陆远晴：6.6Analysis of the latest trend of gold and crude oil and operational suggestions

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Investment is like playing chess. Those with high chess skills can see five, seven, or even a dozen steps, while those with low chess skills can only see two or three steps. High players consider the overall situation, plan the overall situation, and do not prioritize one piece or one place, with the ultimate goal of winning the game. Low players compete for every inch of land, only for temporary needs, resulting in frequent difficulties. Trends must have a long-term vision, investments must have long-term planning, and layout skills are the key to success. When making investments, if your abilities are not enough to support your current situation, then you need a strategist to help you control the overall situation. A choice is a turning point! One attempt is an opportunity!

—消息面解析—

Tuesday(6month5day)欧洲央行行长德拉基和前欧洲央行行长特里谢参加该行20周年会谈。预计欧元将在德拉基讲话期间波动加大，并间接影响美元和gold走势。除此之外，美朝局势暂时缓和，但即将开始G7峰会将可能引发贸易战风险升温，有关事件发展笔者预计将对金价产生较大影响。且美元指数本周开盘一度大跌，黄金也迎来短线反弹的契机。

美油收涨1％，报65.53dollar/桶；布油收跌0.54％，报74.96dollar/桶。美国已要求OPEC提高crude oilyield10010000 barrels/日，印证了此前路透社关于美国恢复对伊朗制裁，以交换沙特承诺稳定全球原油市场的报道。美国至6month1Day and WeekAPIReduction in crude oil inventory200万桶，但汽油库存大增380万桶引发卖盘。5月份投行连续第八个月上调油价预期。

原油今日关注：今晚22:30，EIA原油库存数据将轰炸市场，预期为减少250Ten thousand barrels, the previous value is a decrease362万桶。值得注意的是，美国原油产量已经连增14周，届时市场将高度关注美国原油生产的最新动态。其次诺瓦克将于今日和油企讨论欧佩克+减产协议，届时将释放出怎样的信号？投友们需密切留意。

—黄金技术面分析—

黄金空头在短期内仍占据优势地位，金价在日线图上仍处于7周的下跌通道之中。黄金多头近期的目标是要重新站上1300大关，其次是突破200日均线。下行方面，下行支撑在1290Gateway and1286的斐波那契支撑位，若上述水平跌破，金价将有可能跌回前期低点1281.81dollar/盎司。日线上空头仍有进一步扩大空间的优势。4小时方面，昨日金价冲高后，未能守稳涨势，最终以低位震荡结束，而目前价格继续维持低位整理，有进一步下行的迹象，如此一来短期均线成为反弹中的首要压制，加之短周期指标同样保持下行，因此，4小时上来看反弹势能极度缺乏，下破支撑将是大概率。小时图上，昨日呈圆弧底反弹，下方1290一线呈现多针探底，三次均为破1290，此位目前属于强支撑位，下方依旧可依托此位做多，若一旦下破顺势跟进即可。

—操作建议—

Empty order strategy

Gold rebound1300Short (buy down) two tenths of a position nearby, stop loss3Points, target1290-1287。

Gold rebound1307附近做空（买跌）十分之三仓位，止损4Points, target1290-1287。

Multiple order strategy

Gold Callback1290-1287做多（买涨）十分之二仓位，止损1286, Objective1297Near.

Gold Callback1280-1270分批布局长线多单（买涨）十分之三仓位，止损皆4Points, target1350。

—原油技术面分析—

昨日油价止跌，收根带有下影线的阳线，目前从日线图分析，日图布林带开口下行，MA5Mean Square andMA10均线呈死叉继续良好开口下行，K线交投于布林下轨附近，MACD快慢线呈死叉继续下攻，绿色动能持续放量，KDJ三线呈死叉下行加速，行情表现明显空头形势；从4小时图上分析，布林带三轨朝下运行，MA5Mean Square andMA10The moving average shows a dead cross and a good downward trend,KThe line intersects between the middle and lower tracks in BolinMA5Near the moving average,MACD快慢线位于零轴下方呈死叉缓和下行绿色动能弱势放量，KDJ三线拐头朝下缩口行将交死叉，油价短线还有进一步下行势能。小时图打破下行通道线回升，综合来看；受OPEC以及俄罗斯有意增产的预期持续对油价施压，而美国居高不下的原油产量则不断火上浇油，原油市场的情绪目前已经颇为消极，行情表现极弱形态，短线还有进一步下行势能，操作以高空为主，低多为辅。短线上方关注66，67One line of resistance, pay attention below64Integer level support.

—操作建议—

Strategy 1:65.4附近进短多，止损0.3USD, target66, take a break to see66.6upper.

Strategy 2:66Stop loss without breaking into the empty space0.3USD, target64.6, take a break to see64.0Below.

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投资是一个长期的过程，总会伴随着亏亏赚赚，如果因为一时的亏损而心灰意冷，陆远晴认为这就可惜了，毕竟暂时的亏损不代表投资的失败，只能说明这段时间对资金把控的不好或者还没有真正学会对资金的掌控能力，陆远晴希望帮你们找到投资成功的成就感和胜利的喜悦感！陆远晴觉得你现在应该端正自己的心态，多去总结下过去失败的原因，怎么样找到一个实力更好的老师，多了解市场动态，安静的离开只会给自己心理抹上一层阴影，心理会永久留下遗憾！与其这样，倒不如大胆一点，勇敢的留下，相信自己，追随老师。

Wen/Lu Yuanqing  VX：yq910866