excitement, trading for excitement can only be a way to stay away from this market. Accepting boredom is also a part of successful trading! If you decide on your own trade, then strictly execute it. In the trend, follow the trend and buy high and buy low in the range. Watch more and move less. Also, don't speculate because of the price, think that the price has dropped enough and buy, and don't short sell because the price has risen sharply. Define the trading signal, which is also the only reason for execution! The rest involves emotions, don't let emotions interfere with your operational decisions!

我们期待你与我们共同书写行业奇迹，心有多大舞台就有多大!！本着“服务为客户创造利润”的价值观，我们从未停止努力，也一直在竞争激烈的市场当中，比竞争者优越一步，胜人一筹！立志成为您最贴心、最负责任的投资分析团队！进门是客，来者不拒；在这里你可以休憩闲谈，可以休整疗伤；这里可以是你投资的启蒙，也可以是你重拾信心的开始；留下你的印记，与君共进！


Author of this article: Shan Chenjin


Author's Message: A broad view and appointment, thick accumulation and thin hair!


σ-σ：330-5379-776V-Letter:scj366


The above content is for reference only. Investment carries risks and caution is required when entering the market.