Shan Chenjin:6.4黄金亚盘窄幅震荡，欧盘走势分析及策略 ​

[paragraph]
Shan Chenjin:6.4gold亚盘窄幅震荡，欧盘走势分析及策略
​

Summary:摘要：上周五(6month1day)，非农数据公布，失业率创新低，美元得到提振。与此同时，缘风险渐渐消退，国际现货黄金一度跌破1290美元，但随后回弹，终守住1290Da Guan.
​

--International News Analysis--

现货黄金上周五(6month1day)小幅下挫，美市盘中最低下探至1289.12美元，金价运行在1300下方，短线出现V型反弹。上周五公布的美国5月非农就业数据显示，新增岗位22.3万个，远超预期的19万，失业率录得3.8%, creating18年来的新低。非农报告的其他部分也非常强劲，为美联储激进式加息提供了一定的依据。


数据发布后，黄金短线一度跳水，美元指数则触及日高，美国股市也高开，市场较为乐观。外围市场看，隔夜世界股市涨跌不一，亚洲较低迷，欧洲上涨。意大利民粹主义政党五星运动和联.盟党的二次组阁终于成功，持续了两个多月的意大利风波终于平息，欧股回暖。由于上周四美国宣布对欧盟及加拿大等开征钢铝税，投资者担心另一场全球贸易战将开打，受到影响的欧盟及加拿大等也对美国产品开征关税作为报复。另外美国本周五将公布的其他数据制造业PMI值，建筑支出和ISM制造业报告等。


--Analysis of spot gold market--


先对上周行情做个复盘，上周高点1306, low point1289，波幅17美金，周线纺锤小阴，日线三根碎阴，一根碎阳外加一个十字星。上方1306-1308的关键压力多次上冲都未能破位，但是行情也没有向下展开大的回落，而是围绕1295-1292反复的拉锯。所以我们看到周一延续上周五1306-1308的冲高回落小阴，周二过山车1306-1292的洗盘十字星，基本全周所有的波幅都集中在了周二，周三探底回升的小碎阳，周四又是一根反复窄幅整理的小碎阴，周五非农如我们提到的波幅不大，没超过10美金，但是也没有延续前面1292-1305的区间，而是往下虚破了1289reach1298走整理。


技术面上日线来看，价格自1307一线回落，并且呈现连阴格局，连续回撤以后，1307成为后面的多空强弱点，从本轮回撤来看，下跌呈现一波三折，行情并不是极弱下跌，而是呈现震荡回撤，下跌五美金则反弹三美金震荡后继续回落，所以短线主节奏，保持偏弱震荡回落思路，防止行情进一步下行，去破位1282。大的结构和思路，我们依然保持美联储加息之前行情弱势震荡回落思路，而加息之后防止行情见底反转。

日内来看按照前一日下跌，次日需要空一次，空的时间段围绕早盘和午后，而价格方面早盘可依托阻力进场，当前来看，凌晨反抽的高点1296-1298，那么这是今日做空参考位置，破1301做止损，目标看1389-1387，破位可继续持有，而时间点宜在午盘前后，另外注意午后继续压制1295之下，也可以考虑直接布局空，破位周五凌晨反抽的高点1299一线后再去做调仓处理。多单下方首次触及1285-1286区域可以轻仓尝试止损放在1282That's it.


Why can't you hold onto the profit order while I can?


1.The overall structure and framework of the market are not clear, and there is no overall prediction and thinking to follow the market. So I don't know the direction of the future development of the market, so when the market falls, I am bearish, and when it rises, I am bullish, and my thinking is constantly changing. Simply put, it's just that the strength is not enough, and without a particularly clear teacher's guidance, it's natural that if there are slight fluctuations, you won't be able to hold onto the order.


2.The position is too large and there is no good awareness of fund management.


Heavy warehouse, full warehouse, I'm afraid no one can hold onto the order unless you don't care about the outcome, don't care about the money, only care about the process of stimulation. Learn to have a good risk control awareness, control positions well, and not exceed10-15%, general5-8%Strict stop loss measures for light positions will gradually improve everyone's mentality.

3.flighty and impetuous.


Don't make an order, enter in a hurry, make an order, exit in a hurry. If you stare at the market, you won't move your eyes. If you short, you want the market to fall, and if you do too much, you want the market to rise immediately. All profits and wealth depend on time to accumulate.

链圈的广告铺天盖地，似乎又一波财富来袭，但对一个事物概念的曲解，才是最可怕的。注定我是混foreign exchange圈的。记得常提一句话：不会游泳的人，换池子解决不了问题，不管是江河湖泊，还是死水池塘，不会游泳，就是不会。伤害本身来自于自我的贪念，总是想通过意外获取高额财富，那只是个别数而已，凡事请评估厉害关系。尝试新鲜事物并没有错，只要不全押，不痴迷，多了解比什么都重要。祝福哪些该祝福的，劝离哪些该撤离的，理性看待，希望有一天，这个地方不要出现悲剧！


Author of this article: Shan Chenjin


Author's Message: A broad view and appointment, thick accumulation and thin hair!


σ-σ：330-5379-776V-Letter:scj366


The above content is for reference only. Investment carries risks and caution is required when entering the market.