Yu Qi's Discussion on Gold:5.29黄金多空行情反复短线震荡偏强，原油今日走势操作附解套

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消息面：昨日周一，欧洲时段，美指震荡上行再度冲破94，gold微幅震荡下行，因美国总统特朗普令美朝峰会的希望重燃，政治紧张局势缓解；crude oil市场，由于主要产油国可能要增加供给，油价延续上周跌势，需要警惕短线超跌后的温和反弹。玉琪论金以为，美国和朝鲜领导人有会面的很大可能性，这会降低地缘政治风险，并削弱黄金的吸引力，另外强势美元也会打压金价。展望本周，美国5月非农就业报告、美联储经济褐皮书均将登场亮相，预计除地缘局势外，经济数据表现也将对黄金走势构成重要影响。

地缘政治风险的降温，虽然朝鲜局势等风险事件可能对黄金有影响，但要黄金价格出现大幅变动，还需要更多的风险。此外，从技术面来看，黄金本周可能持续遭到抛售，下滑的5周移动平均线和10周移动平均线持续利于空方。黄金价格可能会重新挑战1282。如果多方不能在破位下滑通道阻碍，看跌的理由将会增强。

黄金走势分析：目前从技术面来看，日图布林带三轨朝下缩口运行，MA5Crossing on the turning point of the moving averageMA10The moving average crosses the golden cross upwards,KThe line intersects with the Bolin Medium Rail Line,MACDThe fast and slow lines are located below the zero axis, and the upward red kinetic energy of the crossing appears,KDJThe strong upward divergence of the third line gold cross, with a certain rebound trend in the market performance;4On the hourly chart, the Bollinger Belt's three track opening goes up,MA5The moving average shows a golden cross and flattens to the right,KLine intersection between the upper and middle tracks in BolinMA5Above the moving average,MACDThe fast and slow lines form a golden cross, easing the upward trend with sufficient red kinetic energy,KDJ三线呈金叉逐步向右走平，金价短线多头放缓行情表现一定的震荡偏强形态，金价依旧运行在下行通道中，综合来看，短期略有倾向于反弹，但空间及量能预计受限，玉琪论金建议重点关注上方1302附近压制。这里也是空头防守点。今天操作上玉琪论金建议反弹做空为主，今日上方关注1303-1305One line of resistance, pay attention below1292Frontline support.

原油走势分析：原油昨日开盘67.5就来一波大跌在65.8附近开始反弹，反弹67受阻回落66附近，在67-66区间回来震荡，收盘在66.5附近，而日图布林带中，下轨拐头向下运行，MA5Under the moving averageMA10Moving average cross dead cross downward,K线运行在下轨之上，MACD快慢线位于零轴上方死叉下行，绿色动能逐步放量，KDJ三线交死叉，但有拐头之象。4小时线来看布林带指标大开口，K线目前跌破下轨位置，后遇支撑有所反弹。均线指标向下发散，MACDThe fast and slow lines are on0轴上方形成死叉且绿色动能柱放量有回缓之像，短线日内有反弹。玉琪论金综合来看：受市场沙特、俄罗斯能源部长双双放出或将增产的消息，原油录得大跌，行情空头表现较为强势。不过我们还是要时刻关注中东危局的一个动向，但就目前结构上来看，中途还是会回调修正。今天操作上玉琪论金建议反弹做空为主，上方关注67.3-67.5One line of resistance, pay attention below66Frontline support.




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