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——吴绍南每日一言:交易之道,得益于正确的思路,亏损于风险的把控——
The way of trading is gradual and step-by-step. When we miss the beginning of a trend, there is no need to worry about whether to participate in the end of the trend. The market is like a fish, and eating a fish's head requires courage and courage. Eating a fish's tail is not only risky but may not necessarily have meat. Therefore, we can only wait for the market direction to be clear before participating in the fish body part, and trading can only do so. Therefore, do not be blinded by the superficial flashiness, A turning point often appears in a desperate situation, and persevering through the final darkness is victory.
​——绍南带你解读世界经济要闻,剖析全球投资大趋势—— gold现价:回顾这一周黄金的走势,其实可以发现,黄金整体上仍然是维持在区间内运行,自进入本周以来,黄金就一直在1300关口上下走震荡,强势美元和市场避险的相互作用下,黄金没有明确的方向;而周五非农出来后,金价仍然是走震荡,不过趋势上有些偏弱,盘中进一步刷新低点后,周线日线上基本都已经走向弱势; Non agricultural review:在非农数据发布之前黄金就开始走跌从1299reach1294After a drop of $5 and bearish data on non-agricultural and unemployment rates were released, gold prices fell from1294reach1289, fell by five dollars again, but the shadow position reached3USD, physical arrival below1292Through this set of data, we can find that the impact of non-agricultural sectors on gold volatility has become very weak. Based on previous data, since2017year2From month to present, the fluctuation of gold has exceeded10The only amount in US dollars is2Second, and it's10and11dollar,15美金以上的波幅没有。非农已经不是当年的非农,而且这个原因主要是由于黄金行情近几年的走势整体波幅偏小造成的。所以大背景整理反复的情况下,数据似乎也掀不起太大的浪。所以我们在交易的过程中需要注意的数据已经不是最重要的,根本还是需要从技术面上着手去分析和把握,那么对于后市黄金我们应该怎么看? 绍南对于黄金下周的个人看法:5月份美国非农就业数据好于预期,按道理来说,黄金将承压下跌,但实际结果是黄金短线下跌至1290下方后随即反弹至1295附近震荡,那么意味着黄金空头后续乏力,而多头则稳住了非农带来的利空消息影响,其根本原因在于全球贸易形式的日益紧张,欧洲政治局势对欧洲债务的影响激发了市场的避险情绪,更多的人选择购入黄金来保值资产,因此在周五晚间各大数据利空的形势下,黄金多头能够抗住跌势,企稳1292上方。但是从趋势上来看,此轮黄金行情依旧处于下跌形态之中,这就不得不考虑到下周的黄金走势,虽然现在周未黄金停盘了,但是我想非农在周初开盘必将再次影响黄金走势。​
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从四小时看,金价现受到60The support of the cyclical moving average,MACD显示下行动能正在增强,如果跌破该均线在1290美元附近的制成的话,那么金价日内将迎来跟大的回调空间。1小时图显示,金价正在挑战200小时均线的支撑作用,上行云已经完结,下行云初显端倪,且RSI涨势暂停,金价短线依旧看空。下周黄金走势依然偏空运行,操作上建议高空为主,低多辅助,上方关注1298-1300Resistance, pay attention below1290支撑,进一步支撑在1285。 ​ ——黄金下周一操作策略—— 建议一:在1297-1299Short nearby, stop loss3US dollars, look at the target1290美元附近破位持有; 建议二:在1288-1290Long nearby, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1298美元附近破千三可加仓多。
因各平台点位差异以及网络发布的延时性,操作建议仅供参考,请做好风险控制,具体操作方案以实时指导为准。