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Shan Chenjin:5.28黄金何时迎来底部?日内走势分析及策略

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Shan Chenjin:5.28gold何时迎来底部?日内走势分析及策略


Summary:周一亚市盘初,因美国总统特朗普周末的言论令市场相信,“特金会”有望按计划进行,这鼓舞了市场风险偏好情绪,黄金和日元等避险资产遭挫,其中金价跌破1300美元。本周市场将迎来诸多重磅数据,其中美国非农和美联储最看重指标——PCE通胀指标将出炉,势必会引发市场剧烈波动。


--International News Analysis--
Shan Chenjin:5.28黄金何时迎来底部?日内走势分析及策略830 / author:Shan Chenjin / PostsID:1132998
据新华社周日消息,美国总统特朗普当地时间5month26On the evening, he said he still hopes that the Singapore meeting between US and North Korean leaders can be held in Singapore6month12It will be held on the same day. Previously, Trump suddenly sent a public letter to Kim Jong un announcing the cancellation6month12The meeting in Singapore. Afterwards, he also stated at the White House that the meeting with North Korean leader Kim Jong un "still has the potential to..."6month12日如期举行”。受上述言论影响,市场风险偏好情绪升温,这对具有避险属性的黄金构成打击。


另外本周市场将迎来诸多重磅数据,投资者将聚焦备受瞩目的美国非农报告,此外,美联储最看重指标——PCE通胀指标也将受到格外关注。外媒调查显示,美国4Monthly personal consumption expenditure(PCE)Price index expected to rise at an annual rate2%The previous value is an increase2%; corePCEPrice index expected to rise at an annual rate1.8%Last month was an increase1.9%。 corePCEThe annual rate of the price index is the Federal Reserve's favorite inflation indicator and has a significant impact on interest rate decisions. The Federal Reserve's inflation target is2%。周五投资者将迎来5月美国非农就业报告,外媒调查显示,美国5Monthly non farm employment is expected to increase19Ten thousand, the unemployment rate is3.9%。在本周的就业数据中,尤其是薪资数据,将对未来的黄金至关重要。如果5月份工资未能强劲增长,那么通胀预期将保持温和。因为这不仅会影响通货膨胀,还会显示美国经济是否会继续增长。


--Analysis of spot gold market--


大趋势是“天”定的,我们只能顺势而为,而消息和数据只能起到推波助澜加速行情展开的作用。自2015年底美联储加息6次,其中用4次黄金迎来底部反转和多头趋势。2次加息之后小级别探底之后30-50美金反弹,并未形成趋势多头。也就是说大家都能预判,都知道的加息,其影响和利空因素在数据前都进行了消化,而加息落地之后往往行情走的是卖消息买事实。6month14号将迎来今年第2次加息,我认为历史依然会重演,大概率迎来多头趋势。
Shan Chenjin:5.28黄金何时迎来底部?日内走势分析及策略686 / author:Shan Chenjin / PostsID:1132998
周线级别自2015end of the year2018年初的近2年半的一个走势都有惊人的相似,主要看两个形态。去年1205-1358-1236这轮行情,150美金多头趋势,然后陷入了3-4个月的三角整理,下破探底1236企稳迎来新一轮多头趋势。而最近在这波1236-1366of130美金多头趋势,然后4个多月的高位箱体整理,下破1300探底,是不是和前面完全一样的走法,所以后面探底企稳新一轮多头大概率。


今日来看,先看顺延周五一个回落走势。大思路上,上周短线重点围绕1306-1308压力,遇阻回落,那么本周将再度开启空头的第三波回落,去下破1282,操作上我们可以去跟空主空操作。


--Suggestions for spot gold operation--


1300-1302One line empty, stop loss1305, Objective1290


最后,单晨金以下几句话投资者需谨记!


1、不可报复性做单,这样只会让你失去理智,从而迷失方向。


2、不到万不得以不要锁单,损单我们是最忌讳的,单子不到万不得以不要锁。


3、不可即兴交易、凭感觉做单,看好趋势,认清形势,认真对待每一次交易。


4、正确的交易,有千百万种;但是你为什么你的脑袋只有错误的交易方法。


5、错误的交易,不一定会让你亏钱,但肯定会让你一次亏大钱。
Shan Chenjin:5.28黄金何时迎来底部?日内走势分析及策略727 / author:Shan Chenjin / PostsID:1132998
有多少人,最大的悲哀是迷茫地走在路上,看不到前面的希望;有多少人,最坏的习惯是苟安于当下的小利,不知道真正投资的方向。当你能控制自己的情绪时,你就是优雅的;当你能控制自己的心态时,你就成功了。我曾不止一次的说过,智商绝对不是决定盈利的根本因素,而情商往往却是成败的关键。面对琢磨不透的行情,不要抱怨,你缺少的只是一个给你指路的明灯。


Author of this article: Shan Chenjin


Author's Message: A broad view and appointment, thick accumulation and thin hair!


σ-σ:330-5379-776V-Letter:scj366


The above content is for reference only. Investment carries risks and caution is required when entering the market.
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